Lazio vs Inter Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy

Stadio Olimpico Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM

Coppa Italia

Lazio LAZ

Versus

Inter INT

KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM

Final

CONTEXT

Lazio welcome Inter to the Stadio Olimpico for the Coppa Italia Final in the 2025/2026 season, a high-stakes showdown under the Roman lights. Inter enter as the stronger outfit, holding a power score of 91.43 to Lazio's 81.56, translating to a decisive 9.9-point advantage. Form metrics underline this gap, with Inter at 41.67 compared to Lazio's 25, suggesting greater consistency from the visitors. As a neutral-venue final despite Lazio's home ground, the Biancocelesti will lean on passionate support and tactical discipline from coach Marco Baroni. Inter, powered by stars like Lautaro Martinez, aim to dominate possession and exploit transitions. Both sides have navigated tough cup paths, but Inter's superior ratings point to control. Midfield mastery and defensive solidity will prove pivotal in this one-off spectacle.

TL;DR

Structural: Inter possesses a 9.9-point power advantage over Lazio with scores of 91.43 to 81.56.
Form: Inter's form score stands at 41.67, superior to Lazio's 25.
Squad: No specific squad changes reported; Inter's higher power score indicates greater overall depth.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
xVariable: No xG variable metrics available for analysis.
Market: Lazio 22% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0.1%) | Inter 54.4% (Δ-0.3%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Sarri

VS

C. Chivu

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

12

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

12 - 10 - 26

26

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lazio

22%

Draw

23.6%

Inter

54.39%

Movement

Changes since opening

Lazio

+0.26%

Draw

+0.07%

Inter

-0.34%

Team Power Ranking

81.56

91.43

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lazio

Inter

Power Score

81.56

91.43

League Position

-

-

Global Rank

52

9

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score

Inter — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lazio Inter

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lazio LAZ Home

48 matches

Inter INT Away

Match Record

12

Wins

26

10

Draws

10

26

Losses

12

Goals

49

Goals Scored

83

83

Goals Conceded

49

-34

Goal Difference

+34

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:29+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :

May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Coppa Italia, Italy · Final

Stadium :

Stadio Olimpico

Capacity :

72698

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Sarri Coach

Squad ▼

94

Ivan Provedel Goalkeeper

55

Alessio Furlanetto Goalkeeper

40

Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper

77

Adam Marušić Defender

2

Samuel Gigot Defender

13

Alessio Romagnoli Defender

23

Elseid Hysaj Defender

4

Patricio Gabarrón Gil Defender

29

Manuel Lazzari Defender

3

Luca Pellegrini Defender

17

Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares Defender

34

Mario Gila Fuentes Defender

25

Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen Defender

26

Toma Bašić Midfielder

32

Danilo Cataldi Midfielder

7

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder

24

Kenneth Taylor Midfielder

6

Nicolò Rovella Midfielder

27

Daniel Maldini Midfielder

21

Reda Belahyane Midfielder

28

Adrian Przyborek Midfielder

9

Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma Attacker

10

Mattia Zaccagni Attacker

19

Boulaye Dia Attacker

18

Gustav Tang Isaksen Attacker

14

Tijanni Noslin Attacker

22

Matteo Cancellieri Attacker

20

Petar Ratkov Attacker

Manager ▼

C. Chivu Coach

Squad ▼

1

Yann Sommer Goalkeeper

12

Raffaele Di Gennaro Goalkeeper

13

Josep Martínez Riera Goalkeeper

36

Matteo Darmian Defender

6

Stefan de Vrij Defender

2

Denzel Dumfries Defender

15

Francesco Acerbi Defender

32

Federico Dimarco Defender

95

Alessandro Bastoni Defender

25

Manuel Obafemi Akanji Defender

31

Yann Aurel Bisseck Defender

30

Carlos Augusto Zopalato Neves Defender

22

Henrikh Mkhitaryan Midfielder

20

Hakan Çalhanoğlu Midfielder

7

Piotr Zieliński Midfielder

23

Nicolò Barella Midfielder

16

Davide Frattesi Midfielder

11

Luis Henrique Tomaz de Lima Midfielder

17

Andy Diouf Midfielder

8

Petar Sučić Midfielder

9

Marcus Thuram Attacker

10

Lautaro Javier Martínez Attacker

14

Ange-Yoan Bonny Attacker

94

Francesco Pio Esposito Attacker

CONCLUSION

Inter's clear edge in power and form positions them as favorites in this Coppa Italia Final, though Lazio's home atmosphere at Stadio Olimpico could spark an upset. The 9.9-point power gap and better recent showings suggest Inter will control proceedings, likely through midfield dominance and clinical finishing. Lazio must disrupt early and capitalize on counters to stay in contention. Expect a tense, tactical affair where Inter's quality shines through, but cup finals breed surprises. Inter's path to glory looks firm.

Lazio vs Inter preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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