Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Tue, 12 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Oleksandria Oleksandria
Versus
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
KICKOFF : Tue, 12 May - 10:00 AM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Oleksandria welcomes Zorya Luhansk to KSK Nika in the Ukrainian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season. Sitting 15th in the standings, the hosts face an uphill battle against 8th-placed visitors who boast a decisive 10.4-point power edge (53.82 to 43.45). Zorya's form score of 19.44 towers over Oleksandria's modest 6.39, highlighting recent struggles for the home side. Without detailed last outings, anticipation builds around how Oleksandria leverages home advantage to counter Zorya's structural superiority. League positions underscore Zorya's consistency amid Oleksandria's precarious spot. Set piece insights remain limited, with low-confidence proxies masking true threats from dead balls. Efficiency and transition metrics stay elusive, forcing focus on raw power disparities. This encounter tests Oleksandria's resilience against a more potent foe.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zorya Luhansk enjoys a 10.4-point power advantage with a score of 53.82 against Oleksandria's 43.45.
  • Form: Zorya Luhansk's form score reaches 19.44, surpassing Oleksandria's 6.39.
  • Squad: Oleksandria ranks 15th domestically, trailing Zorya Luhansk in 8th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable; Zorya Luhansk's power score indicates potential edge.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data features low confidence and proxy usage for both squads with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG statistics absent across set piece categories for Oleksandria and Zorya Luhansk.
  • Market: Projection split: Oleksandria 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Zorya Luhansk 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Oleksandria V. Sharan
V. Sharan
VS
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
0.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Veres Rank: 47 L
Karpaty Rank: 55 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Veres Rank: 49 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 64 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 9 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oleksandria
0%
Draw
0%
Away Zorya Luhansk
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.45
53.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
Power Score
43.45
53.82
League Position
15
8
Global Rank
950
685

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Zorya Luhansk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
29 matches
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Away
Match Record
10
Wins
10
9
Draws
9
10
Losses
10
Goals
26
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
26
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:32+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
KSK Nika
Capacity :
7000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Viktor Dolgyi
Viktor Dolgyi Goalkeeper
72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
26
Miguel Ferreira Campos
Miguel Ferreira Campos Defender
91
Bohdan Butko
Bohdan Butko Defender
25
Yanis Hamache
Yanis Hamache Defender
22
Danil Skorko
Danil Skorko Defender
86
Anton Bol
Anton Bol Defender
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
23
Mykola Ogarkov
Mykola Ogarkov Defender
17
Artur Andreichyk
Artur Andreichyk Defender
9
Dmytro Myshnov
Dmytro Myshnov Midfielder
10
Serhiy Buletsa
Serhiy Buletsa Midfielder
11
Artem Shulianskyi
Artem Shulianskyi Midfielder
71
Denys Shostak
Denys Shostak Midfielder
5
Fernando Henrique do Nascimento Pereira
Fernando Henrique do Nascimento Pereira Midfielder
40
Dmytro Chernysh
Dmytro Chernysh Midfielder
20
Daniil Vashchenko
Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
97
Nazar Prokopenko
Nazar Prokopenko Midfielder
49
Mateus Amaral Ferreira Guimarães
Mateus Amaral Ferreira Guimarães Midfielder
27
Tedi Cara
Tedi Cara Attacker
99
Bryan José Castillo Rosendo
Bryan José Castillo Rosendo Attacker
67
Mauro Daniel Rodrigues Teixeira
Mauro Daniel Rodrigues Teixeira Attacker
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Attacker
24
Hussayn Touati
Hussayn Touati Attacker
19
João Paulo dos Santos Pereira
João Paulo dos Santos Pereira Attacker
77
Dmytro Kremchanin
Dmytro Kremchanin Attacker
44
Jhonnatan da Silva
Jhonnatan da Silva Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Mykyta Turbaevsky
Mykyta Turbaevsky Goalkeeper
1
Oleksandr Saputin
Oleksandr Saputin Goalkeeper
31
Valerii Kosivskyi
Valerii Kosivskyi Goalkeeper
44
Igor Perduta
Igor Perduta Defender
10
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues
Leovigildo Júnior Reis Rodrigues Defender
47
Roman Vantukh
Roman Vantukh Defender
55
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro
Anderson Jordan da Silva Cordeiro Defender
4
Gabriel Eskinja
Gabriel Eskinja Defender
25
Christopher Nwanze
Christopher Nwanze Defender
5
Andrija Janjić
Andrija Janjić Defender
7
Nemanja Anđušić
Nemanja Anđušić Midfielder
8
Kyrylo Dryshliuk
Kyrylo Dryshliuk Midfielder
77
Bogdan Kushnirenko
Bogdan Kushnirenko Midfielder
22
Petar Mićin
Petar Mićin Midfielder
24
Іvan Golovkіn
Іvan Golovkіn Midfielder
21
Jakov Bašić
Jakov Bašić Midfielder
6
Dejan Popara
Dejan Popara Midfielder
19
Roman Salenko
Roman Salenko Midfielder
23
Navin Malysh
Navin Malysh Midfielder
88
Samba Juma Bah
Samba Juma Bah Midfielder
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Pylyp Budkivskyi Attacker
99
Vladyslav Vakula
Vladyslav Vakula Attacker
27
Domagoj Jelavić
Domagoj Jelavić Attacker
11
Ihor Horbach
Ihor Horbach Attacker
9
Artem Slesar
Artem Slesar Attacker
70
Reynaldihno Verley
Reynaldihno Verley Attacker
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
Fedir Zadorozhnyi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Zorya Luhansk arrives with superior power and form, positioning them to control proceedings at KSK Nika. Oleksandria, mired in 15th, needs a stout defensive showing and clinical counters to compete. The 10.4-point gap underscores visitors' edge in structure and momentum. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece edges, raw disparities favor Zorya dictating tempo. Home crowd may spark Oleksandria, yet consistency points to Zorya prevailing narrowly. Watch for transitional moments where power shines. This matchup highlights league contrasts between survival and mid-table security.

Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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