Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Tue, 12 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Versus
Karpaty Karpaty
KICKOFF : Tue, 12 May - 3:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv hosts Karpaty at Tsentralnyi Stadion in a key Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 5th in the standings, the home side aims to solidify its top-half position against 9th-placed Karpaty, who bring a power score edge of 55.2 compared to Metalist's 48.97, translating to a 6.2-point advantage. Recent form slightly favors the hosts at 27.67 versus Karpaty's 25.67, suggesting resilience despite the visitors' overall strength. With no recent outings detailed, both teams enter on merit from league performances. Structural dynamics highlight Karpaty's superiority, yet Metalist's home venue could level the field. Lacking detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, the matchup hinges on raw power and form. Expect a tactical battle where Karpaty's edge meets Metalist's positional momentum.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Karpaty possess a structural advantage with a 55.2 power score over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 48.97, yielding a 6.2-point lead.
  • Form: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv shows marginally better form at 27.67 compared to Karpaty's 25.67.
  • Squad: League standings reflect squad quality, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv at 5th and Karpaty at 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable as xG data absent for both sides.
  • xVariable: xVariable insights limited by lack of expected goals information.
  • Market: Baseline split: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Karpaty 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
VS
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Veres Rank: 47 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 44 W
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0%
Draw
0%
Away Karpaty
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.97
55.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
Power Score
48.97
55.2
League Position
5
9
Global Rank
729
648

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Karpaty — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Karpaty

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Home
1 matches
Karpaty Karpaty Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:36+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Capacity :
5928
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Oleh Mozil
Oleh Mozil Goalkeeper
30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
23
Yaroslav Protsenko
Yaroslav Protsenko Goalkeeper
3
Vasyl Kravets
Vasyl Kravets Defender
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov Defender
42
Evgeny Pasich
Evgeny Pasich Defender
74
Ihor Snurnitsyn
Ihor Snurnitsyn Defender
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
2
Dmytro Kapinus
Dmytro Kapinus Defender
18
Yevhen Pavliuk
Yevhen Pavliuk Defender
37
Valerii Dubko
Valerii Dubko Defender
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
27
Illia Krupskyi
Illia Krupskyi Defender
10
Vladlen Yurchenko
Vladlen Yurchenko Midfielder
45
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Midfielder
11
Vyacheslav Churko
Vyacheslav Churko Midfielder
17
Igor Kogut
Igor Kogut Midfielder
5
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi
Ivan Kaliuzhnyi Midfielder
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
16
Joseph Nicolás Árevalo Chaparro
Joseph Nicolás Árevalo Chaparro Midfielder
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica Midfielder
91
Matvii Panchenko
Matvii Panchenko Midfielder
77
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Cauan Matteo Baptistella Midfielder
15
Denis Antyukh
Denis Antyukh Attacker
7
Ari Moura Vieira Filho
Ari Moura Vieira Filho Attacker
97
Oleksiy Sydorov
Oleksiy Sydorov Attacker
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja Attacker
8
Sebastián Alejandro Castillo Pérez
Sebastián Alejandro Castillo Pérez Attacker
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba Attacker
14
Ramik Gadzhiev
Ramik Gadzhiev Attacker
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo Attacker

Squad ▼

80
Roman Mysak
Roman Mysak Goalkeeper
30
Andriy Klishchuk
Andriy Klishchuk Goalkeeper
1
Nazar Domchak
Nazar Domchak Goalkeeper
11
Denys Miroshnichenko
Denys Miroshnichenko Defender
3
Volodymyr Adamyuk
Volodymyr Adamyuk Defender
55
Timur Stetskov
Timur Stetskov Defender
4
Vladyslav Baboglo
Vladyslav Baboglo Defender
73
Rostyslav Lyakh
Rostyslav Lyakh Defender
5
Andrii Buleza
Andrii Buleza Defender
77
Oleksii Sych
Oleksii Sych Defender
44
Vitalii Kholod
Vitalii Kholod Defender
47
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso Defender
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
Ambrosiy Chachua Midfielder
35
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes Midfielder
37
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva Midfielder
15
Valentin Rubchynskyi
Valentin Rubchynskyi Midfielder
26
Yan Kostenko
Yan Kostenko Midfielder
20
Marko Sapuga
Marko Sapuga Midfielder
33
Artur Shakh
Artur Shakh Midfielder
16
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych Midfielder
18
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento Midfielder
7
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira Attacker
70
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena Attacker
19
Yaroslav Karabin
Yaroslav Karabin Attacker
10
Stênio Zanetti Toledo
Stênio Zanetti Toledo Attacker
14
Ilya Kvasnytsya
Ilya Kvasnytsya Attacker
99
Baboucarr Faal
Baboucarr Faal Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Premier League encounter pits Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's home advantage and superior league position against Karpaty's clear power superiority. While form tilts slightly toward the hosts, the 6.2-point gap underscores the visitors' potential dominance. Absent advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces, focus shifts to execution in transition and open play. Metalist must leverage Tsentralnyi Stadion's atmosphere to counter Karpaty's strength. A closely contested affair likely unfolds, with Karpaty's edge positioning them for a vital away result in the regular season grind.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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