Aberdeen vs St. Mirren Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Pittodrie Stadium Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Premiership
Aberdeen ABE
Versus
St. Mirren STM
KICKOFF : Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Aberdeen hosts St. Mirren at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership's 2nd Phase for the 2025/2026 season. The Dons hold a clear edge as the stronger team, boasting a power score of 58.95 against St. Mirren's 56.92, translating to a 2-point advantage. League standings reinforce this, with Aberdeen in 8th place and St. Mirren in 10th. Form scores tilt slightly towards the hosts at 15.94 compared to 14.83, suggesting better recent momentum despite no specified last outings. At home, Aberdeen's structural superiority could prove decisive in this mid-table clash. St. Mirren, however, has shown grit lower down the table and may target transitions or set pieces to counter. Data limitations abound: set piece metrics use low-confidence proxies with no xG available, while efficiency and transition stats are absent. This matchup hinges on Aberdeen leveraging their power edge effectively.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Aberdeen enjoys a 2-point power advantage and home venue at Pittodrie over St. Mirren.
  • Form: Aberdeen's form score of 15.94 edges St. Mirren's 14.83.
  • Squad: Aberdeen sits 8th in the league, ahead of 10th-placed St. Mirren.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this Premiership fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics for both teams rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of supporting data.
  • Market: Baseline split: Aberdeen 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | St. Mirren 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Aberdeen S. Robinson
S. Robinson
VS
St. Mirren C. McLeish
C. McLeish
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.84
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dundee United Rank: 63 D
Livingston Rank: 55 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 W
Hibernian Rank: 68 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 L
Rangers Rank: 77 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 D
Dundee Rank: 58 L
Livingston Rank: 53 L
Celtic Rank: 79 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 W
Falkirk Rank: 66 W
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 18 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Aberdeen
0%
Draw
0%
Away St. Mirren
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.95
56.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aberdeen
St. Mirren
Power Score
58.95
56.92
League Position
8
10
Global Rank
527
588

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Aberdeen — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Mirren — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aberdeen St. Mirren

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 58 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Aberdeen ABE Home
58 matches
St. Mirren STM Away
Match Record
24
Wins
16
18
Draws
18
16
Losses
24
Goals
81
Goals Scored
58
58
Goals Conceded
81
+23
Goal Difference
-23

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:58+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Pittodrie Stadium
Capacity :
20866
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Dimitar Mitov
Dimitar Mitov Goalkeeper
99
Per Kristian Worre Bråtveit
Per Kristian Worre Bråtveit Goalkeeper
13
Nick Suman
Nick Suman Goalkeeper
2
Nicky Devlin
Nicky Devlin Defender
26
Thomas Mcintyre
Thomas Mcintyre Defender
5
Mats Knoester
Mats Knoester Defender
24
Kristers Tobers
Kristers Tobers Defender
42
Elvis Bwomono
Elvis Bwomono Defender
23
Liam Morrison
Liam Morrison Defender
21
Gavin Molloy
Gavin Molloy Defender
28
Alexander Jensen
Alexander Jensen Defender
22
Jack Milne
Jack Milne Defender
77
Emmanuel Gyamfi
Emmanuel Gyamfi Defender
38
Dylan Lobban
Dylan Lobban Defender
3
Mitchel Frame
Mitchel Frame Defender
8
Dennis Geiger
Dennis Geiger Midfielder
16
Stuart Armstrong
Stuart Armstrong Midfielder
4
Graeme Shinnie
Graeme Shinnie Midfielder
18
Ante Palaversa
Ante Palaversa Midfielder
32
Afeez Aremu
Afeez Aremu Midfielder
25
Lyall Cameron
Lyall Cameron Midfielder
29
Kjartan Már Kjartansson
Kjartan Már Kjartansson Midfielder
20
Toyosi Olusanya
Toyosi Olusanya Attacker
15
Kevin Nisbet
Kevin Nisbet Attacker
27
Marko Lazetić
Marko Lazetić Attacker
81
Topi Keskinen
Topi Keskinen Attacker
11
Nicolas Milanovic
Nicolas Milanovic Attacker
14
Kenan Bilalovic
Kenan Bilalovic Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Peter Urminský
Peter Urminský Goalkeeper
—
Ross Sinclair
Ross Sinclair Goalkeeper
1
Shamal George
Shamal George Goalkeeper
31
Ryan Mullen
Ryan Mullen Goalkeeper
24
Declan John
Declan John Defender
3
Scott Tanser
Scott Tanser Defender
13
Alexandros Gogić
Alexandros Gogić Defender
22
Marcus Fraser
Marcus Fraser Defender
2
Jayden Richardson
Jayden Richardson Defender
5
Richard King
Richard King Defender
21
Miguel Freckleton
Miguel Freckleton Defender
44
Liam Donnelly
Liam Donnelly Midfielder
6
Mark O'Hara
Mark O'Hara Midfielder
16
Allan Campbell
Allan Campbell Midfielder
25
Keanu Baccus
Keanu Baccus Midfielder
7
Roland Idowu
Roland Idowu Midfielder
88
Killian Phillips
Killian Phillips Midfielder
8
Jacob Devaney
Jacob Devaney Midfielder
9
Mikael Mandron
Mikael Mandron Attacker
10
Conor McMenamin
Conor McMenamin Attacker
11
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga Attacker
14
Dan Nlundulu
Dan Nlundulu Attacker
29
Kion Reece Etete
Kion Reece Etete Attacker
20
Jake Young
Jake Young Attacker
18
Malik Dijksteel
Malik Dijksteel Attacker
17
Jalmaro Calvin
Jalmaro Calvin Attacker

CONCLUSION

Aberdeen's superior power score, form, and league position position them favorably for victory at Pittodrie. St. Mirren trails in key metrics but could disrupt with disciplined defending and opportunistic attacks. Limited data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions means the focus falls on overall team strength and home advantage. Aberdeen's 2-point edge suggests control, yet St. Mirren's mid-table tenacity promises a competitive battle. Expect the hosts to capitalize on their structural benefits in this 2nd Phase encounter.

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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