AVS vs Porto Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves Sun, 10 May - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
AVS AFS
Versus
Porto FCP
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 12:00 AM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Liga Portugal regular season at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, bottom-feeders AVS face a formidable challenge hosting table-topping Porto in the 2025/2026 campaign. AVS prop up the standings in 18th with a modest power score of 57.65, while Porto dominate at 87.31, boasting a commanding 29.7-point advantage. Form scores underline the disparity too: Porto's robust 35.33 dwarfs AVS's faltering 15.67. Projections reflect this chasm, heavily favouring the visitors. Lacking recent outing details or advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces due to data limitations, the matchup hinges on Porto's overarching superiority. AVS crave a home upset, but the leaders' pedigree suggests control from kickoff, likely securing vital points in their title charge.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Porto possess a 29.7-point power advantage over AVS, highlighting superior overall structure.
  • Form: Porto hold a form score of 35.33, significantly ahead of AVS's 15.67.
  • Squad: AVS sit 18th in the league, while Porto lead in 1st place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and absent xG.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for attack and defence on both sides.
  • Market: AVS 8.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 14.9% (Δ+0%) | Porto 76.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
VS
Porto F. Farioli
F. Farioli
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.57
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 D
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 D
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 L
Tondela Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alverca Rank: 66 W
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 W
Tondela Rank: 60 W
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AVS
8.43%
Draw
14.9%
Away Porto
76.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.65
87.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AVS
Porto
Power Score
57.65
87.31
League Position
18
1
Global Rank
561
23

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Porto — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AVS Porto

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AVS AFS Home
3 matches
Porto FCP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
0
-9
Goal Difference
+9

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:02:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
1 A. Vasconcelos Ramos
M. Cardoso Francisco
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
C. Castro
42 C. Castro
P. Leal Sousa Lima
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
L. Rivas
12 L. Rivas
T. Galletto
19 T. Galletto
R. Medeiros de Moura
70 R. Medeiros de Moura
P. Lima Barros
8 P. Lima Barros
B. Akinsola
11 B. Akinsola
D. Duarte Garcete
20 D. Duarte Garcete
G. Neiva Silva
21 G. Neiva Silva
D. Meireles Costa
99 D. Meireles Costa
Z. Sanusi
12 Z. Sanusi
J. Kiwior
4 J. Kiwior
J. Bednarek
5 J. Bednarek
A. Costa
20 A. Costa
G. Veiga Novas
10 G. Veiga Novas
P. Rosario
13 P. Rosario
V. Froholdt
8 V. Froholdt
O. Pietuszewski
77 O. Pietuszewski
D. Gül
27 D. Gül
E. Aquino Cossa
11 E. Aquino Cossa

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Capacity :
8560
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Adriel
Adriel Goalkeeper
7.04
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete Centre Forward
6.68
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Attacker
6.61
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva Attacker
6.64
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Left Back
6.52
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Left Back
6.63
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Central Midfield
6.79
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Right Back
6.55
42
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Cristian David Castro Devenish Right Back
6.54
70
Roni
Roni Central Midfield
6.79
19
Tiago Galletto López
Tiago Galletto López Central Midfield
6.53

Starting XI ▼

99
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper
6.95
77
Oskar Pietuszewski
Oskar Pietuszewski Attacker
6.96
11
Pepê
Pepê Attacker
6.95
27
Deniz Gül
Deniz Gül Centre Forward
6.66
10
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga Central Midfield
7.03
4
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior Left Back
7.17
13
Pablo Rosario
Pablo Rosario Central Midfield
6.91
5
Jan Bednarek
Jan Bednarek Right Back
7.21
8
Victor Froholdt
Victor Froholdt Central Midfield
7.02
12
Zaidu Sanusi
Zaidu Sanusi Left Back
6.86
20
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa Right Back
7.03

CONCLUSION

Porto's overwhelming power edge and top-table position make them clear frontrunners against relegation-haunted AVS. The 29.7-point gulf in power scores, coupled with superior form, positions the visitors for dominance at AVS's home ground. Without advanced stats to bridge the gap, AVS must summon defensive resilience and rare attacking flair. Yet Porto's pedigree promises efficiency in breaking down the hosts, potentially extending their lead at the summit. Expect a professional away performance yielding three points.

AVS vs Porto preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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