Benfica vs Sporting Braga Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Benfica SLB
Versus
Sporting Braga SCB
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Benfica host Sporting Braga in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Domestically, Benfica sit 3th in the table while Sporting Braga are 4th. Power ranking favours Benfica by 5.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica possesses a structural advantage with a 87.66 power score and 5.9-point edge over Braga's 81.8, plus third place versus fourth in the league.
  • Form: Benfica's form score of 37.67 significantly outstrips Sporting Braga's 23.28.
  • Squad: Benfica's squad power rating of 87.66 exceeds Sporting Braga's 81.8.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Benfica 65.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.8% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 12.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
2.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.95
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 W
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Casa Pia Rank: 62 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 67 D
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Famalicão Rank: 72 D
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Moreirense Rank: 68 W
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 7 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Benfica
65.41%
Draw
21.81%
Away Sporting Braga
12.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.66
81.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Benfica
Sporting Braga
Power Score
87.66
81.8
League Position
3
4
Global Rank
22
50

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Sporting Braga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Benfica SLB Home
43 matches
Sporting Braga SCB Away
Match Record
25
Wins
11
7
Draws
7
11
Losses
25
Goals
78
Goals Scored
45
45
Goals Conceded
78
+33
Goal Difference
-33

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Trubin
1 A. Trubin
A. Dedić
17 A. Dedić
A. Tavares Silva
4 A. Tavares Silva
A. Hartmann Bah
6 A. Hartmann Bah
S. Dahl
26 S. Dahl
E. Barrenechea
5 E. Barrenechea
F. Aursnes
8 F. Aursnes
G. Prestianni Gross
25 G. Prestianni Gross
L. Barreiro Martins
18 L. Barreiro Martins
A. Schjelderup
21 A. Schjelderup
F. Ivanović
9 F. Ivanović
L. Horníček
1 L. Horníček
G. Moscardo de Salles
17 G. Moscardo de Salles
V. Carvalho Vieira
6 V. Carvalho Vieira
G. Lagerbielke
14 G. Lagerbielke
L. Cruz Lelo
5 L. Cruz Lelo
D. Tıknaz
34 D. Tıknaz
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho
M. Dorgeles
20 M. Dorgeles
Pau Victor
18 Pau Victor
R. Zalazar Martínez
10 R. Zalazar Martínez
A. El Ouazzani
9 A. El Ouazzani

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Capacity :
68100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.83
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Centre Forward
6.89
4
António Silva
António Silva Right Back
7.07
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea Defensive Midfield
7.05
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Defensive Midfield
7.25
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Right Back
6.7
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Attacking Midfield
6.91
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Left Back
6.95
6
Alexander Bah
Alexander Bah Left Back
6.77
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Left Wing
7.02
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Right Wing
6.95

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.8
10
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Midfielder
7.42
18
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Midfielder
6.98
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
6.9
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder
6.93
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Centre Forward
6.72
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Central Midfield
7.01
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Right Back
6.94
17
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo Left Back
6.6
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Central Midfield
6.9
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Centre Back
7.01

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Benfica holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Benfica a 5.9-point edge. External projection is Benfica 65.4%, draw 21.8%, and Sporting Braga 12.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Benfica vs Sporting Braga preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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