Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Mallorca MLL
Versus
Villarreal VIL
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Mallorca faces Villarreal at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in a La Liga regular season fixture of the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts occupy 15th position, trailing the third-placed visitors who demonstrate clear superiority via power scores of 76.4 against 83.97, yielding a 7.6-point edge to Villarreal. Form assessments reveal marginal separation, with Villarreal at 28.72 and Mallorca at 27.78, absent specific recent records. Lacking last outing details, focus shifts to Villarreal's elevated league standing and overall strength. Home advantage bolsters Mallorca's resolve, yet Villarreal's quality suggests control. Advanced metrics prove elusive, as efficiency remains undocumented and set piece evaluations hindered by unavailable xG data, emphasizing proxy reliance and low confidence. Tactical discipline and execution will prove decisive in this matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Villarreal enjoys structural superiority, boasting 83.97 power score to Mallorca's 76.4 alongside 3rd place versus 15th.
  • Form: Villarreal holds a slight form edge at 28.72 over Mallorca's 27.78 score.
  • Squad: Squad depth favors Villarreal per higher power rating and superior league position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition play data not detailed in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to absent xG data and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xVariable insights lacking as advanced tracking not enabled.
  • Market: Mallorca 41% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Villarreal 31.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
VS
Villarreal M. García Toral
M. García Toral
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.91
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Girona Rank: 75 W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 78 W
Real Madrid Rank: 93 W
Elche Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levante Rank: 74 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 D
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Girona Rank: 75 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mallorca
40.96%
Draw
27.11%
Away Villarreal
31.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.4
83.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mallorca
Villarreal
Power Score
76.4
83.97
League Position
15
3
Global Rank
94
41

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Villarreal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mallorca Villarreal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mallorca MLL Home
25 matches
Villarreal VIL Away
Match Record
5
Wins
14
6
Draws
6
14
Losses
5
Goals
25
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
25
-13
Goal Difference
+13

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:04:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
L. Román Riquelme
1 L. Román Riquelme
M. Morey Bauzà
2 M. Morey Bauzà
O. Mascarell González
5 O. Mascarell González
M. Valjent
24 M. Valjent
J. Mojica Palacio
22 J. Mojica Palacio
S. Costa
12 S. Costa
S. Darder Moll
10 S. Darder Moll
A. Sánchez Navarro
6 A. Sánchez Navarro
J. Kalumba
30 J. Kalumba
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
15 Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
V. Muriqi
7 V. Muriqi
A. Tenas Ureña
25 A. Tenas Ureña
A. Pedraza Sag
24 A. Pedraza Sag
R. Palma Veiga
12 R. Palma Veiga
P. Navarro Badenes
6 P. Navarro Badenes
A. Freeman
3 A. Freeman
A. Moleiro González
20 A. Moleiro González
S. Comesaña Veiga
14 S. Comesaña Veiga
D. Parejo Muñoz
10 D. Parejo Muñoz
N. Pépé
19 N. Pépé
G. Mikautadze
9 G. Mikautadze
G. Moreno Balaguero
7 G. Moreno Balaguero

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity :
26020
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
6.87
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
7.18
15
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo Attacker
6.69
2
Mateu Morey
Mateu Morey Right Back
6.46
5
Omar Mascarell
Omar Mascarell Right Back
6.77
6
Antonio Sánchez
Antonio Sánchez Central Midfield
6.46
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Central Midfield
7.01
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Central Midfield
6.89
24
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent Left Back
6.69
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Left Back
6.69
30
Justin Kalumba
Justin Kalumba Attacking Midfield
6.51

Starting XI ▼

25
Arnau Tenas
Arnau Tenas Goalkeeper
6.56
19
Nicolas Pépé
Nicolas Pépé Midfielder
7.08
20
Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro Midfielder
6.94
7
Gerard Moreno
Gerard Moreno Attacker
7.13
9
Georges Mikautadze
Georges Mikautadze Attacker
6.98
3
Alex Freeman
Alex Freeman Right Back
6.69
24
Alfonso Pedraza
Alfonso Pedraza Left Back
6.79
6
Pau Navarro
Pau Navarro Right Back
6.76
10
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo Central Midfield
6.8
12
Renato Veiga
Renato Veiga Left Back
6.68
14
Santi Comesaña
Santi Comesaña Central Midfield
6.89

CONCLUSION

Villarreal arrives with tangible edges in power, position, and form, positioning them to exploit Mallorca's mid-table struggles. Home support at Son Moix may fuel an upset bid from the hosts, but visitors' 7.6-point superiority signals command. Sparse data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces underscores reliance on core strengths. Villarreal's third-place momentum drives their campaign forward, while Mallorca seeks points to ascend. Anticipate a competitive battle where Villarreal's quality likely tips the scales in a hard-fought contest.

Mallorca vs Villarreal preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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