Rosenborg vs Lillestrøm Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion Sun, 10 May - 12:30 PM
Eliteserien
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Versus
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 12:30 PM
Round 8 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rosenborg host Lillestrøm at Lerkendal Stadion in this Eliteserien regular season fixture for 2026. The home team holds a clear power advantage, rated at 61.52 to the visitors' 49.54, translating to a 12-point edge that marks them as the stronger side on underlying metrics. Yet, reality bites differently: Lillestrøm sit pretty in 3rd place domestically, while Rosenborg occupy 14th, underscoring a stark contrast in current standings. Form scores amplify this divide, with Lillestrøm's 27.5 dwarfing Rosenborg's meager 8.94, signaling potent recent momentum for the away outfit. Lerkendal remains a fortress for Rosenborg historically, but today's challenge tests their structural superiority against a high-flying challenger. Efficiency and set piece data elude analysis due to unavailable xG metrics, leaving tactical edges obscured. This encounter promises tension as power meets position in Norway's top flight.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rosenborg possesses a 12-point power advantage over Lillestrøm, with scores of 61.52 to 49.54.
  • Form: Lillestrøm leads form rankings with 27.5 versus Rosenborg's 8.94 and holds 3rd place to their 14th.
  • Squad: Squad news and availability details are unavailable for both teams.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play assessment is unavailable in current data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG metrics for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variable metrics are not provided for either side.
  • Market: Rosenborg 33.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.4% (Δ+0%) | Lillestrøm 40.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
0.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.29
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 78 L
Brann Rank: 66 D
Sandefjord Rank: 61 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 81 L
Vålerenga Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 D
Start Rank: 49 W
Molde Rank: 66 W
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 11 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rosenborg
33.21%
Draw
26.37%
Away Lillestrøm
40.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.52
49.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Lillestrøm
Power Score
61.52
49.54
League Position
14
3
Global Rank
433
568

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Lillestrøm

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg Rosenborg Home
38 matches
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away
Match Record
19
Wins
8
11
Draws
11
8
Losses
19
Goals
79
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
79
+28
Goal Difference
-28

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:04:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
L. Wahlstedt
1 L. Wahlstedt
A. Fonn Witry
16 A. Fonn Witry
H. Røsten
2 H. Røsten
T. Nemčík
21 T. Nemčík
T. Solheim Dahl
3 T. Solheim Dahl
S. Nordli
7 S. Nordli
O. Selnæs
10 O. Selnæs
J. Bakke
25 J. Bakke
N. Donovan Sahsah
11 N. Donovan Sahsah
M. Bomholt
17 M. Bomholt
D. Islamovic
9 D. Islamovic
P. Dahlberg
12 P. Dahlberg
S. Ottesen
3 S. Ottesen
U. Yttergård Jenssen
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen
L. Gabrielsen
28 L. Gabrielsen
L. Ranger
2 L. Ranger
Y. Ibrahimaj
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
V. António Félix
20 V. António Félix
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
M. Karlsbakk
8 M. Karlsbakk
S. Drammeh
15 S. Drammeh
K. Arierhi
9 K. Arierhi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity :
21421
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ola Hobber Nilsen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.81
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
6.64
11
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah Midfielder
6.73
9
Dino Islamovic
Dino Islamovic Attacker
6.55
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.91
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Right Back
6.78
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Left Back
6.65
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Central Midfield
7.15
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Left Back
6.87
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Johan Johanessen Bakke Central Midfield
6.38
16
Aslak Witry
Aslak Witry Right Back
6.54
Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
7.22
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Midfielder
7.2
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Midfielder
6.91
9
Kparobo Arierhi
Kparobo Arierhi Centre Forward
6.78
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Central Midfield
7.26
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Left Back
6.78
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Left Back
7.06
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Right Back
7.26
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Central Midfield
6.99
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Right Back
7.01
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Defensive Midfield
7.05

CONCLUSION

Rosenborg's power rating suggests they can exploit home comforts at Lerkendal against a formidably placed Lillestrøm, but the visitors' superior league position and form score paint a picture of resilience and threat. The 12-point structural edge favors the hosts theoretically, yet Lillestrøm's trajectory hints at exploiting any complacency. Without efficiency or set piece insights, focus shifts to raw momentum versus foundational strength. Expect a tight affair where Rosenborg must convert underlying quality into points, while Lillestrøm aim to extend their strong run. Key battles in midfield could decide this Eliteserien clash.

Rosenborg vs Lillestrøm preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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