Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Bosuilstadion Sun, 10 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Antwerp ANT
Versus
Sporting Charleroi SPC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:00 PM
Round 7 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Antwerp hosts Sporting Charleroi at Bosuilstadion in a pivotal Conference League Play-off Group clash during the 2025/2026 season. As an international cup fixture within the Pro League framework, this matchup pits two evenly matched sides, with Charleroi holding a narrow power advantage at 71.46 to Antwerp's 70.3, translating to a 1.2-point edge. Form scores further favor the visitors, who score 23.17 against the hosts' 20.89, suggesting better momentum heading in. Lacking detailed league positions or recent outing specifics, analysis relies on these core metrics. Set piece performance data remains elusive, with low-confidence proxies and no xG available for either team, limiting insights into dead-ball threats. Efficiency and transition metrics are unavailable, shifting focus to overall structural balance. Home support could galvanize Antwerp, but Charleroi's superior ratings position them as marginal favorites in a tight encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Charleroi possesses a slight structural edge with a power score of 71.46 over Antwerp's 70.3.
  • Form: Charleroi demonstrates stronger recent form with a score of 23.17 compared to Antwerp's 20.89.
  • Squad: No detailed squad information is available for this preview.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in this analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with no xG data available, using proxies for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Market: Projection split: Antwerp 39.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.6% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Charleroi 31.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
VS
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Standard Liège Rank: 70 W
OH Leuven Rank: 66 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 71 L
Genk Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 77 W
OH Leuven Rank: 65 W
Genk Rank: 77 D
Standard Liège Rank: 68 L
Antwerp Rank: 70 W
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antwerp
39.81%
Draw
28.61%
Away Sporting Charleroi
31.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.3
71.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antwerp
Sporting Charleroi
Power Score
70.3
71.46
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
197
172

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp Sporting Charleroi

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home
20 matches
Sporting Charleroi SPC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
10
4
Draws
4
10
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
25
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:05:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Nozawa
41 T. Nozawa
Z. Van Den Bosch
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
Y. Tsunashima
4 Y. Tsunashima
D. Foulon
5 D. Foulon
A. Valencia
14 A. Valencia
D. Praet
8 D. Praet
Xander Dierckx
78 Xander Dierckx
E. Tuypens
56 E. Tuypens
Y. Hamdaoui
43 Y. Hamdaoui
C. Scott
30 C. Scott
G. Kerk
7 G. Kerk
M. Kone
30 M. Kone
M. Nzita
24 M. Nzita
C. keita
95 C. keita
A. Ousou
4 A. Ousou
L. Blum
27 L. Blum
Y. Khalifi
40 Y. Khalifi
E. Camara
5 E. Camara
A. Bernier
17 A. Bernier
J. Romsaas
8 J. Romsaas
K. Van Den Kerkhof
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Scheidler
21 A. Scheidler

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
Bosuilstadion
Capacity :
16649
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
6.93
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Midfielder
6.97
43
Youssef Hamdaoui
Youssef Hamdaoui Midfielder
6.69
56
Eran Tuypens
Eran Tuypens Midfielder
6.64
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Midfielder
6.89
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Centre Forward
6.84
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Centre Back
6.86
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Left Back
6.81
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Right Back
6.85
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Central Midfield
6.92
78
Xander Dierckx
Xander Dierckx Central Midfield
6.35

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
7.01
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Centre Forward
6.5
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Right Wing
6.83
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Right Back
6.88
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Left Wing
6.82
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Right Back
6.67
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi Defensive Midfield
6.72
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Left Back
6.71
5
Étienne Camara
Étienne Camara Defensive Midfield
6.88
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Attacking Midfield
6.74
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Left Back
6.73

CONCLUSION

Charleroi's advantages in power rating and form give them a subtle upper hand, potentially allowing the visitors to control key moments despite Antwerp's home backing at Bosuilstadion. Without robust set piece or efficiency data, the contest hinges on open-play execution and transitional discipline. Antwerp must maximize crowd energy to counter Charleroi's momentum, while the visitors aim to exploit their 1.2-point superiority. Expect a competitive affair where fine margins decide progression in this Conference League Play-off Group stage, with neither side holding decisive dominance.

Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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