Leganés vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 10 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Leganés LEG
Versus
Racing Santander RAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:15 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leganés welcome Racing Santander to Estadio Municipal de Butarque for a La Liga 2 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 16th in the table, the hosts face a daunting task against the league leaders, who boast a commanding power score of 71.27 compared to Leganés' 58.54, giving the visitors a 12.7-point advantage. Form tells a similar story, with Racing Santander's 31.89 rating dwarfing Leganés' modest 9.06, highlighting the Cantabrians' momentum at the top. While home advantage could play a role in this mid-table versus summit clash, Racing's superior standing suggests they enter as favorites. Key battles will unfold in midfield and attack, where efficiency and set-piece execution could tip the scales, though detailed metrics remain limited. Leganés must harness crowd support to disrupt the leaders' rhythm and secure vital points in their survival bid.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander leads the La Liga 2 table at 1st place, while Leganés languishes in 16th.
  • Form: Racing Santander's form score stands at 31.89, significantly higher than Leganés' 9.06.
  • Squad: Racing Santander possesses a power score of 71.27, outperforming Leganés' 58.54 by 12.7 points.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent as data relies on low-confidence proxies.
  • Market: Leganés 33.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Racing Santander 41.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
FC Andorra Rank: 65 L
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Almería Rank: 71 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 71 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
33.22%
Draw
25.58%
Away Racing Santander
41.21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.54
71.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
Racing Santander
Power Score
58.54
71.27
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
371
183

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
8 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
10
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:48:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Soriano Oropesa
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
22 S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
R. Peñas
4 R. Peñas
G. Aguilar López
6 G. Aguilar López
L. Lopes
11 L. Lopes
A. Campos Bautista
21 A. Campos Bautista
A. Diawara
24 A. Diawara
N. García García
17 N. García García
J. Díaz Espósito
10 J. Díaz Espósito
D. Rodríguez Vázquez
9 D. Rodríguez Vázquez
D. García Campos
19 D. García Campos
Lars Eriksson
13 Lars Eriksson
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
P. Ramón Parra
21 P. Ramón Parra
J. Castro Urdín
5 J. Castro Urdín
A. Mantilla Pérez
2 A. Mantilla Pérez
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
M. Gueye
14 M. Gueye
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity :
12454
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
6.97
4
Rubén Pulido
Rubén Pulido Defender
6.48
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Defender
6.82
22
Sebastián Figueredo
Sebastián Figueredo Defender
6.42
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Midfielder
6.85
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Midfielder
7.07
11
Duk
Duk Attacker
6.82
17
Naim García
Naim García Attacker
6.77
19
Diego García
Diego García Attacker
6.62
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Attacker
7.01
21
Andrés Campos
Andrés Campos Attacker
6.67

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.58
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Defender
6.61
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
6.8
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Defender
6.67
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
6.72
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
7.07
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.94
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Midfielder
6.7
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.87
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Attacker
7.5
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Attacker
7.34

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander's dominance in power ratings, form, and league position positions them as clear frontrunners against a Leganés side fighting relegation pressures. The visitors' 12.7-point edge underscores squad depth and consistency, likely overwhelming the hosts despite home soil. Leganés will rely on defensive resilience and opportunistic counters, but limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves question marks. Expect Racing to control possession and convert chances effectively, extending their lead at the summit. This mismatch favors the leaders in a fixture pivotal for both ends of the table.

Leganés vs Racing Santander preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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