Young Boys vs Basel Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) Sun, 10 May - 2:30 PM
Super League
Young Boys YBO
Versus
Basel BAS
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:30 PM
Round 36 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Young Boys welcome Basel to Stadion Wankdorf in Bern for a pivotal Super League Championship Round clash during the 2025/2026 season. Basel arrives as the marginally stronger outfit, holding a power score of 63.37 compared to Young Boys' 61.61, translating to a 1.8-point edge. Recent form tilts decisively toward the visitors, who score 24.33 against the hosts' 14.94. League standings reflect this closeness, with Basel in fifth and Young Boys sixth. Home support could prove crucial for the Bern side in this domestic league encounter. Both teams lack recent outing details, heightening anticipation. Structural dynamics suggest a tight affair, where Basel's superior metrics might challenge Young Boys' fortress mentality. Defensive solidity and quick counters will define proceedings in this high-stakes matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Basel possesses a 1.8-point power advantage over Young Boys with scores of 63.37 to 61.61.
  • Form: Basel leads in form with a score of 24.33 versus Young Boys' 14.94.
  • Squad: Young Boys sit sixth while Basel occupies fifth in the Super League standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies due to absent xG data.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables unavailable, relying on power and form indicators.
  • Market: Projection split: Young Boys 48.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0%) | Basel 27.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Young Boys G. Seoane
G. Seoane
VS
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: 65 L
St. Gallen Rank: 64 L
Servette Rank: 61 D
Basel Rank: 63 D
Lugano Rank: 66 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 65 W
Sion Rank: 61 L
Thun Rank: 64 L
Young Boys Rank: 62 D
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Servette Rank: 63 W
30
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
30 - 23 - 28
28
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Young Boys
48.87%
Draw
23.21%
Away Basel
27.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.61
63.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Young Boys
Basel
Power Score
61.61
63.37
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
431
383

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Young Boys Opponent-weighted form score
Basel Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Young Boys Basel

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 81 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Young Boys YBO Home
81 matches
Basel BAS Away
Match Record
30
Wins
28
23
Draws
23
28
Losses
30
Goals
137
Goals Scored
131
131
Goals Conceded
137
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:06:20+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Keller
1 M. Keller
Y. Valery
22 Y. Valery
S. Lauper
30 S. Lauper
L. Benito
23 L. Benito
S. Bukinac
33 S. Bukinac
E. Fernandes
6 E. Fernandes
A. Gigovic
37 A. Gigovic
A. Virginius
7 A. Virginius
A. Antonio Sanches
10 A. Antonio Sanches
J. Monteiro
77 J. Monteiro
S. Essende
99 S. Essende
M. Salvi
13 M. Salvi
F. van Breemen
25 F. van Breemen
F. Daniliuc
24 F. Daniliuc
N. Vouilloz
3 N. Vouilloz
K. Rüegg
27 K. Rüegg
A. Silu
5 A. Silu
A. Bačanin
14 A. Bačanin
L. Leroy
22 L. Leroy
B. Traore
11 B. Traore
G. Koloto
37 G. Koloto
J. Duranville
18 J. Duranville

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Marvin Keller
Marvin Keller Goalkeeper
6.82
99
Samuel Essende
Samuel Essende Centre Forward
6.92
22
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Right Back
6.81
37
Armin Gigovic
Armin Gigovic Defensive Midfield
6.81
6
Edimilson Fernandes
Edimilson Fernandes Defensive Midfield
7.14
7
Alan Virginius
Alan Virginius Right Wing
6.74
10
Alvyn Sanches
Alvyn Sanches Attacking Midfield
7.43
23
Loris Benito
Loris Benito Left Back
6.89
30
Sandro Lauper
Sandro Lauper Right Back
6.92
33
Stefan Bukinac
Stefan Bukinac Left Back
6.6
77
Joël Monteiro
Joël Monteiro Left Wing
6.74

Starting XI

13
Mirko Salvi
Mirko Salvi Goalkeeper
6.4
11
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré Attacker
7
18
Julien Duranville
Julien Duranville Attacker
6.65
37
Giacomo Koloto
Giacomo Koloto Centre Forward
6.74
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz Right Back
6.88
5
Metinho
Metinho Central Midfield
7.04
14
Andrej Bacanin
Andrej Bacanin Central Midfield
6.77
22
Léo Leroy
Léo Leroy Central Midfield
6.89
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc Left Back
7.04
25
Finn van Breemen
Finn van Breemen Left Back
6.08
27
Kevin Rüegg
Kevin Rüegg Right Back
6.53

CONCLUSION

This Super League Championship Round fixture pits Young Boys' home resilience against Basel's nuanced superiority in power and form. Visitors' 1.8-point edge and higher recent scoring suggest they can exploit gaps, yet Stadion Wankdorf's atmosphere often inspires the hosts. Mid-table positioning underscores the need for points, with no clear dominance. Limited set-piece and efficiency insights leave room for surprises. Expect a competitive battle where tactical discipline prevails, potentially favoring Basel's momentum if they navigate early pressure effectively.

Young Boys vs Basel preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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