Young Boys vs Basel Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) Sun, 10 May - 2:30 PM
Super League
Young Boys YBO
3 Winner 0
Basel BAS
Full Time Sun, 10 May 2:30 PM
Round 36 Championship Round
Darian Males - 74'
Dominik Pech - 49'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Young Boys claimed a commanding 3-0 victory over Basel at home, with all goals arriving after a goalless first half that ended 0-0. Holding 55% possession to Basel's 45%, the stronger home side dictated play without red card interruptions. Recognized pre-match as the superior team, Young Boys converted their dominance into a clean-sheet win, reflecting minimal structural deviation of 2.1%. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, and the result aligned fully with market anticipations. No significant second-half adjustments or events altered the flow, allowing steady control. Though xG data was unavailable, the performance underscored Young Boys' ability to break down Basel's defense post-interval, securing three unanswered goals in a composed display.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Young Boys recorded minimal structural deviation of 2.1%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments impacted match structure.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any play distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Schärer

Switzerland
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Erni

1st Assistant

Switzerland

S. Küng

2nd Assistant

Switzerland

N. Gianforte

4th Official

Switzerland

League averages

Super League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.91
Yellow cards / match 3.69
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.4
Young Boys G. Seoane
G. Seoane
VS
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: 65 L
St. Gallen Rank: 64 L
Servette Rank: 63 D
Basel Rank: 62 D
Lugano Rank: 65 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 65 W
Sion Rank: 61 L
Thun Rank: 64 L
Young Boys Rank: 63 D
Winterthur Rank: 45 W
Servette Rank: 63 W
30
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
30 - 23 - 28
28

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Young Boys
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Basel
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.09
62.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Young Boys
Basel
Power Score
63.09
62.29
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
394
418

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Young Boys — Opponent-weighted form score
Basel — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Young Boys Basel

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Young Boys

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Basel

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Young Boys ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Basel
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.55
28.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.56
51.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Young Boys +2.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Basel -2.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Young Boys
Basel
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Young Boys ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Basel
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Young Boys Basel
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Young Boys Basel
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Young Boys
Basel
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Young Boys
vs
Basel
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Young Boys Basel
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Young Boys 0.37
Basel 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Young Boys Basel
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Young Boys 0.00
Basel 0.04
Young Boys
Basel
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • YBO had peak pressure around 53'.
  • YBO started the game with stronger pressure.
YBO Pressure BAS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: YBO reached the top pressure at 53' (81.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 81 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Young Boys YBO Home
81 matches
Basel BAS Away
Match Record
30
Wins
28
23
Draws
23
28
Losses
30
Goals
137
Goals Scored
131
131
Goals Conceded
137
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:04:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Keller
Switzerland
1 M. Keller
Y. Valery
Substitution
Tunisia
22 Y. Valery
S. Lauper
Switzerland
30 S. Lauper
L. Benito
Switzerland
23 L. Benito
J. Hadjam
Substitution
Algeria
3 J. Hadjam
D. Pech
Czech Republic
13 D. Pech
E. Fernandes
Switzerland
6 E. Fernandes
D. Males
Substitution
Switzerland
39 D. Males
A. Antonio Sanches
Switzerland
10 A. Antonio Sanches
J. Monteiro
Substitution
Portugal
77 J. Monteiro
C. Bedia
Substitution
Ivory Coast
29 C. Bedia
Pitch
M. Salvi
Switzerland
13 M. Salvi
M. Cisse
France
29 M. Cisse
F. Daniliuc
Austria
24 F. Daniliuc
N. Vouilloz
Switzerland
3 N. Vouilloz
K. Rüegg
Substitution
Switzerland
27 K. Rüegg
A. Silu
Substitution
Brazil
5 A. Silu
A. Bačanin
Substitution
Serbia
14 A. Bačanin
L. Leroy
France
22 L. Leroy
B. Traore
Ivory Coast
11 B. Traore
G. Koloto
Substitution
37 G. Koloto
J. Duranville
Substitution
Belgium
18 J. Duranville

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sandro Schärer
Jonas Erni
Susann Küng
Nico Gianforte

Statistics

Possession
YBO
55%
BAS
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 4
67 Dangerous attacks 37
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

10 Successful Dribbles 5
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
19 Dribble Attempts 10
4 Goal Kicks 14
13 Throwins 18
61 Ball Safe 70
22 Goal Attempts 9
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 1
102 Attacks 77

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 83
27 Successful Long Passes 32
51 Long Passes 58
463 Passes 378
18 Key Passes 10
395 Successful Passes 312
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

15 Tackles 15
14 Interceptions 13
6 Saves 5

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 17
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sandro Schärer

Starting XI ▼

1
Marvin Keller
Marvin Keller Goalkeeper
3
Jaouen Hadjam
Jaouen Hadjam Defender
33
Stefan Bukinac
Stefan Bukinac
Defender71'
22
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Defender
4
Tanguy Zoukrou
Tanguy Zoukrou
Defender87'
23
Loris Benito
Loris Benito Defender
30
Sandro Lauper
Sandro Lauper Defender
6
Edimilson Fernandes
Edimilson Fernandes Midfielder
10
Alvyn Sanches
Alvyn Sanches Midfielder
13
Dominik Pech
Dominik Pech Midfielder
39
Darian Males
Darian Males Midfielder
16
Christian Fassnacht
Christian Fassnacht
Midfielder79'
77
Joël Monteiro
Joël Monteiro Midfielder
11
Ebrima Colley
Ebrima Colley
Attacker79'
29
Chris Bedia
Chris Bedia Attacker
99
Samuel Essende
Samuel Essende
Attacker70'
Referee : Sandro Schärer

Starting XI ▼

13
Mirko Salvi
Mirko Salvi Goalkeeper
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz Defender
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc Defender
27
Kevin Rüegg
Kevin Rüegg Defender
6
Keigo Tsunemoto
Keigo Tsunemoto
Defender75'
29
Moussa Cissé
Moussa Cissé Defender
5
Metinho
Metinho Midfielder
8
Koba Koindredi
Koba Koindredi
Midfielder63'
14
Andrej Bacanin
Andrej Bacanin Midfielder
10
Xherdan Shaqiri
Xherdan Shaqiri
Midfielder67'
22
Léo Leroy
Léo Leroy Midfielder
11
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré Attacker
18
Julien Duranville
Julien Duranville Attacker
21
Ibrahim Salah
Ibrahim Salah
Attacker63'
37
Giacomo Koloto
Giacomo Koloto Attacker
23
Albian Ajeti
Albian Ajeti
Attacker63'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Moussa Cissé
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Christian Fassnacht
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+4'
Event
Tanguy Zoukrou → Yan Valery
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Ebrima Colley → Joël Monteiro
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Christian Fassnacht → Darian Males
9th Substitution
79'
75'
Event
Keigo Tsunemoto  → Kevin Rüegg
7th Substitution
Event
Darian Males
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
74'
Event
Stefan Bukinac → Jaouen Hadjam
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Samuel Essende → Chris Bedia
5th Substitution
70'
67'
Event
Xherdan Shaqiri   → Andrej Bacanin
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Albian Ajeti → Giacomo Koloto
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Ibrahim Salah → Julien Duranville
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Koba Koindredi → Metinho 
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Giacomo Koloto
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Dominik Pech
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
49'
1ST-HALF
Event
Yan Valery
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
18'
Event
Kevin Rüegg
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Leo Leroy takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Stefan Bukinac takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Christian Fassnacht scores with a right-footed shot.
89
Attempt Attempt
Keigo Tsunemoto takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Tanguy Zoukrou is on, and Yan Valery is off.
83
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Koba Koindredi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Update Update
Christian Fassnacht replaces Darian Males.
79
Update Update
Ebrima Colley comes on for Joel Almada Monteiro.
77
Attempt Attempt
Albian Ajeti takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Salah's left-footed shot is blocked.
75
Update Update
Keigo Tsunemoto comes on for Kevin Ruegg.
74
Attempt Attempt
Darian Males scores with a left-footed shot.
73
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Joel Almada Monteiro takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
71
Update Update
Stefan Bukinac comes on for Jaouen Hadjam.
71
Attempt Attempt
Joel Almada Monteiro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Samuel Essende comes on for Chris Vianney Bedia.
67
Update Update
Xherdan Shaqiri comes on for Andrej Bacanin.
64
Update Update
Flavius Daniliuc's header goes wide.
63
Update Update
Koba Koindredi comes on for Metinho.
63
Update Update
Albian Ajeti comes on for Giacomo Koloto.
62
Attempt Attempt
Yan Valery takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Pech takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Edimilson Fernandes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Koloto's header shot misses the target.
60
Attempt Attempt
Leo Leroy's header is saved.
59
Attempt Attempt
Darian Males takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Darian Males takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joel Almada Monteiro takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
51
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Koloto's left-footed shot is saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Dominik Pech takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
48
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Attempt Attempt
Chris Vianney Bedia attempted a header but missed the shot.
40
Attempt Attempt
Jaouen Hadjam takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
Edimilson Fernandes takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Jaouen Hadjam takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Koloto's header shot misses the target.
30
Attempt Attempt
Darian Males takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yan Valery receives a yellow card.
24
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Koloto takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kevin Ruegg receives a yellow card.
10
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Joel Almada Monteiro takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Edimilson Fernandes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Alvyn Sanches takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Young Boys' 3-0 defeat of Basel exemplified home dominance, transforming a 0-0 halftime stalemate into a second-half rout. With 55% possession and no red cards, they executed efficiently against a resilient Basel. Minimal deviation and market alignment confirmed the predictable strength of the victors. Lacking xG insights, the win relied on tangible control and clinical finishing. This result reinforces Young Boys' superior billing, delivering a clean sheet through sustained pressure without disruptions.

Young Boys vs Basel preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.