FC Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Euroborg Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
FC Groningen GRO
Versus
NEC Nijmegen NEC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Groningen welcomes NEC Nijmegen to Euroborg in the Eredivisie's 2025/2026 regular season. The hosts sit 10th in the standings, trailing the third-placed visitors who demonstrate greater overall strength with a power score of 74.06 compared to Groningen's 65.61, translating to an 8.5-point advantage. NEC's superior form rating of 30.83 dwarfs Groningen's 18.44, highlighting recent momentum in their favor. Playing at home, Groningen aims to harness crowd support and defensive resilience against NEC's attacking prowess. Midfield control and quick transitions could prove decisive, as both sides navigate a tightly contested league. Groningen's mid-table position reflects steady but unspectacular results, while NEC's top-tier ranking underscores their consistency. Without recent outing details, focus shifts to underlying metrics favoring the away team. This clash promises intensity, with NEC poised to extend their edge.

TL;DR

  • Structural: NEC Nijmegen holds a clear structural advantage with a power score of 74.06 over FC Groningen's 65.61.
  • Form: NEC Nijmegen's form score of 30.83 significantly outpaces FC Groningen's 18.44.
  • Squad: NEC Nijmegen occupies 3rd in the league, ahead of FC Groningen's 10th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition statistics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG variable data provided for this fixture.
  • Market: Baseline split: FC Groningen 33% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | NEC Nijmegen 42.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Groningen D. Lukkien
D. Lukkien
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Excelsior Rank: 61 L
Feyenoord Rank: 74 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
Telstar Rank: 62 W
AZ Rank: 76 W
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: 62 D
FC Twente Rank: 75 D
Feyenoord Rank: 74 D
Excelsior Rank: 62 W
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 D
PSV Rank: 86 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Groningen
32.99%
Draw
24.87%
Away NEC Nijmegen
42.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.61
74.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
65.61
74.06
League Position
10
3
Global Rank
306
129

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Groningen — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Groningen NEC Nijmegen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Groningen GRO Home
31 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
9
Draws
9
11
Losses
11
Goals
55
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
55
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:06:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
E. Vaessen
1 E. Vaessen
M. Rente
5 M. Rente
T. Blokzijl
3 T. Blokzijl
D. Janse
4 D. Janse
M. Peersman
43 M. Peersman
T. de Jonge
8 T. de Jonge
T. Land
18 T. Land
D. van der Werff
17 D. van der Werff
Y. Taha El Idrissi
10 Y. Taha El Idrissi
J. Schreuders
14 J. Schreuders
T. van Bergen
26 T. van Bergen
G. Crettaz
1 G. Crettaz
D. Fonville
24 D. Fonville
B. Nuytinck
17 B. Nuytinck
E. Dasa
14 E. Dasa
N. Lebreton
20 N. Lebreton
P. Sandler
3 P. Sandler
D. Nejašmić
6 D. Nejašmić
S. Ouaissa
25 S. Ouaissa
K. Sano
23 K. Sano
B. Linssen
30 B. Linssen
T. Chery
10 T. Chery

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Euroborg
Capacity :
22525
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Richard Brondijk
Alex Bos
Frans Ozinga
Martijn Vos

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alex Bos

Starting XI ▼

1
Etienne Vaessen
Etienne Vaessen Goalkeeper
6.86
26
Thom van Bergen
Thom van Bergen Centre Forward
6.95
43
Marvin Peersman
Marvin Peersman Left Back
6.77
18
Tygo Land
Tygo Land Defensive Midfield
6.47
17
David van der Werff
David van der Werff Right Wing
6.89
5
Marco Rente
Marco Rente Right Back
6.98
3
Thijmen Blokzijl
Thijmen Blokzijl Right Back
6.87
4
Dies Janse
Dies Janse Left Back
7.04
8
Tika de Jonge
Tika de Jonge Defensive Midfield
6.77
10
Younes Taha
Younes Taha Attacking Midfield
7.05
14
Jorg Schreuders
Jorg Schreuders Left Wing
6.86
Referee : Alex Bos

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.85
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Midfielder
7.04
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
7.05
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
7.03
10
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery Attacker
7.3
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck Centre Back
6.39
14
Eli Dasa
Eli Dasa Right Back
6.7
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Left Back
6.77
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Central Midfield
6.63
23
Kodai Sano
Kodai Sano Attacking Midfield
7.06
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Central Midfield
7.06

CONCLUSION

NEC Nijmegen enters as the stronger side, backed by superior power and form metrics, positioning them well for victory at Euroborg. FC Groningen's home advantage may spark resistance, yet their lower rankings and scores suggest vulnerability. Expect NEC to dominate possession and create higher-quality chances, while Groningen counters through set plays and pace. The 8.5-point power gap underscores NEC's edge in key areas like midfield battles and finishing. A narrow away win seems likely, propelling NEC further up the table. Groningen must elevate beyond recent form to compete effectively.

FC Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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