FC Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Grolsch Veste Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
FC Twente TWE
Versus
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Twente host Sparta Rotterdam at De Grolsch Veste in an Eredivisie regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side sit comfortably in 5th place, four positions above their 9th-placed opponents, backed by a commanding power score of 76.1 to Sparta's 65.43, yielding a 10.7-point advantage. Twente's form score of 27.33 starkly contrasts Sparta's 9.06, indicating recent momentum favors the hosts. As the stronger team overall, FC Twente will seek to leverage home support and superior metrics to secure vital points in their top-half push. Sparta Rotterdam face a stern test, needing discipline and opportunism to counter Twente's dominance. Without specific recent results detailed, broader trends point to a home advantage in this mid-table tussle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Twente hold a 10.7-point power advantage with a 76.1 score over Sparta Rotterdam's 65.43.
  • Form: FC Twente's form score stands at 27.33, surpassing Sparta Rotterdam's 9.06.
  • Squad: FC Twente occupy 5th in the Eredivisie table, ahead of Sparta Rotterdam in 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not specified in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xVariable statistics not provided for the matchup.
  • Market: FC Twente 69.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.7% (Δ+0%) | Sparta Rotterdam 11.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: 76 D
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Ajax Rank: 77 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
Telstar Rank: 60 L
PSV Rank: 86 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 D
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Ajax Rank: 77 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 8 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
69.44%
Draw
18.71%
Away Sparta Rotterdam
11.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.1
65.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Power Score
76.1
65.43
League Position
5
9
Global Rank
98
314

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC Twente Opponent-weighted form score
Sparta Rotterdam Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente Sparta Rotterdam

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
29 matches
Sparta Rotterdam SPR Away
Match Record
14
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
14
Goals
46
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
46
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:06:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
L. Unnerstall
1 L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
43 R. Nijstad
M. Rots
39 M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
20 T. van den Belt
D. Rots
11 D. Rots
K. Hlynsson
14 K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
27 S. Ørjasæter
S. Lammers
10 S. Lammers
J. Drommel
1 J. Drommel
G. Vianello
15 G. Vianello
T. Quintero León
4 T. Quintero León
M. Young
3 M. Young
L. Martes
2 L. Martes
V. van Crooij
10 V. van Crooij
J. Kitolano
8 J. Kitolano
A. Santos
18 A. Santos
S. Mito
11 S. Mito
T. Lauritsen
9 T. Lauritsen
M. van Bergen
7 M. van Bergen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity :
30205
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sjoerd Nanninga
Wouter Wiersma
Jannick van der Laan
Michael Osseweijer

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.77
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Centre Forward
7.14
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Defensive Midfield
7.15
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Defensive Midfield
6.94
11
Daan Rots
Daan Rots Right Wing
7.02
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Left Wing
7.02
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Right Back
7.23
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Right Back
6.84
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Left Back
6.96
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Left Back
6.81
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Attacking Midfield
7.04
Referee : Jannick van der Laan

Starting XI

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
7.21
7
Mitchell van Bergen
Mitchell van Bergen Attacker
6.75
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Attacker
7.05
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Centre Forward
7.29
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Central Midfield
6.9
2
Lushendry Edward Martes
Lushendry Edward Martes Right Back
6.66
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Right Back
6.9
4
Teo Quintero
Teo Quintero Left Back
7.01
15
Giannino Vianello
Giannino Vianello Left Back
6.57
18
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos Central Midfield
6.77
8
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Central Midfield
6.84

CONCLUSION

FC Twente enter this De Grolsch Veste clash with multifaceted edges over Sparta Rotterdam, from power rating and form score to league position. The 10.7-point superiority underscores their structural dominance, while home advantage amplifies expectations of control. Sparta, trailing in key areas, must prioritize compactness to withstand pressure and exploit rare openings. Absent detailed recent outings, Twente's metrics suggest a proactive approach likely yielding chances. A solid performance could propel the hosts further up the table, as Sparta aim to defy trends with grit. This fixture highlights Twente's credentials as frontrunners in the Eredivisie pecking order.

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