FK Nizjni Novgorod vs CSKA Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium Mon, 11 May - 12:15 PM
Premier League
FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod
Versus
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 12:15 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FK Nizjni Novgorod welcome CSKA Moskva to Nizhny Novgorod Stadium for a Premier League regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts languish in 15th place, grappling with inconsistency, while CSKA sit comfortably in 6th, showcasing greater stability. CSKA hold a substantial power advantage of 18.3 points, with their score at 69.42 dwarfing Nizjni's 51.12, underscoring the visitors' superior overall quality. Form metrics further tilt towards CSKA, who boast a 12.06 rating against Nizjni's modest 5.61, suggesting recent momentum favors the away side. Limited advanced data hampers deeper analysis on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces, where low-confidence proxies are relied upon due to unavailable xG stats. Nizjni will lean on home advantage to disrupt CSKA's rhythm, but the structural gap poses a steep challenge. This fixture highlights a classic mismatch between mid-table aspirants and upper-echelon contenders.

TL;DR

  • Structural: CSKA Moskva enjoys an 18.3-point power advantage over FK Nizjni Novgorod, with scores of 69.42 versus 51.12.
  • Form: CSKA Moskva's form score stands at 12.06, well ahead of FK Nizjni Novgorod's 5.61.
  • Squad: FK Nizjni Novgorod occupy 15th in the league, while CSKA Moskva are in 6th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition play metrics are provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies as xG stats are unavailable.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables are not accessible, limiting predictive depth.
  • Market: Projection split: FK Nizjni Novgorod 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | CSKA Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FK Nizjni Novgorod V. Garanin
V. Garanin
VS
CSKA Moskva D. Igdisamov
D. Igdisamov
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 L
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 D
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 D
Rostov Rank: 60 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: 80 L
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 D
Rostov Rank: 60 D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 54 D
Sochi Rank: 53 L
Akron Rank: 56 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FK Nizjni Novgorod
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.12
69.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FK Nizjni Novgorod
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
51.12
69.42
League Position
15
6
Global Rank
761
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FK Nizjni Novgorod — Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FK Nizjni Novgorod CSKA Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod Home
9 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
1
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
7
-14
Goal Difference
+14

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:51:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
N. Medvedev
30 N. Medvedev
M. Shnaptsev
70 M. Shnaptsev
N. Kakkoev
22 N. Kakkoev
I. Kirsh
4 I. Kirsh
Y. Koledin
3 Y. Koledin
S. Karič
25 S. Karič
L. Vešner Tičić
29 L. Vešner Tičić
D. Lesovoy
88 D. Lesovoy
N. Kalinsky
78 N. Kalinsky
A. Balboa Camacho
10 A. Balboa Camacho
R. Cephas
21 R. Cephas
V. Torop
49 V. Torop
D. Krugovoi
3 D. Krugovoi
K. Danilov
79 K. Danilov
J. Da Silva Marcelino
4 J. Da Silva Marcelino
M. Gajić
22 M. Gajić
D. Barinov
6 D. Barinov
M. Popović
20 M. Popović
M. Kislyak
31 M. Kislyak
I. Oblyakov
10 I. Oblyakov
L. Gondou
9 L. Gondou
T. Musaev
11 T. Musaev

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 12:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Capacity :
35000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Nikita Medvedev
Nikita Medvedev Goalkeeper
6.76
10
Adrián Balboa
Adrián Balboa Attacker
6.72
21
R. Cephas
R. Cephas Attacker
6.6
4
Ilya Kirsch
Ilya Kirsch Left Back
6.75
25
Sven Karič
Sven Karič Defensive Midfield
6.95
29
Luka Tičić
Luka Tičić Central Midfield
6.77
70
Maksim Shnaptsev
Maksim Shnaptsev Right Back
6.65
78
Nikolay Kalinskiy
Nikolay Kalinskiy Central Midfield
6.7
88
Daniil Lesovoy
Daniil Lesovoy Central Midfield
6.65
3
Yuriy Koledin
Yuriy Koledin Left Back
6.65
22
Nikita Kakkoev
Nikita Kakkoev Right Back
6.65

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.98
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou Midfielder
6.62
20
Matija Popović
Matija Popović Midfielder
6.57
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev Centre Forward
6.86
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Left Back
7.03
4
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
6.96
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Defensive Midfield
7.14
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak Central Midfield
7.19
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Left Back
6.81
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Right Back
6.71
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Central Midfield
7.42

CONCLUSION

CSKA Moskva enter as clear favorites, backed by superior power ratings, form, and league standing, positioning them to dominate proceedings at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium. FK Nizjni Novgorod face an uphill battle from 15th place, needing a defensive masterclass and opportunistic counters to compete. The 18.3-point power gap signals CSKA's structural edge, likely translating to control in possession and chance creation. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to CSKA's higher form score driving clinical execution. Nizjni's home crowd may spark resistance, but overcoming the visitors' quality demands peak performance across the board. Expect CSKA to edge a professional victory in this uneven contest.

FK Nizjni Novgorod vs CSKA Moskva preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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