Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Otkrytie Arena Mon, 11 May - 2:30 PM
Premier League
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
Versus
Rubin Kazan RKA
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 2:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Spartak Moskva welcomes Rubin Kazan to Otkrytie Arena for a key Premier League regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting fourth in the standings, Spartak holds a clear edge with a power score of 72.79 against Rubin's 64.31, translating to an 8.5-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Home advantage at their fortress could prove decisive, especially as they aim to solidify a top-four position. However, Rubin, lurking in seventh, enters with momentum from a stronger form score of 27.5 compared to Spartak's 23.28, suggesting recent performances might unsettle the hosts. Both sides lack detailed last outing data, keeping focus on broader trends. League positions reflect Spartak's squad depth and consistency, while Rubin's resilience poses a threat. Set piece metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, limiting insights into dead-ball prowess. This matchup pits Spartak's overall strength against Rubin's hot streak in a battle for vital points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Spartak Moskva possesses a power score of 72.79 versus Rubin Kazan's 64.31, granting an 8.5-point advantage.
  • Form: Rubin Kazan edges recent form with a 27.5 score over Spartak Moskva's 23.28.
  • Squad: Spartak Moskva sits fourth in the league, ahead of seventh-placed Rubin Kazan.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, preventing variable assessment.
  • Market: Baseline split: Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rubin Kazan 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
VS
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
Krasnodar Rank: 76 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 W
Rostov Rank: 60 D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 W
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 W
Akron Rank: 53 D
Orenburg Rank: 53 D
Sochi Rank: 53 W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 11 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spartak Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rubin Kazan
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.79
64.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spartak Moskva
Rubin Kazan
Power Score
72.79
64.31
League Position
4
7
Global Rank
151
355

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Moskva Rubin Kazan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Home
43 matches
Rubin Kazan RKA Away
Match Record
21
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
21
Goals
56
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
56
+19
Goal Difference
-19

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:51:20+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Maximenko
98 A. Maximenko
D. Denisov
97 D. Denisov
C. Wooh
3 C. Wooh
A. Djiku
4 A. Djiku
R. Zobnin
47 R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov
68 R. Litvinov
N. Umyarov
18 N. Umyarov
P. Solari
7 P. Solari
E. Barco
5 E. Barco
G. Carvalho Fernandes
83 G. Carvalho Fernandes
M. Ugalde
9 M. Ugalde
E. Staver
38 E. Staver
D. Maldonado Munguía
3 D. Maldonado Munguía
E. Teslenko
2 E. Teslenko
N. Lobov
98 N. Lobov
K. Nizhegorodov
4 K. Nizhegorodov
I. Saavedra Pino
7 I. Saavedra Pino
V. Hodža
22 V. Hodža
A. Arroyo Córdoba
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
I. Rozhkov
51 I. Rozhkov
M. Daku
10 M. Daku
N. Gripshi
11 N. Gripshi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Otkrytie Arena
Capacity :
14274
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

98
Aleksandr Maksimenko
Aleksandr Maksimenko Goalkeeper
6.67
9
Manfred Ugalde
Manfred Ugalde Centre Forward
6.95
3
Christopher Wooh
Christopher Wooh Right Back
6.75
97
Daniil Denisov
Daniil Denisov Right Back
6.8
7
Pablo Solari
Pablo Solari Right Wing
6.95
47
Roman Zobnin
Roman Zobnin Left Back
6.74
4
Alexander Djiku
Alexander Djiku Left Back
6.8
5
Esequiel Barco
Esequiel Barco Attacking Midfield
7.51
18
Nail Umyarov
Nail Umyarov Defensive Midfield
6.96
68
Ruslan Litvinov
Ruslan Litvinov Defensive Midfield
6.96
83
Gedson Fernandes
Gedson Fernandes Left Wing
6.87

Starting XI ▼

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.89
4
Konstantin Nizhegorodov
Konstantin Nizhegorodov Midfielder
6.76
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Midfielder
6.89
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Attacker
6.89
10
Mirlind Daku
Mirlind Daku Centre Forward
6.95
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Attacker
7.02
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Central Midfield
6.77
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Centre Back
6.94
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Right Back
6.84
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado Left Back
6.74
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Central Midfield
6.82

CONCLUSION

Spartak Moskva's superior power rating and home venue position them favorably against Rubin Kazan, despite the visitors' better form score. Fourth place reflects Spartak's squad quality and consistency, likely enabling control in possession and chance creation. Rubin's seventh standing and form edge introduce upset potential, particularly if they exploit transitions effectively. Without set piece or efficiency details, the focus shifts to Spartak's 8.5-point edge driving a narrow victory. Expect a competitive encounter where home strength prevails, securing three points to bolster their top-four push in the Premier League.

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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