NAC Breda vs SC Heerenveen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Rat Verlegh Stadion Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
NAC Breda NAC
Versus
SC Heerenveen HEE
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

NAC Breda host SC Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Domestically, NAC Breda sit 17th in the table while SC Heerenveen are 7th. Power ranking favours SC Heerenveen by 16.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Heerenveen possess a 16.2-point power advantage over NAC Breda with a score of 70.77 to 54.59.
  • Form: Heerenveen's form score stands at 23.56, far superior to NAC Breda's 4.61.
  • Squad: NAC Breda languish in 17th place while SC Heerenveen sit 7th in the Eredivisie standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG variable data unavailable as xG add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: NAC Breda 37.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | SC Heerenveen 37.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
NAC Breda C. Hoefkens
C. Hoefkens
VS
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
0.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
Ajax Rank: 75 L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 66 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 64 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
AZ Rank: 76 L
Heracles Almelo Rank: 56 W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
Telstar Rank: 63 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NAC Breda
37.37%
Draw
25.26%
Away SC Heerenveen
37.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.59
70.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NAC Breda
SC Heerenveen
Power Score
54.59
70.77
League Position
17
7
Global Rank
664
193

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NAC Breda — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NAC Breda SC Heerenveen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NAC Breda NAC Home
29 matches
SC Heerenveen HEE Away
Match Record
4
Wins
18
7
Draws
7
18
Losses
4
Goals
31
Goals Scored
59
59
Goals Conceded
31
-28
Goal Difference
+28

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:49:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Bielica
99 D. Bielica
D. Odoi
3 D. Odoi
E. Mahmutovic
15 E. Mahmutovic
C. Leemans
8 C. Leemans
B. Kemper
4 B. Kemper
C. Valerius
25 C. Valerius
R. Hillen
22 R. Hillen
M. Balard
16 M. Balard
K. Sowah
14 K. Sowah
L. Holtby
90 L. Holtby
André Ayew Pelé
24 André Ayew Pelé
B. Klaverboer
22 B. Klaverboer
V. Zagaritis
19 V. Zagaritis
M. Willemsen
3 M. Willemsen
S. Kersten
4 S. Kersten
O. Johansen Braude
45 O. Johansen Braude
L. Brouwers
8 L. Brouwers
M. Linday
16 M. Linday
L. Oyen
11 L. Oyen
R. Meerveld
10 R. Meerveld
J. Trenskow
20 J. Trenskow
D. Vente
9 D. Vente

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Capacity :
19000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sander van der Eijk
Rens Bluemink
Stefan de Groot
Stan Teuben

Expected Lineup

Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Bielica
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper
6.9
25
Cherrion Valerius
Cherrion Valerius Midfielder
6.62
14
Kamal Sowah
Kamal Sowah Midfielder
6.72
24
André Ayew
André Ayew Attacker
6.68
90
Lewis Holtby
Lewis Holtby Attacker
6.82
3
Denis Odoi
Denis Odoi Right Back
6.66
8
Clint Leemans
Clint Leemans Left Back
6.78
22
Rio Hillen
Rio Hillen Central Midfield
6.77
4
Boy Kemper
Boy Kemper Left Back
6.9
15
Enes Mahmutovic
Enes Mahmutovic Right Back
6.57
16
Max Balard
Max Balard Central Midfield
6.7
Referee : Sander van der Eijk

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
6.93
9
Dylan Vente
Dylan Vente Centre Forward
6.83
3
Maas Willemsen
Maas Willemsen Left Back
6.84
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Right Back
6.73
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Left Back
6.9
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Right Wing
7.21
8
Luuk Brouwers
Luuk Brouwers Defensive Midfield
6.99
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Attacking Midfield
6.95
11
Luca Oyen
Luca Oyen Left Wing
6.48
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Defensive Midfield
6.84
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Right Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Heerenveen holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Heerenveen a 16.2-point edge. External projection is NAC Breda 37.4%, draw 25.3%, and SC Heerenveen 37.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

NAC Breda vs SC Heerenveen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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