Telstar vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
BUKO Stadion Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Telstar TEL
Versus
Heracles Almelo HEA
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Telstar host Heracles Almelo at BUKO Stadion in an Eredivisie regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 15th, Telstar hold a two-place advantage over 18th-placed Heracles, reflecting their steadier campaign so far. Recent form sharply contrasts, with Telstar scoring 24.22 against Heracles' meager 1.94, suggesting momentum swings in the home side's favor. Power ratings tilt slightly to Heracles at 55.69 versus Telstar's 53, a 2.7-point edge underscoring the visitors' underlying quality. Home advantage at the compact BUKO Stadion could amplify Telstar's intensity. Limited data hampers deeper analysis into set pieces or efficiency, as xG metrics remain unavailable with low confidence proxies in use. Both sides battle relegation pressures, making this fixture pivotal for survival hopes. Telstar's superior league standing and form position them to capitalize on familiarity with the venue.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Telstar occupy 15th place in the Eredivisie, ahead of Heracles Almelo in 18th, though Heracles possess a 2.7-point power advantage.
  • Form: Telstar boast a strong form score of 24.22, dwarfing Heracles Almelo's poor 1.94.
  • Squad: Power scores rate Heracles Almelo slightly higher at 55.69 compared to Telstar's 53.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are unavailable due to lack of specific tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG add-on not enabled, using low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both squads amid data limitations.
  • Market: Projection split: Telstar 70.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.4% (Δ+0%) | Heracles Almelo 12.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Telstar A. Correia
A. Correia
VS
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 67 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
FC Groningen Rank: 66 L
PSV Rank: 86 W
SC Heerenveen Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 L
FC Volendam Rank: 59 L
Ajax Rank: 77 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 71 L
Excelsior Rank: 62 D
AZ Rank: 76 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Telstar
70.29%
Draw
17.4%
Away Heracles Almelo
12.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53
55.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Telstar
Heracles Almelo
Power Score
53
55.69
League Position
15
18
Global Rank
417
629

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Telstar — Opponent-weighted form score
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Telstar Heracles Almelo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Telstar TEL Home
1 matches
Heracles Almelo HEA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:49:17+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Koeman Jr.
1 R. Koeman Jr.
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
14 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D. Koswal
21 D. Koswal
D. Bakker
6 D. Bakker
T. Noslin
11 T. Noslin
G. Offerhaus
4 G. Offerhaus
C. Hatenboer
23 C. Hatenboer
J. Hardeveld
2 J. Hardeveld
T. Owusu
8 T. Owusu
P. Brouwer
27 P. Brouwer
S. van Duijn
37 S. van Duijn
T. Jansink
16 T. Jansink
D. van der Kust
5 D. van der Kust
T. Hamamioglu
41 T. Hamamioglu
D. Mirani
4 D. Mirani
M. Benita
2 M. Benita
S. Cestic
6 S. Cestic
J. Žambůrek
13 J. Žambůrek
M. Engels
8 M. Engels
J. Wieckhoff
3 J. Wieckhoff
T. van Gilst
17 T. van Gilst
L. Kulenović
19 L. Kulenović

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
BUKO Stadion
Capacity :
3200
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rogier Honig
Joshua Kuipers
Serdar Gözübüyük
Patrick Inia

Expected Lineup

Referee : Serdar Gözübüyük

Starting XI ▼

1
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Ronald Koeman Jr. Goalkeeper
7.25
8
Tyrone Owusu
Tyrone Owusu Midfielder
6.75
11
Tyrese Noslin
Tyrese Noslin Midfielder
6.72
2
Jeff Hardeveld
Jeff Hardeveld Midfielder
7.14
27
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer Midfielder
6.99
37
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn Centre Forward
7.09
4
Guus Offerhaus
Guus Offerhaus Central Midfield
6.75
6
Danny Bakker
Danny Bakker Left Back
6.96
14
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo Right Back
6.56
21
Devon Koswal
Devon Koswal Centre Back
6.6
23
Cedric Hatenboer
Cedric Hatenboer Central Midfield
6.91
Referee : Serdar Gözübüyük

Starting XI ▼

16
Timo Jansink
Timo Jansink Goalkeeper
6.78
19
Luka Kulenovic
Luka Kulenovic Centre Forward
6.87
2
Mimeirhel Benita
Mimeirhel Benita Right Back
6.59
8
Mario Engels
Mario Engels Left Wing
6.44
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst Right Wing
6.56
6
Sava-Arangel Cestic
Sava-Arangel Cestic Defensive Midfield
6.56
3
Jannes Wieckhoff
Jannes Wieckhoff Attacking Midfield
6.37
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani Right Back
6.67
5
Djevencio van der Kust
Djevencio van der Kust Left Back
6.46
13
Jan Zamburek
Jan Zamburek Defensive Midfield
6.64
41
Tarik Hamamioglu
Tarik Hamamioglu Left Back

CONCLUSION

Telstar's home edge and superior form make them favorites against a faltering Heracles Almelo side. Despite the visitors' marginal power superiority, Telstar's 15th-place standing and 24.22 form rating signal readiness to exploit weaknesses. Heracles' 1.94 form score hints at vulnerabilities, potentially exposed in the intense BUKO Stadion atmosphere. Absence of detailed set piece or efficiency insights leaves room for surprises, yet league positions favor the hosts. Expect Telstar to press advantages in open play, leveraging familiarity. This clash could deliver vital points for Telstar's survival push, while Heracles desperately need a turnaround.

Telstar vs Heracles Almelo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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