Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Versus
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, hosts Nieciecza, rooted at 18th in the standings, welcome 11th-placed Legia Warszawa. Legia holds a commanding power score of 65.3 against Nieciecza's 47.45, yielding a 17.9-point advantage that underscores their superior overall strength. Form trends align with this gap, as Legia's 27.67 rating outpaces Nieciecza's modest 15.22, suggesting better momentum heading into the fixture. Nieciecza's home venue offers some hope, but Legia's higher league position and robust metrics point to a team better equipped for success. Tactical battles will hinge on execution, with Legia likely controlling possession and probing transitions. Nieciecza must capitalize on any defensive lapses to stay competitive. Set-piece data remains unavailable, leaving reliance on open-play efficiency. This matchup pits resilience against quality, with Legia's edge prominent throughout.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Legia Warszawa possesses a 17.9-point power advantage over Nieciecza, ranked 11th against 18th in the Ekstraklasa.
  • Form: Legia Warszawa's form score of 27.67 significantly exceeds Nieciecza's 15.22.
  • Squad: Legia Warszawa's squad power rating of 65.3 dwarfs Nieciecza's 47.45.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Nieciecza 20.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Legia Warszawa 55.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nieciecza M. Brosz
M. Brosz
VS
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 65 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 62 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 68 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nieciecza
20.22%
Draw
23.88%
Away Legia Warszawa
55.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.45
65.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
Power Score
47.45
65.3
League Position
18
11
Global Rank
736
330

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nieciecza — Opponent-weighted form score
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nieciecza Legia Warszawa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nieciecza Nieciecza Home
10 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
4
Goals
11
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
11
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:49:36+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Chovan
1 A. Chovan
G. Isik
29 G. Isik
L. Masoero Masi
5 L. Masoero Masi
A. Kasperkiewicz
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
D. Hilbrycht
21 D. Hilbrycht
M. Ambrosiewicz
28 M. Ambrosiewicz
I. Strzałek
86 I. Strzałek
R. Boboc
27 R. Boboc
M. Faßbender
7 M. Faßbender
J. Jiménez Núñez
9 J. Jiménez Núñez
K. Zapolnik
25 K. Zapolnik
O. Hindrich
89 O. Hindrich
R. Pankov
12 R. Pankov
R. Augustyniak
8 R. Augustyniak
K. Piątkowski
91 K. Piątkowski
P. Kun
23 P. Kun
D. Szymański
44 D. Szymański
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
B. Kapustka
67 B. Kapustka
R. Nascimento Vinagre
19 R. Nascimento Vinagre
J. Nsamé
18 J. Nsamé
M. Rajovic
29 M. Rajovic

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Capacity :
4595
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Adrian Chovan
Adrian Chovan Goalkeeper
6.93
27
Radu Boboc
Radu Boboc Midfielder
6.67
7
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
6.59
9
Jesús Jiménez
Jesús Jiménez Midfielder
6.71
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
6.85
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Centre Forward
6.87
29
Gabriel Isik
Gabriel Isik Right Back
6.7
86
Igor Strzalek
Igor Strzalek Central Midfield
6.65
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Left Back
6.78
5
Lucas Masoero
Lucas Masoero Centre Back
6.48
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Central Midfield
6.81

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.7
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.69
19
Rúben Vinagre
Rúben Vinagre Midfielder
6.88
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Jean-Pierre Nsame Attacker
6.86
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.82
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Left Back
6.9
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Central Midfield
7.14
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Central Midfield
6.86
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Centre Back
6.68
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Central Midfield
6.98
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Right Back
6.85

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa arrives as clear favorites, leveraging their superior power score, form, and league standing to dominate proceedings at Nieciecza's ground. The 17.9-point edge suggests control in key areas like possession and chance creation, while Nieciecza's lower metrics demand a flawless defensive display. Home advantage may spark early pressure, but Legia's quality should prevail through sustained attacks. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to basic execution, where visitors excel. Expect Legia to secure a comfortable victory, extending their strong campaign while deepening Nieciecza's struggles.

Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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