West Ham United vs Arsenal Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
London Stadium Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Premier League
West Ham United WHU
Versus
Arsenal ARS
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 3:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

West Ham United host Arsenal at the London Stadium in a Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Arsenal top the standings in 1st place with a commanding power score of 98.36, dwarfing West Ham's 83.64 and creating a 14.7-point advantage that marks the Gunners as the stronger side. The Hammers languish in 18th, grappling with poor recent form rated at 16.67, while Arsenal boast 30.33. This matchup pits a title-chasing machine against a relegation-threatened outfit desperate for points. West Ham's home advantage offers slim hope, but Arsenal's superior metrics across power and form suggest dominance. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece data due to unavailable xG stats, the focus shifts to overall team strength and momentum. Arsenal aim to extend their lead; West Ham seek a morale-boosting upset.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arsenal possess a 14.7-point power advantage and lead the league in 1st place over West Ham's 18th position.
  • Form: Arsenal's form score stands at 30.33, surpassing West Ham's 16.67.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available ahead of this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to missing xG information.
  • xVariable: xG variable data absent for this preview.
  • Market: Projection split: West Ham United 17.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.3% (Δ+0%) | Arsenal 59.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
VS
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.08
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brentford Rank: 88 L
Everton Rank: 87 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 80 W
Aston Villa Rank: 90 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 90 L
Everton Rank: 88 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 9 - 31
31
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home West Ham United
17.69%
Draw
23.26%
Away Arsenal
59.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.64
98.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
West Ham United
Arsenal
Power Score
83.64
98.36
League Position
18
1
Global Rank
43
2

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) West Ham United Arsenal

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

West Ham United WHU Home
48 matches
Arsenal ARS Away
Match Record
8
Wins
31
9
Draws
9
31
Losses
8
Goals
44
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
44
-56
Goal Difference
+56

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:49:36+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Hermansen
1 M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
2 K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos
15 K. Mavropanos
A. Disasi
4 A. Disasi
E. Diouf
12 E. Diouf
T. Souček
28 T. Souček
M. Espanha Fernandes
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
J. Bowen
20 J. Bowen
P. Pereira de Jesus
19 P. Pereira de Jesus
C. Summerville
7 C. Summerville
V. Castellanos Giménez
11 V. Castellanos Giménez
D. Raya Martin
1 D. Raya Martin
P. Hincapié Reyna
5 P. Hincapié Reyna
G. dos Santos Magalhães
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
W. Saliba
2 W. Saliba
B. White
4 B. White
D. Rice
41 D. Rice
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
36 M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
M. Ødegaard
8 M. Ødegaard
G. Martinelli Silva
11 G. Martinelli Silva
V. Gyökeres
14 V. Gyökeres
C. Madueke
20 C. Madueke

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
London Stadium
Capacity :
59623
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Chris Kavanagh
Daniel Cook
James Bell
Ian Hussin

Expected Lineup

Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.82
11
Taty Castellanos
Taty Castellanos Centre Forward
6.81
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
Kyle Walker-Peters Right Back
6.7
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Left Back
6.77
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Left Wing
6.86
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Left Back
6.71
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Right Back
6.95
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Defensive Midfield
7.03
19
Pablo
Pablo Attacking Midfield
6.77
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Right Wing
7
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Defensive Midfield
6.77
Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
David Raya
David Raya Goalkeeper
6.77
11
Gabriel Martinelli
Gabriel Martinelli Attacker
6.59
20
Noni Madueke
Noni Madueke Attacker
6.77
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Centre Forward
6.8
8
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard Central Midfield
6.98
36
Martín Zubimendi
Martín Zubimendi Central Midfield
7.02
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Right Back
6.91
4
Ben White
Ben White Right Back
6.9
6
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães Left Back
7.21
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Central Midfield
7.33
5
Piero Hincapié
Piero Hincapié Left Back
6.89

CONCLUSION

Arsenal's overwhelming power edge and top-table position position them as clear frontrunners against struggling West Ham. The Gunners' stronger form underscores their quality, likely overwhelming a Hammers side mired in the drop zone. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, broader metrics paint a one-sided picture favoring Arsenal's attack and control. West Ham must summon a heroic defensive display at home to compete, yet Arsenal's momentum suggests a comfortable victory. This encounter highlights the Premier League's chasm between elite and bottom feeders, with Arsenal poised to capitalize ruthlessly.

West Ham United vs Arsenal preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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