Parma vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Ennio Tardini Sun, 10 May - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Parma PRM
Versus
Roma ROM
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 4:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Parma welcomes Roma to the Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Roma enters as the clear favorite, holding a superior power score of 85.29 to Parma's 72.44, which equates to a 12.9-point advantage. The visitors also sit higher in the standings at 5th place compared to Parma's 12th, reflecting their stronger overall standing. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Roma's 24.44 score outpacing Parma's 16.72, indicating better recent momentum. While detailed set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to limited xG information, Roma's structural edge suggests they control transitions and build-up play more effectively. Parma, playing at home, must leverage crowd support and defensive resilience to counter Roma's attacking prowess. This fixture highlights a classic mismatch between mid-table grit and top-tier quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Roma possesses a structural edge with a 85.29 power score versus Parma's 72.44 and a 12.9-point advantage.
  • Form: Roma shows stronger form at 24.44 compared to Parma's 16.72.
  • Squad: Roma ranks 5th in Serie A while Parma is 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to lack of data.
  • Market: Parma 16.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.1% (Δ+0%) | Roma 59.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: 91 L
Pisa Rank: 64 W
Udinese Rank: 75 W
Napoli Rank: 86 D
Lazio Rank: 81 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: 78 W
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Atalanta Rank: 85 D
Pisa Rank: 63 W
Inter Rank: 91 L
Lecce Rank: 69 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 23
23
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Parma
16.21%
Draw
24.05%
Away Roma
59.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.44
85.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Parma
Roma
Power Score
72.44
85.29
League Position
12
5
Global Rank
152
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Parma Roma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Parma PRM Home
30 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
23
4
Draws
4
23
Losses
3
Goals
21
Goals Scored
65
65
Goals Conceded
21
-44
Goal Difference
+44

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:05:53+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
Z. Suzuki
31 Z. Suzuki
A. Circati
39 A. Circati
M. Troilo
37 M. Troilo
N. Ndiaye
3 N. Ndiaye
E. Del Prato
15 E. Del Prato
A. Bernabe Garcia
10 A. Bernabe Garcia
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
41 H. Nicolussi Caviglia
M. Keita
16 M. Keita
E. Valeri
14 E. Valeri
G. Strefezza Rebelato
7 G. Strefezza Rebelato
M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
9 M. Pellegrino Casalanguila
M. Svilar
99 M. Svilar
M. Hermoso Canseco
22 M. Hermoso Canseco
O. N'Dicka
5 O. N'Dicka
G. Mancini
23 G. Mancini
W. França Lima
43 W. França Lima
K. Kone
17 K. Kone
N. Pisilli
61 N. Pisilli
M. Çelik
19 M. Çelik
B. Cristante
4 B. Cristante
M. Malvano
18 M. Malvano
D. Malen
14 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity :
27906
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

31
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper
6.96
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato Midfielder
6.7
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Midfielder
6.81
9
Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino Attacker
6.84
7
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza Attacker
7.06
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Central Midfield
7.08
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Centre Back
6.8
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Right Back
6.89
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye Left Back
6.59
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Central Midfield
6.65
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Central Midfield
6.83

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7.02
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante Midfielder
6.96
18
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé Midfielder
7.04
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Midfielder
6.82
43
Wesley
Wesley Midfielder
6.94
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Centre Forward
7.18
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli Central Midfield
6.72
5
Evan Ndicka
Evan Ndicka Centre Back
6.97
17
Manu Koné
Manu Koné Central Midfield
6.98
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Left Back
6.96
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Right Back
6.99

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Roma holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Roma a 12.9-point edge. External projection is Parma 16.2%, draw 24.1%, and Roma 59.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Parma vs Roma preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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