Mirandés vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Anduva Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Mirandés MIR
0 Winner 1
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Sun, 10 May 4:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
|
Goal
Jon Magunazelaia - 3'

CONTEXT

SD Eibar claimed a hard-fought 0-1 victory over Mirandés in a match defined by clinical finishing and defensive resilience. The visitors took the lead in the first half, with the halftime score standing at 0-1, and never looked back despite Mirandés enjoying 55% possession throughout the game. The home side pressed forward but struggled to create clear-cut opportunities, while Eibar's compact shape frustrated their attacks. Eibar, considered the stronger team pre-match, capitalized on their moment of quality early on and managed the game astutely in the second half, absorbing pressure without conceding. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing both teams to maintain their structures. This result underscores Eibar's efficiency in transition play and their ability to grind out wins on the road. Mirandés will rue missed chances, but Eibar's organization proved decisive in securing all three points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation was minimal at 4.4% in favor of SD Eibar.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was fully achieved with the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded metrics.
  • Event impact: No impactful events or second-half adjustments altered the game.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Ais Reig

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Esteve Valenzuela

2nd Assistant

Spain

L. Morona Del Campo

4th Official

Spain

D. Cantón Vitoria

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.96
Yellow cards / match 4.85
Red cards / match 0.28
Penalties / match 0.34
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Almería Rank: 70 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Castellón Rank: 68 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 W
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 D
Ceuta Rank: 62 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mirandés
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Away SD Eibar
95.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.56
70.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirandés
SD Eibar
Power Score
58.56
70.02
League Position
20
7
Global Rank
543
210

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirandés SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.09
21.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.89
39.09
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mirandés +1.75 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -1.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mirandés SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mirandés SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mirandés
vs
SD Eibar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mirandés SD Eibar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mirandés 0.38
SD Eibar 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mirandés SD Eibar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mirandés 0.03
SD Eibar 0.00
Mirandés
SD Eibar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • EIB had peak pressure around 78'.
  • MIR started the game with stronger pressure.
MIR Pressure EIB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: EIB reached the top pressure at 78' (80.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirandés MIR Home
11 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
2
Goals
11
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
11
-7
Goal Difference
+7

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:05:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
T. Tamarit Tamarit
Substitution
27 T. Tamarit Tamarit
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 J. Gutiérrez Martínez
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
R. Bauzà Sureda
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
T. Helguera Merello Volante
Substitution
Uruguay
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
C. Fernández Luna
Spain
10 C. Fernández Luna
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
U. del Cura Urra
Substitution
Spain
48 U. del Cura Urra
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
A. Arbilla Zabala
Substitution
Spain
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
M. Ojeda
Spain
21 M. Ojeda
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
S. Álvarez Díaz
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
A. Garrido Cañizares
Substitution
Spain
30 A. Garrido Cañizares
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Magunacelaya Argoitia
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Magunacelaya Argoitia
M. Ares Djalo
Spain
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Bautista Orgilles
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Bautista Orgilles

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Anduva
Capacity :
5759
Attendance :
3742
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ricard Esteve Valenzuela
Luis Enrique Morona Del Campo
David Cantón Vitoria
Saúl Ais Reig

Statistics

Possession
MIR
55%
EIB
45%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 4
50 Dangerous attacks 37
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
61 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
26 Throwins 18
0 Assists 1
4 Goal Kicks 14
23 Dribble Attempts 16
14 Successful Dribbles 4
1 Injuries 1
77 Ball Safe 70
13 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

118 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 76
339 Successful Passes 266
11 Key Passes 8
421 Passes 350
55 Long Passes 52
24 Successful Long Passes 18
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

52 Duels Won 61
13 Tackles 19
1 Saves 2
7 Interceptions 9

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Saúl Ais Reig

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez Defender
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit Defender
17
Pablo Pérez
Pablo Pérez
Defender64'
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Midfielder
20
Diego Sia
Diego Sia
Attacker84'
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Midfielder
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Midfielder
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary
Attacker76'
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacker
42
Julen Martínez Landa
Julen Martínez Landa
Attacker84'
Referee : Saúl Ais Reig

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
21
Marco Moreno
Marco Moreno Defender
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Defender
24
Juan Bernat
Juan Bernat
Defender84'
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder68'
11
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Magunazelaia Midfielder
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga
Midfielder68'
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Midfielder
30
Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido Midfielder
5
Javi Martínez
Javi Martínez
Midfielder90+1'
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Attacker
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón
Attacker68'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Martín Pascual
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+3'
Event
José Corpas
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Javi Martínez
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Javi Martínez → Aleix Garrido
9th Substitution
Event
Diego Sia → Thiago Helguera
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Julen Martínez Landa → Unax del Cura
7th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Juan Bernat → Anaitz Arbilla
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Sergio Cubero
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ali Houary → Salim El Jebari
5th Substitution
76'
68'
Event
Lander Olaetxea → Sergio Álvarez
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Ander Madariaga → Jon Magunazelaia
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Javi Martón → Jon Bautista
3rd Substitution
Event
Javi Hernández
Simulation / 4th Yellowcard
65'
65'
Event
Jair Amador
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Pablo Pérez → Toni Tamarit
1st Substitution
64'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Sergio Álvarez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Fernando Medrano
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
3'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javier Martinez Calvo receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Javier Martinez Calvo is on, and Aleix Garrido is off.
89
Attempt Attempt
Ali Houary's right-footed shot is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Ali Houary's right-footed shot is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Fernandez Luna takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
84
Substitution Substitution
Juan Bernat is substituted for Anaitz Arbilla Zabala.
84
Update Update
Diego Sia is on, and Unax del Cura is off.
84
Update Update
Diego Sia comes on for Thiago Helguera.
83
Attempt Attempt
Ali Houary takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Unax del Cura takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Anaitz Arbilla Zabala attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Update Update
Ali Houary replaces Salim El Jebari.
74
Attempt Attempt
Anaitz Arbilla Zabala attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Update Update
Javier Marton replaces Jon Bautista.
68
Update Update
Lander Olaetxea replaces Sergio Alvarez Diaz.
68
Update Update
Ander Madariaga comes on for Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jair Amador receives a yellow card.
64
Update Update
Pablo Perez Rico comes on for Toni Tamarit.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista's right-footed shot is blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Jose Corpas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Update Update
Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia's header is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Javier Hernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Helguera takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Javier Hernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Aleix Garrido takes a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jon Bautista takes a header but misses the shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Toni Tamarit takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Salim El Jebari takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Rafel Bauza takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Salim El Jebari's right-footed shot is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
1
Attempt Attempt
Javier Hernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

SD Eibar's 0-1 triumph at Mirandés highlights their tactical discipline and potency on the counter, overcoming the home side's possession dominance. With 55% of the ball, Mirandés generated pressure but lacked the killer instinct, allowing Eibar to defend their first-half lead comfortably. This performance aligns with Eibar's status as the stronger outfit, demonstrating composure under duress. For Mirandés, the defeat exposes vulnerabilities in chance conversion, while Eibar builds momentum with a professional away win. The absence of disruptions ensured a fair contest, where quality trumped quantity in the end.

Mirandés vs SD Eibar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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