Monaco vs LOSC Lille Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Louis II. Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Monaco ASM
Versus
LOSC Lille LOSC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Monaco host LOSC Lille in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Louis II.. Domestically, Monaco sit 6th in the table while LOSC Lille are 4th. Power ranking favours LOSC Lille by 0.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: LOSC Lille hold a 0.6-point power advantage over Monaco with scores of 80.59 to 79.98.
  • Form: Lille's form score of 38.5 surpasses Monaco's 26.44.
  • Squad: Lille occupy 4th in Ligue 1, ahead of Monaco in 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No transition-specific metrics available in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to absent xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not provided for this matchup.
  • Market: Monaco 41.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | LOSC Lille 33.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monaco S. Pocognoli
S. Pocognoli
VS
LOSC Lille B. Génésio
B. Génésio
1.7
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metz Rank: 62 W
Toulouse Rank: 72 D
Auxerre Rank: 68 D
Paris Rank: 73 L
Olympique Marseille Rank: 79 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 83 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Paris Rank: 71 W
Nice Rank: 69 D
Toulouse Rank: 73 W
Lens Rank: 82 W
Olympique Marseille Rank: 79 W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 10 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monaco
41.26%
Draw
25.03%
Away LOSC Lille
33.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.98
80.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monaco
LOSC Lille
Power Score
79.98
80.59
League Position
6
4
Global Rank
58
57

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monaco — Opponent-weighted form score
LOSC Lille — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monaco LOSC Lille

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monaco ASM Home
36 matches
LOSC Lille LOSC Away
Match Record
13
Wins
13
10
Draws
10
13
Losses
13
Goals
43
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
43
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:02:23+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Hradecký
1 L. Hradecký
T. Kehrer
5 T. Kehrer
D. Zakaria Lako Lado
6 D. Zakaria Lako Lado
C. Mawissa Elebi
13 C. Mawissa Elebi
J. Teze
4 J. Teze
L. Camara
15 L. Camara
P. Pogba
8 P. Pogba
S. Adingra
24 S. Adingra
M. Akliouche
11 M. Akliouche
A. Golovin
10 A. Golovin
F. Balogun
9 F. Balogun
B. Özer
1 B. Özer
R. Perraud
15 R. Perraud
A. Mandi
23 A. Mandi
N. Ngoy
3 N. Ngoy
T. Meunier
12 T. Meunier
A. Bouaddi
32 A. Bouaddi
B. André
21 B. André
F. Sanches Correia
27 F. Sanches Correia
H. Haraldsson
10 H. Haraldsson
N. Mukau
17 N. Mukau
M. Fernandez Pardo
7 M. Fernandez Pardo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Louis II.
Capacity :
18523
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages
Jérémie Pignard

Expected Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hradecky
Lukas Hradecky Goalkeeper
6.75
4
J. Teze
J. Teze Midfielder
6.91
10
Aleksandr Golovin
Aleksandr Golovin Midfielder
6.99
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder
7.11
24
Simon Adingra
Simon Adingra Midfielder
6.77
9
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Centre Forward
6.98
5
Thilo Kehrer
Thilo Kehrer Right Back
6.92
6
Denis Zakaria
Denis Zakaria Centre Back
6.88
15
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara Central Midfield
7.19
8
Paul Pogba
Paul Pogba Central Midfield
6.6
13
Christian Mawissa
Christian Mawissa Left Back
6.67
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

1
Berke Özer
Berke Özer Goalkeeper
6.84
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
Matías Fernández-Pardo Centre Forward
7.08
3
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy Right Back
6.86
10
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson Attacking Midfield
7.08
12
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier Right Back
6.9
15
Romain Perraud
Romain Perraud Left Back
7.06
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ngal'ayel Mukau Right Wing
6.64
21
Benjamin André
Benjamin André Defensive Midfield
7.19
27
Félix Correia
Félix Correia Left Wing
6.9
23
Aïssa Mandi
Aïssa Mandi Left Back
7.11
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Defensive Midfield
6.8

CONCLUSION

Lille's superior form and power rating give them a subtle upper hand in this Ligue 1 showdown at Stade Louis II., despite Monaco's home comfort. The 4th-placed visitors could capitalize on their 38.5 form score against Monaco's 26.44, targeting weaknesses in transition play. Limited set-piece insights point to evenness, so midfield control and squad depth will prove decisive. Monaco must rally their 6th-place momentum to counter Lille's edge. Anticipate a gritty contest with Lille poised for a narrow win to bolster their European charge.

Monaco vs LOSC Lille preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ligue 1, France View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ