Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec Sat, 9 May - 4:45 PM
1. HNL
Varaždin Varaždin
Versus
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 4:45 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Varaždin host Lokomotiva Zagreb in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Domestically, Varaždin sit 3th in the table while Lokomotiva Zagreb are 5th. Power ranking favours Varaždin by 2.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Varaždin holds a 2.8-point power advantage as the stronger team with 65.55 versus Lokomotiva Zagreb's 62.76.
  • Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb edges form with a 22.67 score over Varaždin's 21.61.
  • Squad: Varaždin ranks 3rd in the 1. HNL, ahead of 5th-placed Lokomotiva Zagreb.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in the dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Varaždin 45.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Lokomotiva Zagreb 26.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Varaždin N. Šafarić
N. Šafarić
VS
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Rijeka Rank: 70 W
Osijek Rank: 63 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 63 W
Gorica Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 63 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 63 W
Gorica Rank: 61 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
Vukovar Rank: 57 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 11 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Varaždin
45.61%
Draw
27.49%
Away Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.55
62.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Varaždin
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Power Score
65.55
62.76
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
309
408

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Varaždin — Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Varaždin Lokomotiva Zagreb

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Varaždin Varaždin Home
29 matches
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Away
Match Record
6
Wins
12
11
Draws
11
12
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
24
-13
Goal Difference
+13

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:04:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Silić
33 J. Silić
F. Maglica
23 F. Maglica
S. Lesjak
2 S. Lesjak
M. Barać
44 M. Barać
A. Boršić
25 A. Boršić
T. Duvnjak
8 T. Duvnjak
D. Puclin
6 D. Puclin
M. Vuk
7 M. Vuk
L. Mamić
22 L. Mamić
Iuri Tavares
38 Iuri Tavares
A. Latković
10 A. Latković
J. Posavec
12 J. Posavec
D. Kamenović
33 D. Kamenović
L. Dajčer
16 L. Dajčer
D. Kolinger
20 D. Kolinger
M. Vešović
23 M. Vešović
M. Subotic
10 M. Subotic
T. Jukić
5 T. Jukić
L. Belcar
28 L. Belcar
J. Vasilj
29 J. Vasilj
D. Vuković
30 D. Vuković
A. Stojaković
15 A. Stojaković

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Capacity :
10800
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Josip Silic
Josip Silic Goalkeeper
7.14
10
Aleksa Latkovic
Aleksa Latkovic Centre Forward
7.12
2
Sven Lesjak
Sven Lesjak Right Back
6.89
6
David Puclin
David Puclin Defensive Midfield
6.57
7
Matej Vuk
Matej Vuk Right Wing
6.83
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Tomislav Duvnjak Defensive Midfield
6.79
22
Luka Mamic
Luka Mamic Attacking Midfield
6.68
23
Frane Maglica
Frane Maglica Right Back
6.81
25
Antonio Borsic
Antonio Borsic Left Back
6.61
38
Iuri Tavares
Iuri Tavares Left Wing
6.96
44
Mateo Barac
Mateo Barac Left Back
6.62

Starting XI ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
6.7
15
Aleks Stojakovic
Aleks Stojakovic Centre Forward
6.78
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Defensive Midfield
6.71
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic Defensive Midfield
6.65
16
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Left Back
6.59
20
Denis Kolinger
Denis Kolinger Right Back
6.76
23
Marko Vesovic
Marko Vesovic Right Back
6.84
28
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar Left Wing
6.73
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Attacking Midfield
6.68
30
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Right Wing
6.64
33
Dimitrije Kamenovic
Dimitrije Kamenovic Left Back
6.44

CONCLUSION

This 1. HNL showdown pits Varaždin's home strength and superior power rating against Lokomotiva Zagreb's nuanced form edge, promising a tense affair at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. The hosts' 3rd-place perch and 2.8-point edge suggest control, yet visitors' resilience could force a stalemate. Absent xG and set piece details, focus shifts to structural battles and league momentum. Varaždin's venue familiarity may unlock victory in a fixture where margins define mid-table aspirations.

Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

1. HNL, Croatia View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ