Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Alanyaspor ANY
Versus
Kayserispor KAY
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Alanyaspor host Kayserispor in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu. Domestically, Alanyaspor sit 12th in the table while Kayserispor are 17th. Power ranking favours Alanyaspor by 5.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Alanyaspor possesses a 5.1-point power score advantage at 68.25 over Kayserispor's 63.19.
  • Form: Alanyaspor leads in form with a 14.11 score compared to Kayserispor's 12.78.
  • Squad: Alanyaspor occupies 12th place while Kayserispor languishes in 17th domestically.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data limited without xG metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxies as xG unavailable.
  • xVariable: No xG-based variable data provided for analysis.
  • Market: Alanyaspor 41.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Kayserispor 30.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
VS
Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 D
Samsunspor Rank: 71 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 L
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 D
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 D
Rizespor Rank: 69 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 63 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Alanyaspor
41.89%
Draw
27.25%
Away Kayserispor
30.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.25
63.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
Power Score
68.25
63.19
League Position
12
17
Global Rank
246
387

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Kayserispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alanyaspor Kayserispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alanyaspor ANY Home
19 matches
Kayserispor KAY Away
Match Record
11
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
11
Goals
38
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
38
+20
Goal Difference
-20

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:05:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. de Mileo Vidotti
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
F. Aliti
5 F. Aliti
N. Reis Lima
3 N. Reis Lima
F. Aksoy
20 F. Aksoy
F. Hadërgjonaj
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
I. Hagi
14 I. Hagi
G. Makouta
42 G. Makouta
R. Pereira Duarte
11 R. Pereira Duarte
M. Elia
12 M. Elia
G. Yalçın
10 G. Yalçın
U. Hwang
16 U. Hwang
B. Bayazit
25 B. Bayazit
L. Carole
23 L. Carole
S. Denswil
4 S. Denswil
S. Güler
6 S. Güler
J. Katongo
2 J. Katongo
D. Toköz
24 D. Toköz
L. Bénes
8 L. Bénes
M. Nunes Cardoso
7 M. Nunes Cardoso
F. Chalov
63 F. Chalov
D. Makarov
18 D. Makarov
G. Onugkha
9 G. Onugkha

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu
Capacity :
10128
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.69
11
Ruan
Ruan Midfielder
6.93
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
7.08
10
Güven Yalçın
Güven Yalçın Centre Forward
6.74
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia Attacker
6.62
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Attacker
6.84
3
Nuno Lima
Nuno Lima Centre Back
6.85
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti Right Back
6.92
20
Fatih Aksoy
Fatih Aksoy Left Back
6.62
14
Ianis Hagi
Ianis Hagi Central Midfield
7.06
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Central Midfield
6.73

Starting XI ▼

25
Bilal Bayazıt
Bilal Bayazıt Goalkeeper
6.9
9
German Onugkha
German Onugkha Centre Forward
6.83
4
Stefano Denswil
Stefano Denswil Left Back
6.71
23
Lionel Carole
Lionel Carole Left Back
6.63
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Right Back
6.46
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Right Back
6.7
7
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso Left Wing
6.98
8
László Bénes
László Bénes Defensive Midfield
7
18
Denis Makarov
Denis Makarov Right Wing
6.59
24
Dorukhan Toköz
Dorukhan Toköz Defensive Midfield
6.53
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Attacking Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

Alanyaspor enters as favorites leveraging their power and form edges against a Kayserispor side battling relegation woes. The home advantage at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu bolsters their 12th-place standing, while visitors scramble from 17th. Absent detailed efficiency and set piece insights, structural superiority points to Alanyaspor controlling proceedings. Expect the hosts to press their 5.1-point metric lead, potentially securing vital points in this mid-versus-bottom clash. Kayserispor must disrupt through resilience, but Alanyaspor's consistency likely prevails in a tightly contested Super Lig affair.

Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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