Luzern vs Servette Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
swissporarena Sat, 9 May - 6:30 PM
Super League
Luzern LUZ
Versus
Servette Servette
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 6:30 PM
Round 36 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the swissporarena, Luzern welcomes Servette for a pivotal Super League Relegation Round encounter in the 2025/2026 season. Luzern holds 7th place, just ahead of 8th-placed Servette, as both sides battle to secure safety from relegation. Servette arrives with a slight edge, their power score of 62.63 topping Luzern's 59.67 by 3 points, marking them as the stronger team overall. Recent form remains tightly contested, with Luzern at 21 and Servette marginally ahead at 21.72. League positions reflect this balance, underscoring a closely fought scrap. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces are unavailable, shifting focus to basic execution and tactical discipline. Luzern will lean on home advantage, while Servette aims to exploit their underlying superiority in a match poised for intensity and few clear margins.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Servette possesses a 3-point power advantage over Luzern, positioning them as the stronger team.
  • Form: Form scores are nearly identical, with Luzern at 21 and Servette at 21.72.
  • Squad: Luzern sits 7th and Servette 8th in the Super League relegation standings.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics are available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Luzern 46.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Servette 29.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
VS
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 W
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
St. Gallen Rank: 64 D
Servette Rank: 63 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Young Boys Rank: 62 D
Luzern Rank: 60 W
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Basel Rank: 63 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 9 - 15
15
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Luzern
46.12%
Draw
24.6%
Away Servette
29.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.67
62.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Luzern
Servette
Power Score
59.67
62.63
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
492
411

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Luzern Servette

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Luzern LUZ Home
34 matches
Servette Servette Away
Match Record
10
Wins
15
9
Draws
9
15
Losses
10
Goals
54
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
54
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:01:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Loretz
1 P. Loretz
A. Cigaņiks
14 A. Cigaņiks
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
A. Bajrami
4 A. Bajrami
R. Fernandes
22 R. Fernandes
T. Owusu
24 T. Owusu
T. Abe
6 T. Abe
K. Spadanuda
7 K. Spadanuda
M. Di Giusto
11 M. Di Giusto
O. Kabwit tshikomb
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb
A. Vasovic
19 A. Vasovic
J. Frick
32 J. Frick
B. Mazikou
18 B. Mazikou
M. Burch
15 M. Burch
S. Rouiller
4 S. Rouiller
H. Mendes
17 H. Mendes
D. Douline
28 D. Douline
L. Fomba
11 L. Fomba
J. Kadile
10 J. Kadile
M. Stevanović
9 M. Stevanović
T. Lopes
36 T. Lopes
F. Aye
97 F. Aye

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
swissporarena
Capacity :
16800
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
6.79
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Attacker
7.18
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
6.76
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Attacking Midfield
7.45
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Andrejs Ciganiks Right Back
6.74
22
Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Rúben Dantas Fernandes Left Back
7.01
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Central Midfield
6.87
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Right Back
6.87
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Left Back
6.83
6
Taisei Abe
Taisei Abe Central Midfield
6.8
7
Kevin Spadanuda
Kevin Spadanuda Central Midfield
6.89

Starting XI ▼

32
Jérémy Frick
Jérémy Frick Goalkeeper
6.23
97
Florian Ayé
Florian Ayé Centre Forward
6.97
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller Right Back
6.81
9
Miroslav Stevanovic
Miroslav Stevanovic Attacking Midfield
7.35
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Left Wing
7.66
11
Lamine Fomba
Lamine Fomba Defensive Midfield
6.69
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Left Back
6.62
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes Right Back
6.61
18
Bradley Mazikou
Bradley Mazikou Left Back
6.83
28
David Douline
David Douline Defensive Midfield
6.94
36
Thomas Lopes
Thomas Lopes Right Wing
6.77

CONCLUSION

Servette's power edge offers a subtle upper hand, yet Luzern's home venue and comparable form could neutralize it in this relegation showdown. Without efficiency or set-piece data, outcomes may hinge on squad depth and in-game adjustments amid evenly matched recent results. Luzern's 7th-place perch provides motivation, but Servette's superior rating suggests resilience on the road. Expect a cagey affair where structural advantages meet home grit, potentially yielding a narrow result favoring discipline over flair. Key to watch: transitional moments and squad rotations.

Luzern vs Servette preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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