Rijeka vs Vukovar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion HNK Rijeka Fri, 8 May - 6:00 PM
1. HNL
Rijeka Rijeka
Versus
Vukovar Vukovar
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 6:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

Rijeka vs Vukovar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL Regular Season clash at Stadion HNK Rijeka, fourth-placed Rijeka host tenth-placed Vukovar, aiming to solidify their top-four push in the 2025/2026 campaign. Rijeka's power score of 69.79 dwarfs Vukovar's 48.12, granting the hosts a commanding 21.7-point advantage and marking them as the clear stronger side. Recent form tilts towards Rijeka too, with a 16.94 score edging Vukovar's 12.72, suggesting momentum in their corner despite limited recent outing details. Playing at home, Rijeka's structural superiority in league standings and raw power metrics positions them to dominate possession and chances. Vukovar, struggling mid-table, face an uphill battle against Rijeka's established pedigree in Croatian top-flight football. Set-piece and efficiency insights remain sparse due to unavailable xG data, but Rijeka's overall edge promises a controlled affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka enjoys a 21.7-point power advantage and sits fourth in the league ahead of Vukovar in tenth.
  • Form: Rijeka's form score stands at 16.94, surpassing Vukovar's 12.72.
  • Squad: Rijeka fields a stronger squad per power ratings of 69.79 versus Vukovar's 48.12.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data lacks xG availability with low confidence for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Rijeka 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Vukovar 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rijeka R. Đalović
R. Đalović
VS
Vukovar Vukovar
Vukovar
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.75
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 71 D
Varaždin Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 D
Osijek Rank: 62 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 64 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 60 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rijeka
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vukovar
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.79
48.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rijeka
Vukovar
Power Score
69.79
48.12
League Position
4
10
Global Rank
201
626

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Vukovar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home
3 matches
Vukovar Vukovar Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:59:49+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity
8279
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
David Samuel Nwolokor
David Samuel Nwolokor Goalkeeper
13
Martin Zlomislić
Martin Zlomislić Goalkeeper
99
Aleksa Todorović
Aleksa Todorović Goalkeeper
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
5
Mile Škorić
Mile Škorić Defender
45
Ante Majstorović
Ante Majstorović Defender
23
Justas Lasickas
Justas Lasickas Defender
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Defender
22
Ante Oreč
Ante Oreč Defender
51
Anel Husic
Anel Husic Defender
91
Noel Bodetic
Noel Bodetic Defender
28
Teo Barišić
Teo Barišić Defender
—
Roko Valinčić
Roko Valinčić Defender
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Midfielder
8
Dejan Petrovič
Dejan Petrovič Midfielder
20
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt Midfielder
26
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas Midfielder
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar Midfielder
10
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk Midfielder
—
Florent Shehu
Florent Shehu Midfielder
19
Samuele Vignato
Samuele Vignato Midfielder
24
Bruno Burčul
Bruno Burčul Midfielder
66
Branko Pavić
Branko Pavić Midfielder
70
Rajan Žlibanović
Rajan Žlibanović Midfielder
9
Duje Čop
Duje Čop Attacker
7
Tornike Morchiladze
Tornike Morchiladze Attacker
24
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi Attacker
11
Gabrijel Rukavina
Gabrijel Rukavina Attacker
77
Ante Matej Jurič
Ante Matej Jurič Attacker
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
—
Matej Momčilovski
Matej Momčilovski Attacker
25
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi Attacker
37
Cherno Saho
Cherno Saho Attacker

Squad ▼

42
Antonio Đaković
Antonio Đaković Goalkeeper
22
Denis Pintol
Denis Pintol Goalkeeper
1
Marino Bulat
Marino Bulat Goalkeeper
91
Mario Tičinović
Mario Tičinović Defender
26
Josip Elez
Josip Elez Defender
8
Antonio Bosec
Antonio Bosec Defender
34
Mario Tadić
Mario Tadić Defender
24
Halid Šabanović
Halid Šabanović Defender
16
Kristijan Pavičić
Kristijan Pavičić Defender
7
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
Kerim Çalhanoğlu Defender
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Defender
14
M. Živković
M. Živković Defender
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Defender
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
50
Josip Špoljarić
Josip Špoljarić Midfielder
6
Jakov Biljan
Jakov Biljan Midfielder
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Midfielder
10
Robin Gonzales
Robin Gonzales Midfielder
13
Vito Čaić
Vito Čaić Midfielder
11
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
21
Jakov Puljić
Jakov Puljić Attacker
19
Alen Jurilj
Alen Jurilj Attacker
39
Pocholo Bugas
Pocholo Bugas Attacker
28
Lovre Banovec
Lovre Banovec Attacker
33
Luka Klanac
Luka Klanac Attacker
27
Šimun Butić
Šimun Butić Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rijeka holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rijeka a 21.7-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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