Avellino vs Modena Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Avellino AVE
Versus
Modena MOD
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Avellino welcomes Modena to Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi for a Serie B regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Modena arrives as the stronger outfit, boasting a power score of 56.91 compared to Avellino's 51.4, translating to a 5.5-point advantage. League standings reflect this, with Modena in 6th place and Avellino just behind in 8th. However, Avellino holds the edge in recent form, scoring 16.78 against Modena's modest 6.83. Both sides lack detailed last outings data, adding intrigue. Set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to absent xG information and low-confidence proxies. Home support could fuel Avellino's push, but Modena's superior overall rating suggests they control the structural narrative. Expect a tactical battle where form meets power in this mid-table encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Modena possesses a structural advantage with a 56.91 power score over Avellino's 51.4 and occupies 6th place versus 8th.
  • Form: Avellino outperforms in form with a 16.78 score compared to Modena's 6.83.
  • Squad: Modena's squad rates higher overall via power metrics at 56.91 against Avellino's 51.4.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data and no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to disabled add-on.
  • Market: Projection split: Avellino 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Modena 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Avellino R. Biancolino
R. Biancolino
VS
Modena A. Sottil
A. Sottil
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: 54 D
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
Mantova Rank: 53 W
Catanzaro Rank: 60 D
Palermo Rank: 64 L
Sampdoria Rank: 53 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Reggiana Rank: 47 D
Monza Rank: 66 L
Frosinone Rank: 65 L
Catanzaro Rank: 60 D
Südtirol Rank: 55 D
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Avellino
0%
Draw
0%
Away Modena
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.4
56.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Avellino
Modena
Power Score
51.4
56.91
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
673
583

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Avellino — Opponent-weighted form score
Modena — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Avellino Modena

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Avellino AVE Home
13 matches
Modena MOD Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
20
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:00:04+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Capacity :
26542
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

77
Leonardo Marson
Leonardo Marson Goalkeeper
45
Pasquale Pane
Pasquale Pane Goalkeeper
1
Antony Iannarilli
Antony Iannarilli Goalkeeper
53
Jacopo Sassi
Jacopo Sassi Goalkeeper
30
Giovanni Daffara
Giovanni Daffara Goalkeeper
44
Lorenco Šimić
Lorenco Šimić Defender
4
Armando Izzo
Armando Izzo Defender
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
Tommaso Cancellotti Defender
3
Marco Sala
Marco Sala Defender
63
Alessandro Fontanarosa
Alessandro Fontanarosa Defender
56
Patrick Enrici
Patrick Enrici Defender
2
Filippo Missori
Filippo Missori Defender
78
Alessandro Milani
Alessandro Milani Defender
19
Filippo Reale
Filippo Reale Defender
24
Dimitris Sounas
Dimitris Sounas Midfielder
21
Marco Armellino
Marco Armellino Midfielder
6
Luca Palmiero
Luca Palmiero Midfielder
20
Martin Palumbo
Martin Palumbo Midfielder
16
Justin Kumi
Justin Kumi Midfielder
39
Michele Besaggio
Michele Besaggio Midfielder
27
Andréa Le Borgne
Andréa Le Borgne Midfielder
94
Roberto Insigne
Roberto Insigne Attacker
99
Andrea Favilli
Andrea Favilli Attacker
7
Gennaro Tutino
Gennaro Tutino Attacker
14
Tommaso Biasci
Tommaso Biasci Attacker
9
Cosimo Patierno
Cosimo Patierno Attacker
8
Luca Pandolfi
Luca Pandolfi Attacker
10
Raffaele Russo
Raffaele Russo Attacker
18
Lorenzo Sgarbi
Lorenzo Sgarbi Attacker
11
Luca D'Andrea
Luca D'Andrea Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Leandro Chichizola
Leandro Chichizola Goalkeeper
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
Fabrizio Bagheria Goalkeeper
13
Abdullah Laidani
Abdullah Laidani Goalkeeper
22
Michele Pezzolato
Michele Pezzolato Goalkeeper
29
Matteo Cotali
Matteo Cotali Defender
28
Davide Adorni
Davide Adorni Defender
33
Cristian Cauz
Cristian Cauz Defender
77
Daniel Tonoli
Daniel Tonoli Defender
19
Steven Folly Nador
Steven Folly Nador Defender
25
Alessandro Dellavalle
Alessandro Dellavalle Defender
20
Bryant Nieling
Bryant Nieling Defender
2
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi Defender
7
Francesco Zampano
Francesco Zampano Midfielder
16
Fabio Gerli
Fabio Gerli Midfielder
8
Simone Santoro
Simone Santoro Midfielder
5
Alessandro Sersanti
Alessandro Sersanti Midfielder
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Niklas Pyyhtiä Midfielder
17
Yanis Massolin
Yanis Massolin Midfielder
90
Antonio Imputato
Antonio Imputato Midfielder
80
Ousmane Niang
Ousmane Niang Midfielder
71
Samuel Wiafe
Samuel Wiafe Midfielder
9
Ettore Gliozzi
Ettore Gliozzi Attacker
92
Gregoire Defrel
Gregoire Defrel Attacker
98
Luca Zanimacchia
Luca Zanimacchia Attacker
99
Manuel De Luca
Manuel De Luca Attacker
32
Luca Strizzolo
Luca Strizzolo Attacker
11
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes Attacker
10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Giuseppe Ambrosino Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Serie B showdown at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi highlights Modena's power edge of 5.5 points and higher league position against Avellino's superior form score. Home advantage might energize the hosts, yet Modena's 56.91 rating positions them favorably. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece insights limit granular previews, but mid-table implications loom large. Avellino must leverage momentum to counter the visitors' strength, potentially crafting an upset in regular season play. Modena's quality likely prevails in a closely contested affair.

Avellino vs Modena preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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