Monza vs Empoli Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Monza MON
Versus
Empoli EMP
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Monza welcomes Empoli to U-Power Stadium for a crucial Serie B regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting pretty in 3rd place, Monza holds a commanding power score of 60.68, giving them a 9.1-point edge over Empoli's 51.61 and their precarious 16th position. Form metrics underline Monza's dominance, with a 28.83 rating dwarfing Empoli's meager 9.61, signaling momentum on the home side's favor. As the stronger outfit overall, Monza aims to capitalize on home advantage against a struggling visitor. Both teams lack recent outing details, but league standings paint a clear picture of Monza's push for promotion contention versus Empoli's relegation scrap. Set-piece data remains elusive with low-confidence proxies, leaving open questions on dead-ball threats. This matchup pits resilience against desperation in Italy's second tier.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monza ranks 3rd in Serie B with a 60.68 power score, holding a 9.1-point advantage over 16th-placed Empoli's 51.61.
  • Form: Monza's form score stands at 28.83, far superior to Empoli's 9.61.
  • Squad: Monza's squad power rating of 60.68 outpaces Empoli's 51.61, indicating greater overall quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for Monza and Empoli, xG unavailable.
  • xVariable: xG data is unavailable, limiting variable analysis for both sides.
  • Market: Baseline split: Monza 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Empoli 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monza P. Bianco
P. Bianco
VS
Empoli G. Pagliuca
G. Pagliuca
2.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mantova Rank: 54 D
Modena Rank: 57 W
Sampdoria Rank: 52 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
Catanzaro Rank: 61 D
Venezia Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Avellino Rank: 54 D
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 47 L
Sampdoria Rank: 53 L
Pescara Rank: 49 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monza
0%
Draw
0%
Away Empoli
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.68
51.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Empoli
Power Score
60.68
51.61
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
273
666

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monza — Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Empoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home
9 matches
Empoli EMP Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
7
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:00:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
U-Power Stadium
Capacity :
18568
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper
43
Aljaž Strajnar
Aljaž Strajnar Goalkeeper
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Defender
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Defender
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri Defender
2
Arvid Brorsson
Arvid Brorsson Defender
6
Valentin Ivaylov Antov
Valentin Ivaylov Antov Defender
44
Andrea Carboni
Andrea Carboni Defender
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender
24
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune Defender
27
Samuele Capolupo
Samuele Capolupo Defender
14
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo Midfielder
26
Patrick Ciurria
Patrick Ciurria Midfielder
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
8
Hernani Azevedo Júnior
Hernani Azevedo Júnior Midfielder
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Midfielder
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Midfielder
30
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso Midfielder
23
Nicolas Galazzi
Nicolas Galazzi Midfielder
21
Leonardo Colombo
Leonardo Colombo Midfielder
9
Mirko Marić
Mirko Marić Attacker
17
Keita Baldé Diao
Keita Baldé Diao Attacker
37
Andrea Petagna
Andrea Petagna Attacker
47
Dany Mota Carvalho
Dany Mota Carvalho Attacker
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Attacker
11
Omari Forson
Omari Forson Attacker
25
Agustín Álvarez Martínez
Agustín Álvarez Martínez Attacker

Squad ▼

21
Andrea Fulignati
Andrea Fulignati Goalkeeper
1
Samuele Perisan
Samuele Perisan Goalkeeper
12
Manuel Gasparini
Manuel Gasparini Goalkeeper
22
Francesco Versari
Francesco Versari Goalkeeper
24
Tyronne Ebuehi
Tyronne Ebuehi Defender
4
Simone Romagnoli
Simone Romagnoli Defender
26
Antonio Candela
Antonio Candela Defender
2
Marco Curto
Marco Curto Defender
20
Matteo Lovato
Matteo Lovato Defender
5
Nosa Edward Obaretin
Nosa Edward Obaretin Defender
34
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino Defender
28
Gabriele Indragoli
Gabriele Indragoli Defender
27
Brando Moruzzi
Brando Moruzzi Defender
36
Dawid Bembnista
Dawid Bembnista Defender
8
Luca Magnino
Luca Magnino Midfielder
15
Joseph Ceesay
Joseph Ceesay Midfielder
32
Nicolas Haas
Nicolas Haas Midfielder
7
Salvatore Elia
Salvatore Elia Midfielder
18
Andrea Ghion
Andrea Ghion Midfielder
6
Duccio Degl'Innocenti
Duccio Degl'Innocenti Midfielder
10
Rareş Ilie
Rareş Ilie Midfielder
14
Gerard Yepes Laut
Gerard Yepes Laut Midfielder
25
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Lorenzo Ignacchiti Midfielder
70
Edoardo Saporiti
Edoardo Saporiti Midfielder
53
Danilo Busiello
Danilo Busiello Midfielder
96
Andrea Orlandi
Andrea Orlandi Midfielder
9
Pietro Pellegri
Pietro Pellegri Attacker
99
Flavio Junior Bianchi
Flavio Junior Bianchi Attacker
17
D. Fila
D. Fila Attacker
11
Steven Shpendi
Steven Shpendi Attacker
19
Marco Nasti
Marco Nasti Attacker
89
Thomas Campaniello
Thomas Campaniello Attacker
77
Bogdan Popov
Bogdan Popov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Monza enters as clear favorites, leveraging superior power ratings, form, and league standing to target a home win against faltering Empoli. The 9.1-point power gap and third-place perch position Monza to extend their advantage in the promotion race, while Empoli battles to climb from 16th. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, Monza's overall edge should prevail in transition and open play at U-Power Stadium. Expect the hosts to dictate terms in this Serie B encounter, capitalizing on Empoli's poor form for vital points.

Monza vs Empoli preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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