Frosinone vs Mantova Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Frosinone FRO
Versus
Mantova MAN
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Frosinone host Mantova at Stadio Benito Stirpe in a Serie B regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Ciociari sit proudly in second place, leveraging a robust power score of 67.1 against Mantova's middling 53.9, translating to a 13.2-point edge that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Frosinone at 33.06 compared to the visitors' 21.11, signaling consistent momentum for the home side. Mantova, entrenched in 11th, face an uphill battle against a promotion-chasing outfit known for home resilience. Absent recent outing details and with set-piece metrics unavailable due to lacking xG data, focus shifts to Frosinone's positional strength and overall potency. This matchup pits ambition against stability, with the hosts poised to capitalize on their advantages in a fixture ripe for dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Frosinone possess a 67.1 power score and second-place standing, dwarfing Mantova's 53.9 and 11th position for a 13.2-point advantage.
  • Form: Frosinone's form score of 33.06 outpaces Mantova's 21.11.
  • Squad: Frosinone's higher league position and power rating indicate a stronger squad overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Frosinone 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Mantova 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Mantova D. Possanzini
D. Possanzini
2.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 D
Carrarese Rank: 54 W
Modena Rank: 57 W
Palermo Rank: 63 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 49 W
Südtirol Rank: 52 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: 67 D
Südtirol Rank: 53 W
Avellino Rank: 50 L
Spezia Rank: 50 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 49 W
Modena Rank: 57 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Frosinone
0%
Draw
0%
Away Mantova
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.1
53.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Mantova
Power Score
67.1
53.9
League Position
2
11
Global Rank
269
667

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Mantova — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Mantova

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home
11 matches
Mantova MAN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
17
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:00:57+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity :
16227
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

75
Matteo Pisseri
Matteo Pisseri Goalkeeper
22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
12
Eldin Lolic
Eldin Lolic Goalkeeper
5
Riccardo Marchizza
Riccardo Marchizza Defender
19
Niccolò Corrado
Niccolò Corrado Defender
23
Sergio Kalaj
Sergio Kalaj Defender
21
Jérémy Oyono Omva Torque
Jérémy Oyono Omva Torque Defender
20
Anthony Oyono Omva Torque
Anthony Oyono Omva Torque Defender
2
Giorgio Cittadini
Giorgio Cittadini Defender
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi Defender
3
Gabriele Calvani
Gabriele Calvani Defender
6
Jacopo Gelli
Jacopo Gelli Defender
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Defender
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Midfielder
10
Francesco Gelli
Francesco Gelli Midfielder
32
Edoardo Masciangelo
Edoardo Masciangelo Midfielder
92
Benjamin Lhassine Kone
Benjamin Lhassine Kone Midfielder
8
Ilias Koutsoupias
Ilias Koutsoupias Midfielder
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Midfielder
18
Filippo Grosso
Filippo Grosso Midfielder
24
Abdoulie Ndow
Abdoulie Ndow Midfielder
90
Edoardo Vergani
Edoardo Vergani Attacker
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Attacker
28
Massimo Zilli
Massimo Zilli Attacker
7
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis Attacker
11
Lorenzo Gori
Lorenzo Gori Attacker
80
Antonio Fiori
Antonio Fiori Attacker
40
Seydou Fini
Seydou Fini Attacker
99
Kevin Barcella
Kevin Barcella Attacker

Squad ▼

24
Francesco Bardi
Francesco Bardi Goalkeeper
1
Marco Festa
Marco Festa Goalkeeper
22
Lorenzo Andrenacci
Lorenzo Andrenacci Goalkeeper
34
Ante Vuković
Ante Vuković Goalkeeper
13
Andrea Meroni
Andrea Meroni Defender
29
Stefano Cella
Stefano Cella Defender
50
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia Defender
96
Tommaso Maggioni
Tommaso Maggioni Defender
15
Tiago Lisboa Silva Gonçalves
Tiago Lisboa Silva Gonçalves Defender
20
Calixte Paul Ligue
Calixte Paul Ligue Defender
3
Ali Dembélé
Ali Dembélé Defender
17
Nicolò Radaelli
Nicolò Radaelli Defender
5
Konstantinos Chrisopoulos
Konstantinos Chrisopoulos Defender
27
Alessio Castellini
Alessio Castellini Defender
2
Côme Bianay Balcot
Côme Bianay Balcot Defender
18
César Alejandro Falletti dos Santos
César Alejandro Falletti dos Santos Midfielder
21
Simone Trimboli
Simone Trimboli Midfielder
98
Federico Zuccon
Federico Zuccon Midfielder
10
David Wieser
David Wieser Midfielder
19
Francesco Ruocco
Francesco Ruocco Midfielder
36
Flavio Paoletti
Flavio Paoletti Midfielder
80
Rachid Kouda
Rachid Kouda Midfielder
9
Leonardo Mancuso
Leonardo Mancuso Attacker
7
Davis Mensah
Davis Mensah Attacker
77
Nicolò Buso
Nicolò Buso Attacker
99
Nicholas Bonfanti
Nicholas Bonfanti Attacker
11
Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci Attacker
30
Davide Bragantini
Davide Bragantini Attacker
28
Maat Daniel Caprini
Maat Daniel Caprini Attacker
23
Tommaso Simone Marras
Tommaso Simone Marras Attacker

CONCLUSION

Frosinone's clear power and form edges position them as heavy favorites against a Mantova side struggling for consistency. At home in Stadio Benito Stirpe, the second-placed hosts should dictate proceedings, exploiting their 13.2-point superiority to secure a comfortable victory. Mantova's mid-table status offers little threat without standout metrics in key areas like set pieces or efficiency. Expect Frosinone to maintain their promotion push with a professional display, potentially extending their lead at the top end of Serie B.

Frosinone vs Mantova preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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