Istra 1961 vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Aldo Drosina Mon, 4 May - 4:00 PM
1. HNL
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Versus
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 4:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Koprivnica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

In the 1. HNL regular season at Stadion Aldo Drosina, mid-table rivals Istra 1961 and Slaven Koprivnica clash in a pivotal 2025/2026 encounter. Istra, sitting 8th, host 7th-placed Slaven in a matchup of near equals, with power scores tightly bunched at 61.54 for the hosts and 62.14 for the visitors, giving Slaven a marginal 0.6-point edge. Form favors Istra slightly at 8.17 versus Slaven's 6.83, suggesting recent momentum on the home side despite the visitors' overall strength. Both teams lack recent outing details, but league positions underscore a balanced scrap. Set-piece metrics carry low confidence due to proxy data, with no xG available, pointing to a scrap decided by open-play execution. Expect a cagey affair where fine margins and home support could tip the scales.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Slaven Koprivnica possesses a slight 0.6-point power advantage over Istra 1961 at 62.14 versus 61.54.
  • Form: Istra 1961 boasts a higher form score of 8.17 compared to Slaven Koprivnica's 6.83.
  • Squad: Istra 1961 sit 8th and Slaven Koprivnica 7th in domestic league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data provided for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for Istra 1961 or Slaven Koprivnica.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis for the matchup.
  • Market: Istra 1961 36.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0%) | Slaven Koprivnica 33.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Istra 1961 K. Režić
K. Režić
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Vukovar Rank: 54 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 60 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 D
Varaždin Rank: 63 L
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 64 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 28 - 21
21
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Istra 1961
36.69%
Draw
29.42%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
33.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.54
62.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Istra 1961
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
61.54
62.14
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
425
411

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Istra 1961 — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Istra 1961 Slaven Koprivnica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 66 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 Home
66 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
17
Wins
21
28
Draws
28
21
Losses
17
Goals
72
Goals Scored
81
81
Goals Conceded
72
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:58:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Kolić
1 F. Kolić
A. Kadušić
97 A. Kadušić
F. Taraba
24 F. Taraba
R. Kumar
38 R. Kumar
M. Heister
26 M. Heister
L. Štulac
23 L. Štulac
A. Mauric
8 A. Mauric
E. Frederiksen
17 E. Frederiksen
S. Lončar
10 S. Lončar
V. Rozić
7 V. Rozić
S. Prevljak
9 S. Prevljak
O. Hadzikic
31 O. Hadzikic
F. Krušelj
18 F. Krušelj
Z. Katalinić
5 Z. Katalinić
T. Božić
6 T. Božić
M. Petrović
45 M. Petrović
I. Ćubelić
15 I. Ćubelić
F. Mažar
17 F. Mažar
L. Crepulja
21 L. Crepulja
M. Dabro
7 M. Dabro
J. Mitrović
11 J. Mitrović
G. Sivalec
26 G. Sivalec

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Capacity
9800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Franko Kolic
Franko Kolic Goalkeeper
6.93
9
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Centre Forward
6.88
97
Advan Kadusic
Advan Kadusic Right Back
6.81
38
Raul Kumar
Raul Kumar Left Back
6.73
24
Filip Taraba
Filip Taraba Right Back
6.54
26
Marcel Heister
Marcel Heister Left Back
6.72
23
Leo Stulac
Leo Stulac Defensive Midfield
6.76
8
Antonio Mauric
Antonio Mauric Defensive Midfield
6.8
17
Emil Frederiksen
Emil Frederiksen Right Wing
6.94
10
Stjepan Loncar
Stjepan Loncar Attacking Midfield
6.86
7
Vinko Rozic
Vinko Rozic Left Wing
6.63

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.65
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Centre Forward
6.96
26
Gabrijel Sivalec
Gabrijel Sivalec Attacker
6.53
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro Attacker
6.54
45
Marko Petrović
Marko Petrović Right Back
6
Tomislav Bozic
Tomislav Bozic Right Back
6.78
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Left Back
6.77
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Central Midfield
6.97
5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Zvonimir Katalinic Left Back
6.5
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar Central Midfield
6.69
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Central Midfield
6.73

CONCLUSION

This 1. HNL showdown pits evenly matched sides, with Slaven Koprivnica's power edge clashing against Istra 1961's form boost at Stadion Aldo Drosina. Home advantage and superior recent scoring could propel Istra to vital points, but Slaven's structural superiority hints at resilience on the road. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the game likely hinges on transitional moments and squad execution in a mid-table tussle. Tight margins define such contests, favoring a draw or narrow home win if Istra capitalize on momentum.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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