Cremonese vs Lazio Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giovanni Zini Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Cremonese USC
Versus
Lazio LAZ
KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

Cremonese vs Lazio preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Cremonese host Lazio in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Domestically, Cremonese sit 18th in the table while Lazio are 8th. Power ranking favours Lazio by 24.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lazio holds a 24.3-point power advantage over Cremonese, highlighting their superior structural setup.
  • Form: Lazio's form score of 34.72 significantly outpaces Cremonese's 9.11.
  • Squad: Cremonese sit 18th in the league, while Lazio occupy 8th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible for this fixture.
  • Market: Cremonese 32.6% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 29.2% (Δ+0%) | Lazio 38.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cremonese M. Giampaolo
M. Giampaolo
VS
Lazio M. Sarri
M. Sarri
0.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Napoli Rank: 85 L
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 69 L
Bologna Rank: 78 L
Parma Rank: 72 W
Fiorentina Rank: 78 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: 75 D
Napoli Rank: 86 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Parma Rank: 72 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
AC Milan Rank: 85 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cremonese
32.61%
Draw
29.23%
Away Lazio
38.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cremonese
-0.08%
Draw
+0.04%
Lazio
+0.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.48
80.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cremonese
Lazio
Power Score
56.48
80.74
League Position
18
8
Global Rank
280
52

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cremonese — Opponent-weighted form score
Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cremonese Lazio

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cremonese USC Home
4 matches
Lazio LAZ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
2
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:58:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Audero Mulyadi
1 E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Terracciano
24 F. Terracciano
F. Baschirotto
6 F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
5 S. Luperto
G. Pezzella
3 G. Pezzella
R. Floriani
22 R. Floriani
Y. Maleh
29 Y. Maleh
W. Bondo
38 W. Bondo
J. Vandeputte
27 J. Vandeputte
F. Bonazzoli
90 F. Bonazzoli
A. Sanabria Ayala
99 A. Sanabria Ayala
E. Motta
40 E. Motta
N. Varela Tavares
17 N. Varela Tavares
A. Romagnoli
13 A. Romagnoli
O. Nielsen
25 O. Nielsen
A. Marušić
77 A. Marušić
K. Taylor
24 K. Taylor
P. Gabarrón Gil
4 P. Gabarrón Gil
T. Bašić
26 T. Bašić
T. Noslin
14 T. Noslin
D. Maldini
27 D. Maldini
G. Isaksen
18 G. Isaksen

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Capacity
16003
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Chiffi
Pietro Dei Giudici
Andrea Calzavara
Christian Rossi

Expected Lineup

Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Audero
Emil Audero Goalkeeper
7.03
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Romano Floriani Mussolini Midfielder
6.57
27
Jari Vandeputte
Jari Vandeputte Midfielder
6.87
90
Federico Bonazzoli
Federico Bonazzoli Attacker
6.97
99
Antonio Sanabria
Antonio Sanabria Attacker
6.58
6
Federico Baschirotto
Federico Baschirotto Right Back
6.8
24
Filippo Terracciano
Filippo Terracciano Right Back
6.84
38
Warren Bondo
Warren Bondo Central Midfield
6.54
5
Sebastiano Luperto
Sebastiano Luperto Left Back
6.79
3
Giuseppe Pezzella
Giuseppe Pezzella Left Back
6.65
29
Youssef Maleh
Youssef Maleh Central Midfield
6.63
Referee : Daniele Chiffi

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Motta
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper
6.9
14
Tijjani Noslin
Tijjani Noslin Attacker
6.8
18
Gustav Isaksen
Gustav Isaksen Attacker
6.79
27
Daniel Maldini
Daniel Maldini Centre Forward
6.69
4
Patric
Patric Central Midfield
6.72
24
Kenneth Taylor
Kenneth Taylor Central Midfield
6.97
26
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić Central Midfield
7.03
25
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard Right Back
6.8
13
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli Left Back
6.89
17
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares Left Back
6.86
77
Adam Marusic
Adam Marusic Right Back
6.83

CONCLUSION

Lazio enter as clear favorites, backed by a substantial power edge and superior form that expose Cremonese's vulnerabilities at the bottom of the table. The hosts' low metrics suggest difficulty in matching Lazio's intensity, particularly in possession and attacking transitions. Cremonese may find joy from set pieces or counter-attacks fueled by home passion, but data limitations on key areas like efficiency and xG leave questions. Lazio's higher league position and quality should prevail, likely securing an away victory in a game they dominate structurally. Expect a professional performance from the visitors to extend their strong run.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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