Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdańsk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Versus
Lechia Gdańsk LGD
KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdańsk preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza, 8th-placed Radomiak Radom hosts 11th-placed Lechia Gdańsk in the 2025/2026 campaign. Power ratings reveal a razor-thin margin, with Lechia holding a slight 60.8 to 60.38 edge and labeled the stronger side by 0.4 points. Yet, Radomiak's form score of 19.67 outshines Lechia's 16.5, hinting at home momentum. Both squads lack recent outing details, but league positions favor the hosts. Set piece data remains elusive with no xG available and low confidence proxies used, while efficiency metrics are absent. This setup promises a tactical battle where Radomiak's superior form and home turf could counter Lechia's marginal power superiority, setting up an intriguing mid-table tussle with fine margins likely decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lechia Gdańsk possesses a marginal 0.4-point power advantage over Radomiak Radom with scores of 60.8 to 60.38.
  • Form: Radomiak Radom leads in form with a score of 19.67 compared to Lechia Gdańsk's 16.5.
  • Squad: Radomiak Radom sits 8th in the league standings, ahead of Lechia Gdańsk in 11th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: No specific transition statistics are provided for either squad.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with no xG data available and proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Market: Radomiak Radom 42.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | Lechia Gdańsk 31.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Radomiak Radom B. Nunes Baltazar
B. Nunes Baltazar
VS
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 59 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 D
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 68 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 59 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 56 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 W
Katowice Rank: 65 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Radomiak Radom
42.11%
Draw
26.03%
Away Lechia Gdańsk
31.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.38
60.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdańsk
Power Score
60.38
60.8
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
464
449

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Radomiak Radom Lechia Gdańsk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Home
7 matches
Lechia Gdańsk LGD Away
Match Record
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
5
Goals
15
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
15
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:58:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Majchrowicz
1 F. Majchrowicz
Z. Ouattara
24 Z. Ouattara
J. Blasco
5 J. Blasco
A. Diéguez Grande
26 A. Diéguez Grande
J. Grzesik
13 J. Grzesik
C. Donis
77 C. Donis
V. Fortes Lopes
7 V. Fortes Lopes
R. Wolski
27 R. Wolski
L. Lima Linhares
82 L. Lima Linhares
E. Baldé
21 E. Baldé
A. Tapsoba
15 A. Tapsoba
A. Paulsen
18 A. Paulsen
M. Vojtko
27 M. Vojtko
M. Rodin
80 M. Rodin
M. Dyachuk
15 M. Dyachuk
T. Wójtowicz
33 T. Wójtowicz
I. Zhelizko
5 I. Zhelizko
R. Kapič
10 R. Kapič
A. Ćirković
8 A. Ćirković
K. Sezonienko
79 K. Sezonienko
C. Mena Márquez
11 C. Mena Márquez
T. Bobček
89 T. Bobček

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Szymon Marciniak
Tomasz Listkiewicz
K. Nejman
Dawid Wiśniewski

Expected Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Majchrowicz
Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
6.77
7
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Midfielder
6.7
21
Elves Baldé
Elves Baldé Midfielder
6.75
15
Abdoul Tapsoba
Abdoul Tapsoba Centre Forward
6.69
24
Zié Ouattara
Zié Ouattara Right Back
6.96
5
Jérémy Blasco
Jérémy Blasco Right Back
6.72
77
Christos Donis
Christos Donis Defensive Midfield
6.64
26
Adrián Diéguez
Adrián Diéguez Left Back
6.75
13
Jan Grzesik
Jan Grzesik Left Back
7.06
27
Rafal Wolski
Rafal Wolski Central Midfield
7.02
82
Luquinhas
Luquinhas Central Midfield
6.79
Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Starting XI ▼

18
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
6.72
89
Tomas Bobcek
Tomas Bobcek Centre Forward
7.3
33
Tomasz Wojtowicz
Tomasz Wojtowicz Right Back
6.72
15
Maksym Dyachuk
Maksym Dyachuk Right Back
6.73
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Left Back
6.94
27
Matus Vojtko
Matus Vojtko Left Back
6.69
10
Rifet Kapic
Rifet Kapic Defensive Midfield
7.04
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Defensive Midfield
7.25
8
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic Left Wing
6.99
11
Camilo Mena
Camilo Mena Right Wing
7.05
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Attacking Midfield
6.86

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lechia Gdańsk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lechia Gdańsk a 0.4-point edge. External projection is Radomiak Radom 42.1%, draw 26%, and Lechia Gdańsk 31.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ