FC Midtjylland vs Viborg FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
MCH Arena Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Superliga
FC Midtjylland FCM
Versus
Viborg FF Viborg FF
KICKOFF : Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Round 8 Championship Round

FC Midtjylland vs Viborg FF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

FC Midtjylland host Viborg FF in Superliga (Championship Round) at MCH Arena. Domestically, FC Midtjylland sit 2th in the table while Viborg FF are 5th. Power ranking favours FC Midtjylland by 15.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Midtjylland benefits from home venue at MCH Arena and second-place standing over Viborg FF's fifth.
  • Form: Midtjylland's form score reaches 35.89, exceeding Viborg FF's 19.56 markedly.
  • Squad: Squad power rates Midtjylland at 79.39 against Viborg FF's 64.23.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics unavailable for both FC Midtjylland and Viborg FF.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent from current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with proxies applied for each team.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on disabled.
  • Market: FC Midtjylland 59.6% (Δ+0.9%) | Draw 22.3% (Δ-0.4%) | Viborg FF 18.1% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
AGF Rank: 70 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 64 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 61 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 W
AGF Rank: 70 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 D
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 11 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
59.59%
Draw
22.28%
Away Viborg FF
18.13%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Midtjylland
+0.85%
Draw
-0.37%
Viborg FF
-0.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.39
64.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Viborg FF
Power Score
79.39
64.23
League Position
2
5
Global Rank
63
344

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Viborg FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
29 matches
Viborg FF Viborg FF Away
Match Record
15
Wins
3
11
Draws
11
3
Losses
15
Goals
51
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
51
+25
Goal Difference
-25
Expected Goals
1.46
xG
1.07
1.07
xGA
1.46

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:59:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Olafsson
16 E. Olafsson
O. Diao
4 O. Diao
H. Lee
3 H. Lee
M. Erlić
6 M. Erlić
K. Mbabu
43 K. Mbabu
P. Bravo Landazuri
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
P. Billing
8 P. Billing
V. Jensen
55 V. Jensen
D. Osorio Osorio
11 D. Osorio Osorio
D. Simsir
58 D. Simsir
K. Cho
10 K. Cho
L. Pedersen
1 L. Pedersen
O. Kristensen
23 O. Kristensen
D. Anyembe
24 D. Anyembe
L. Kirkegaard
32 L. Kirkegaard
H. Bidstrup
26 H. Bidstrup
A. Bech
8 A. Bech
M. Hoedemakers
4 M. Hoedemakers
S. Jalal Karchoud
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
T. Jørgensen
10 T. Jørgensen
D. Hanza Meha
19 D. Hanza Meha
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman

General Information

Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium
MCH Arena
Capacity
12152
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rene Risum
Lars Hummelgaard
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Jakob Kehlet

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
7.04
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
6.79
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio Midfielder
7.33
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu Midfielder
6.62
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir Midfielder
7.39
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Centre Forward
6.69
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Centre Back
6.85
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Central Midfield
6.72
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Central Midfield
7.18
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Right Back
6.94
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Left Back
6.83
Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
6.91
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
7.34
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck Midfielder
6.62
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
6.93
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
6.63
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Right Back
6.8
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Right Back
7.09
23
Oliver Bundgaard
Oliver Bundgaard Left Back
6.61
24
Daniel Anyembe
Daniel Anyembe Left Back
6.74
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Central Midfield
7.01
4
Mees Hoedemakers
Mees Hoedemakers Central Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

FC Midtjylland enters as clear favorites, leveraging superior power ratings, form, and league position at home against Viborg FF. Their 15.2-point edge suggests structural command, potentially overwhelming Viborg's efforts in the Championship Round. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, and set piece insights limit granular tactics, yet overall metrics favor the hosts decisively. Viborg must exploit any lapses to challenge, but Midtjylland's momentum points to a solid performance. This matchup reinforces Midtjylland's title contention while testing Viborg's resilience away.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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