Newcastle United vs Manchester City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 FA Cup, England
St. James' Park Sun, 8 Mar - 12:15 AM
FA Cup
Newcastle United NEW
1 Winner 3
Manchester City MCI
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 12:15 AM
Harvey Barnes - 18'
Goal
|
Goal
Savinho - 39'
Omar Marmoush - 47', 65'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Newcastle United 1–3 Manchester City. The result saw Manchester City take the points. Manchester City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 37%–63%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Manchester City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Bennett
S. Bennett
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Wood
T. Wood
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Barrott
S. Barrott
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Smith
L. Smith
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Newcastle United E. Howe
E. Howe
VS
Manchester City Josep Guardiola
Josep Guardiola
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 7 - 37
37

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Newcastle United
33%
Draw
25.8%
Away Manchester City
41.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Newcastle United
+0.04%
Draw
-0.77%
Manchester City
+0.72%
Power Ranking data not available.

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Newcastle United Opponent-weighted form score
Manchester City Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Newcastle United Manchester City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Newcastle United

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Manchester City

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Newcastle United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Manchester City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.19
39.68
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.68
34.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Newcastle United -0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Manchester City +0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Newcastle United
Manchester City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Newcastle United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Manchester City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Newcastle United Manchester City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Newcastle United Manchester City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Newcastle United
Manchester City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Newcastle United NEW Home
1 matches
Manchester City MCI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:15:51+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 12:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 FA Cup, England
Stadium
St. James' Park
Capacity
52409
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simon Bennett
Tim Wood
Samuel Barrott
Lewis Smith

Statistics

Possession
NEW
39%
MCI
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 7
6 Shots 18
33 Dangerous attacks 80
37 Possession 63
3 Corners 9
16 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 5
12 Throwins 11
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
6 Dribble Attempts 21
68 Ball Safe 75
7 Goal Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 11
1 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

59 Attacks 99
3 Big Chances Missed 5

Possession

303 Passes 522
222 Successful Passes 455
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
73 Successful Passes Percentage 87
6 Key Passes 13
54 Long Passes 35
14 Successful Long Passes 12

Defensive

9 Interceptions 6
16 Tackles 10
5 Saves 2

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 16
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

12 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Yoane Wissa
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90'
Event
Tino Livramento Lewis Hall
8th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Rayan Cherki Savinho
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Phil Foden Jérémy Doku
7th Substitution
Event
Pep Guardiola
3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Joelinton
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
78'
73'
Event
Antoine Semenyo Omar Marmoush
5th Substitution
Event
Anthony Gordon Nick Woltemade
4th Substitution
72'
65'
Event
Omar Marmoush
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Dan Burn Kieran Trippier
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Yoane Wissa William Osula
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Joelinton Anthony Elanga
1st Substitution
62'
54'
Event
Pep Guardiola
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
47'
Event
Omar Marmoush
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Savinho
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Harvey Barnes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
18'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yoane Wissa of Newcastle United receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tijjani Reijnders of Manchester City takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sails over the crossbar.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Matheus Nunes from Manchester City earns a free kick in his own half.
90
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
90
Update Update
Tino Livramento from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Nico González commits a handball for Manchester City.
90
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo commits a foul against Manchester City.
90
Update Update
Yoane Wissa commits a foul against Newcastle United.
90
Update Update
Yoane Wissa commits a foul against Newcastle United.
90
Update Update
Nico González commits a handball for Manchester City.
90
Update Update
Abdukodir Khusanov from Manchester City earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United tries a right-footed shot from a challenging angle and long distance on the left, but it's blocked.
90
Update Update
Tino Livramento from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo commits a foul against Manchester City.
90
Update Update
Matheus Nunes from Manchester City earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 3.
90
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sandro Tonali of Newcastle United tries a shot with his right foot from a challenging angle and a considerable distance on the left, but it's blocked.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 3.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it sails over the crossbar.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yoane Wissa of Newcastle United receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
90
Update Update
Abdukodir Khusanov from Manchester City earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
88
Update Update
Joe Willock from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the left flank.
88
Update Update
Joe Willock from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
88
Update Update
Rayan Cherki commits a foul against Manchester City.
88
Update Update
Rayan Cherki commits a foul against Manchester City.
87
Attempt Attempt
Rayan Cherki's attempt from outside the penalty area for Manchester City is thwarted as his right-footed shot is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Rayan Cherki from Manchester City takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Nathan Aké of Manchester City takes a left-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Rayan Cherki.
87
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt was thwarted. Nathan Aké of Manchester City tried a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Rayan Cherki.
87
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City after Dan Burn allowed the ball to go out of play.
87
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City after Dan Burn allowed the ball to go out.
86
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo of Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
86
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
86
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
86
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo of Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
83
Update Update
Abdukodir Khusanov from Manchester City earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
83
Update Update
Yoane Wissa commits a foul against Newcastle United.
83
Update Update
Yoane Wissa commits a foul against Newcastle United.
83
Update Update
Abdukodir Khusanov from Manchester City earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
80
Update Update
Joelinton from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his own half.
80
Update Update
Phil Foden commits a foul for Manchester City.
80
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Tino Livramento comes on to take the place of Lewis Hall.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Tino Livramento comes on to take the place of Lewis Hall.
80
Update Update
Phil Foden commits a foul for Manchester City.
80
Update Update
Joelinton from Newcastle United is awarded a free kick in their own half.
80
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Rayan Cherki comes on to replace Savinho, who has been injured.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Phil Foden comes on to take the place of Jérémy Doku.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Phil Foden comes on to take the place of Jérémy Doku.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Rayan Cherki comes on for Savinho, who has been substituted due to an injury.
78
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Savinho from Manchester City.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joelinton from Newcastle United receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
78
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Savinho from Manchester City.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joelinton from Newcastle United receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
77
Update Update
Savinho from Manchester City earns a free kick in the defensive zone.
77
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United, following a foul by Nathan Aké.
77
Update Update
Savinho from Manchester City earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
77
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
77
Update Update
Joelinton commits a foul for Newcastle United.
77
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United after Nathan Aké allowed the ball to go out.
74
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his own half.
74
Update Update
Reilly - Manchester City.
74
Update Update
Matheus Nunes commits a foul for Manchester City.
74
Update Update
Anthony Gordon from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
74
Update Update
Matheus Nunes commits a foul for Manchester City.
74
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his own half.
74
Update Update
Reilly versus Manchester City.
74
Update Update
Anthony Gordon from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Antoine Semenyo comes on to take the place of Omar Marmoush.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Antoine Semenyo comes on to take the place of Omar Marmoush.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon comes on to take the place of Nick Woltemade.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon comes on to take the place of Nick Woltemade.
67
Update Update
Sandro Tonali of Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Update Update
Tijjani Reijnders commits a foul for Manchester City.
67
Update Update
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Update Update
Tijjani Reijnders commits a foul for Manchester City.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 3. Omar Marmoush scores for Manchester City with a powerful right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist comes from Matheus Nunes.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 3. Omar Marmoush scores for Manchester City with a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Yoane Wissa comes on to take the place of William Osula.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Dan Burn comes on to take the place of Kieran Trippier.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Dan Burn comes on to take the place of Kieran Trippier.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Yoane Wissa comes on to take the place of William Osula.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Joelinton comes on to take the place of Anthony Elanga.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle United: Joelinton comes on to take the place of Anthony Elanga.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City after Malick Thiaw allowed the ball to go out.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City after Malick Thiaw allowed the ball to go out.
60
Attempt Attempt
A shot from outside the box by Omar Marmoush of Manchester City is stopped by Aaron Ramsdale, who makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The attempt was set up by Jérémy Doku from Newcastle United.
60
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City took a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it went wide to the right.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City, following a defensive play by Malick Thiaw.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City, following a save by Aaron Ramsdale.
60
Corner Corner
Reilly of Manchester City attempts a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but Aaron Ramsdale of Newcastle United makes a fantastic save, reaching up to the top right corner. The chance was set up by Tijjani Reijnders, who delivered a precise cross.
60
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it goes wide to the right.
60
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt by Omar Marmoush from Manchester City is blocked. He took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Aaron Ramsdale from Newcastle United managed to save it right in the middle of the goal. The play was set up by Jérémy Doku.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City after Malick Thiaw allowed the ball to go out.
60
Corner Corner
Reilly from Manchester City directed a header from the right side of the six-yard area, but Aaron Ramsdale from Newcastle United made a fantastic save, reaching up to stop it in the top right corner. The opportunity was set up by Tijjani Reijnders, who delivered a precise cross.
60
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City, following a save by Aaron Ramsdale.
59
Update Update
Jérémy Doku from Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
59
Update Update
Jérémy Doku from Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
59
Update Update
Kieran Trippier of Newcastle United commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Kieran Trippier of Newcastle United commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Jérémy Doku of Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
59
Update Update
Joe Willock from Newcastle United commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Jérémy Doku from Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
59
Update Update
Jérémy Doku from Manchester City has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Joe Willock from Newcastle United takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes over the goal and to the left after a set piece.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Joe Willock from Newcastle United took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and wide to the left after a set piece.
55
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the right flank.
55
Update Update
Jérémy Doku commits a foul for Manchester City.
55
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the right flank.
55
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
54
Update Update
Lewis Hall from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
54
Update Update
Reilly vs. Manchester City.
54
Update Update
Reilly versus Manchester City.
52
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was thwarted. Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United took a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but James Trafford of Manchester City made a save in the upper center of the net.
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but James Trafford of Manchester City makes a save in the top center of the net.
51
Update Update
Kieran Trippier of Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
51
Update Update
Nico González commits a foul for Manchester City.
51
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is denied. Jérémy Doku from Manchester City takes a right-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Nathan Aké.
51
Update Update
William Osula from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
51
Update Update
Nico González commits a foul for Manchester City.
50
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Savinho from Manchester City took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Matheus Nunes.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 2. Omar Marmoush scores for Manchester City with a right-footed shot from just a few yards out, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist came from Matheus Nunes, who delivered a precise cross.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 1-1 between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
45
Update Update
Newcastle United has been flagged for offside. Anthony Elanga has been ruled offside.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 1-1 between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score tied at 1-1 between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
44
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tijjani Reijnders of Manchester City took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but it went wide to the right. He was set up by Savinho.
42
Attempt Attempt
Savinho's left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area is deflected away. The attempt was set up by Tijjani Reijnders.
42
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Abdukodir Khusanov of Manchester City heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes over the bar and to the left. The chance was set up by Jérémy Doku, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
41
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City after Joe Willock allowed the ball to go out.
41
Attempt Attempt
The attempt was thwarted. Tijjani Reijnders of Manchester City took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but Aaron Ramsdale of Newcastle United made a save right in the middle of the goal.
40
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United commits a foul.
40
Update Update
Savinho from Manchester City earns a free kick in his own half.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City took a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area but couldn't find the target.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 1. Savinho scores for Manchester City with a left-footed shot from just a few yards out, finding the center of the net. The assist came from Jérémy Doku, who delivered a precise cross.
37
Update Update
Matheus Nunes commits a foul for Manchester City.
37
Update Update
Harvey Barnes from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
35
Attempt Attempt
Nico González's attempt is thwarted. The Manchester City player takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. Matheus Nunes provided the assist.
34
Update Update
Matheus Nunes from Manchester City earns a free kick on the right flank.
34
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United commits a foul.
34
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was thwarted. Tijjani Reijnders of Manchester City took a right-footed attempt from the middle of the box, but Aaron Ramsdale from Newcastle United made a save right in the middle of the goal, with the assist coming from Jérémy Doku.
32
Update Update
Kieran Trippier from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the right flank.
32
Update Update
Jérémy Doku commits a foul for Manchester City.
30
Update Update
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
30
Update Update
Savinho commits a foul for Manchester City.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester City after a deflection off Aaron Ramsdale.
29
Update Update
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
29
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Nathan Aké from Manchester City heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes over the bar and to the right. The chance was set up by Savinho, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
25
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
25
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Harvey Barnes from Newcastle United takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes over the goal and to the right after a set piece play.
23
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
23
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City, following a foul by Sandro Tonali.
21
Update Update
Newcastle United has been flagged for offside. Harvey Barnes is the player who has been caught in an offside position.
20
Attempt Attempt
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United just had a chance but missed the target. He took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Newcastle United takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Manchester City. Harvey Barnes scores with a right-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area.
17
Update Update
Joe Willock from Newcastle United commits a foul.
17
Update Update
Abdukodir Khusanov from Manchester City earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Malick Thiaw of Newcastle United took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed high and wide to the left. The chance was set up by Joe Willock after a set piece.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Joe Willock from Newcastle United took a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it went wide to the right. He was set up by Sven Botman, who delivered a cross after a set piece.
14
Update Update
Nathan Aké of Manchester City earns a free kick on the left flank.
14
Update Update
Tijjani Reijnders commits a foul for Manchester City.
14
Update Update
Sandro Tonali from Newcastle United commits a foul.
14
Update Update
Harvey Barnes from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. William Osula of Newcastle United heads the ball from the middle of the box, but it's stopped right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Kieran Trippier, who delivered a cross.
10
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Newcastle United after Abdukodir Khusanov allowed the ball to go out.
10
Corner Corner
Newcastle United has earned a corner after Abdukodir Khusanov allowed it to go out of play.
9
Attempt Attempt
A shot from outside the penalty area by Anthony Elanga of Newcastle United is stopped by James Trafford of Manchester City, who makes a save in the top center of the goal. The attempt was set up by Sandro Tonali.
8
Update Update
Nick Woltemade from Newcastle United earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
6
Update Update
Anthony Elanga from Newcastle United earns a free kick on the left flank.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester City after Harvey Barnes allowed the ball to go out of play.
3
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tijjani Reijnders from Manchester City took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
2
Corner Corner
Newcastle United has been awarded a corner kick after John Stones allowed the ball to go out of play.
1
Update Update
Nick Woltemade of Newcastle United commits a foul.
1
Update Update
Nico González from Manchester City is awarded a free kick in their own half.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Manchester City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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