Racing Santander vs Huesca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
4 Winner 2
Huesca HUE
Full Time Sun, 3 May 12:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Jaime Mata - 90+11'
Andrés Martín - 66'
Álvaro Mantilla - 53'
Asier Villalibre - 47'
Goal
|
Goal
Óscar Sielva - 72' (P), 5'
|
Red Card Jesús Álvarez 75'

CONTEXT

Racing Santander delivered a commanding 4-2 victory over Huesca, erasing a 0-1 halftime deficit with a dominant second-half display. Holding 64% possession throughout, the home side overwhelmed their opponents, who managed only 36%. Huesca's early strike caught Racing Santander off guard, but the tide turned decisively after the visitors received a red card, tilting the balance further. This numerical advantage fueled a four-goal salvo, showcasing the hosts' clinical finishing and relentless pressure. As the stronger team entering the match, Racing Santander's performance featured minimal structural deviation, staying true to their favored status. The red card introduced clear distortion, amplifying second-half dynamics and underscoring the home team's adaptability.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal 4.4% structural deviation favored Racing Santander.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as fully achieved.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without provided metrics.
  • Event impact: Huesca's red card generated substantial event impact.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion shaped second-half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Cid Camacho

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

F. Román Román

4th Official

S. López Freixa

1st Assistant

D. Pescador Hernández

2nd Assistant

Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
1.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 70 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 D
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 D
Granada Rank: 65 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
95.61%
Draw
4.2%
Away Huesca
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.02
58.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Huesca
Power Score
71.02
58.19
League Position
1
19
Global Rank
182
551

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Huesca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.83
28.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.75
43.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Racing Santander +1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Huesca -1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Huesca
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Racing Santander Huesca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Racing Santander Huesca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Huesca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Racing Santander
vs
Huesca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Racing Santander Huesca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Racing Santander 0.41
Huesca 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Racing Santander Huesca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Racing Santander 0.07
Huesca 0.07
Racing Santander
Huesca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAC had peak pressure around 76'.
  • RAC started the game with stronger pressure.
RAC Pressure HUE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAC reached the top pressure at 76' (94.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
11 matches
Huesca HUE Away
Match Record
4
Wins
1
6
Draws
6
1
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
12
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:02:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Lars Eriksson
Sweden
13 Lars Eriksson
A. Mantilla Pérez
Substitution
Spain
2 A. Mantilla Pérez
J. Hernando Riol
Substitution
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
P. Ramón Parra
Spain
21 P. Ramón Parra
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
M. Gueye
Substitution
Senegal
14 M. Gueye
G. Puerta Molano
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
A. Martín García
Substitution
Spain
11 A. Martín García
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Vicente Elorduy
Substitution
Spain
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
G. Guliashvili
Substitution
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili
Pitch
D. Martín Rodríguez
Spain
30 D. Martín Rodríguez
R. Abajas Martín
Substitution
Spain
3 R. Abajas Martín
I. Sebastián Magaña
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
A. Carrillo Alacid
Substitution
Spain
4 A. Carrillo Alacid
J. Abad Martínez
Substitution
Spain
2 J. Abad Martínez
J. Álvarez Aguado
Spain
16 J. Álvarez Aguado
Ó. Sielva Moreno
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Sielva Moreno
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
J. Mier Martínez
Spain
6 J. Mier Martínez
D. Luna
Substitution
Colombia
33 D. Luna
S. Enrich Ametller
Substitution
Spain
9 S. Enrich Ametller

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity :
22308
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Germán Cid Camacho
Fernando Román Román
Sergi López Freixa
Daniel Pescador Hernández

Statistics

Possession
RAC
61%
HUE
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
9 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 2
61 Dangerous attacks 27
64 Possession 36
12 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Penalties 1
0 Injuries 1
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
26 Throwins 14
18 Dribble Attempts 12
8 Successful Dribbles 3
3 Assists 1
15 Goal Attempts 5
3 Goal Kicks 8
66 Ball Safe 80
6 Substitutions 6

Attacking

120 Attacks 61
5 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 77
491 Successful Passes 238
570 Passes 308
20 Successful Long Passes 29
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
38 Long Passes 69
19 Key Passes 5

Defensive

46 Duels Won 52
4 Interceptions 23
13 Tackles 24
2 Saves 11

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 10
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.66
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Defender
6.59
15
Marco Sangalli
Marco Sangalli
Attacker84'
6.78
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
6.78
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro
Defender23'
6.8
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Defender
6.68
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
6.71
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
7.46
16
Facundo González
Facundo González
Defender83'
6.77
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
7.3
17
Jaime Mata
Jaime Mata
Attacker90+5'
6.27
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Midfielder
6.7
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre
Attacker46'
6.87
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
7.07
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.95
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.89
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez
Midfielder73'
6.73
Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

30
Dani Martín
Dani Martín Goalkeeper
8.45
2
Toni Abad
Toni Abad Defender
6.67
11
Liberto Beltrán
Liberto Beltrán
Attacker67'
6.7
3
Ro Abajas
Ro Abajas Defender
6.53
17
Julio Alonso
Julio Alonso
Defender67'
6.55
4
Álvaro Carrillo
Álvaro Carrillo Defender
6.65
7
Jordi Escobar
Jordi Escobar
Attacker87'
6.79
5
Piña
Piña Defender
6.68
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier Midfielder
6.72
16
Jesús Álvarez
Jesús Álvarez Midfielder
6.79
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
6.77
23
Óscar Sielva
Óscar Sielva Midfielder
2
7.07
22
Michael Agbekpornu
Michael Agbekpornu
Midfielder85'
6.56
33
Daniel Luna
Daniel Luna Midfielder
6.68
24
Efe Ugiagbe
Efe Ugiagbe
Attacker82'
6.74
9
Sergi Enrich
Sergi Enrich Attacker
6.67
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez
Attacker67'
6.62

Events

2ND-HALF
90+14'
Event
Javi Mier
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jaime Mata
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+11'
Event
Jaime Mata → Andrés Martín
12th Substitution
90+5'
87'
Event
Jordi Escobar → Álvaro Carrillo
11th Substitution
85'
Event
Michael Agbekpornu → Óscar Sielva
10th Substitution
Event
Marco Sangalli → Álvaro Mantilla
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Facundo González → Iñigo Vicente
8th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Efe Ugiagbe → Daniel Luna
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Jesús Álvarez
Foul / 1st Redcard
Event
Damián Rodríguez → Giorgi Guliashvili
6th Substitution
73'
72'
Event
Óscar Sielva
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
70'
Event
Liberto Beltrán
Penalty awarded
67'
Event
Julio Alonso → Ro Abajas
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Liberto Beltrán → Toni Abad
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Enol Rodríguez → Sergi Enrich
5th Substitution
Event
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
66'
62'
Event
Álvaro Carrillo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Álvaro Mantilla
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
53'
Event
Asier Villalibre
Header / 2nd Goal
47'
Event
Asier Villalibre → Maguette Gueye
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Javi Castro → Manu Hernando
1st Substitution
23'
18'
Event
Ro Abajas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Óscar Sielva
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Efe Ugiagbe takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Jaime Mata is on, and Andres Martin Garcia is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Salinas takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Asier Villalibre's left-footed shot is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jaime Mata takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
87
Update Update
Jordi Escobar comes on for Alvaro Carrillo.
85
Update Update
Michael Agbekpornu is on, and Sielva is off.
83
Update Update
Facundo Gonzalez comes on for Inigo Vicente.
83
Update Update
Marco Sangalli Fuentes is on, and Alvaro Mantilla is off.
82
Update Update
Efe Ugiagbe comes on for Daniel Luna.
75
Red Card Red Card Important
Jesus Alvarez receives a red card.
74
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Carrillo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Damian Rodriguez Sousa is on, and Giorgi Guliashvili is off.
73
Attempt Attempt
Enol Rodriguez Heres takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Update Update
Damian Rodriguez Sousa replaces Giorgi Guliashvili.
72
Attempt Attempt
Sielva scores with a right-footed shot.
72
Update Update
Goal in the penalty shootout! Sielva scores, making it 3-2.
68
Attempt Attempt
Liberto Beltran's left-footed shot is blocked.
67
Update Update
Damian Rodriguez Sousa comes on for Giorgi Guliashvili.
67
Update Update
Enol Rodriguez comes on for Sergi Enrich Ametller.
66
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia scores with a left-footed shot.
64
Attempt Attempt
Asier Villalibre takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales has a left-footed shot that is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Sielva's right-footed shot is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Mantilla scores with a right-footed shot.
47
Update Update
Asier Villalibre scores with a header.
46
Update Update
Asier Villalibre comes on for Maguette Gueye.
45
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ramon Parra takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Maguette Gueye's header is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Maguette Gueye takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Guliashvili takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Toni Abad takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente's right-footed shot is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Mantilla's header is saved.
23
Update Update
Javier Castro Urdin is on, and Pablo Ramon Parra is off.
18
Attempt Attempt
Jose Manuel Hernando Riol takes a shot with his head but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Portillo Soler takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Salinas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Jorge Salinas takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
5
Update Update
Goal! Sielva scores to make it 1-0.
5
Attempt Attempt
Sielva scores with a right-footed shot.

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander's 4-2 triumph over Huesca exemplified resilience, transforming a halftime deficit into a rout via superior possession and exploitation of the opponent's red card. The minimal deviation and aligned market outcome reinforced their stronger standing. Absent xG data limits deeper analysis, yet the result mirrors preseason form. Huesca's dismissal distorted proceedings, enabling the hosts' offensive surge. This win bolsters Racing Santander's campaign, highlighting tactical nous and finishing prowess under pressure.

Racing Santander vs Huesca preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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