Hammarby vs Västerås SK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
3 Winner 0
Västerås SK Västerås SK
Full Time Sun, 3 May 12:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
Montader Madjed - 86'
Paulos Abraham - 73'
Victor Lind - 67'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Hammarby delivered a dominant 3-0 home win against Västerås SK, asserting control with 61% possession compared to the visitors' 39%. The first half ended goalless at 0-0, setting a tense tone before Hammarby unleashed their attack in the second period, scoring all three goals to secure the victory. As the pre-designated stronger team, Hammarby faced no disruptions, with zero red cards issued to either side. The result reflected minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, staying true to expectations. Possession dominance translated effectively into chances, though detailed xG data was unavailable. Västerås SK struggled to create meaningful threats, unable to capitalize on their limited ball time. Hammarby's clinical finishing and defensive solidity ensured a clean sheet, marking a straightforward progression in their campaign. The market alignment held firm, underscoring the predictability of the outcome given the teams' disparities.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hammarby exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.1% from expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Klitte

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lundgren

1st Assistant

A. Svensson

2nd Assistant

E. Mattsson

4th Official

Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: 64 D
Halmstad Rank: 47 D
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
Sirius Rank: 59 L
Mjällby Rank: 70 W
Elfsborg Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 49 W
Häcken Rank: 59 D
Sirius Rank: 60 L
Elfsborg Rank: 56 D
Kalmar Rank: 50 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Västerås SK
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.51
40.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Västerås SK
Power Score
68.51
40.62
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
241
857

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Västerås SK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
62.05
15.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.90
62.05
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +4.60 Efficiency Index
vs
Västerås SK -4.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Västerås SK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Västerås SK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Västerås SK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Västerås SK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
Västerås SK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Västerås SK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.34
Västerås SK 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Västerås SK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.00
Västerås SK 0.03
Hammarby
Västerås SK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 75'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure Västerås SK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 75' (86.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
2 matches
Västerås SK Västerås SK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:02:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
I. Breze Fofana
Guinea
6 I. Breze Fofana
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
F. Junior Adjei
Ghana
28 F. Junior Adjei
M. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
N. Besara
Substitution
Sweden
20 N. Besara
V. Lind
Substitution
Denmark
9 V. Lind
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham
Pitch
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
P. Henriksson Bonde
Sweden
4 P. Henriksson Bonde
F. Nsabiyumva
Burundi
18 F. Nsabiyumva
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 H. Magnusson
J. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
15 J. Karlsson
M. Diagne
Senegal
8 M. Diagne
I. Lushaku
Substitution
Kosovo
14 I. Lushaku
S. Gefvert
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
A. Boudah
Substitution
Sweden
7 A. Boudah
M. Riis Ladefoged
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
J. Ring
Substitution
Sweden
10 J. Ring

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fredrik Klitte
Marcus Lundgren
Andreas Svensson
Erik Mattsson

Statistics

Possession
HAM
61%
Västerås SK
39%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
14 Shots 3
97 Dangerous attacks 24
61 Possession 39
7 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
25 Throwins 12
10 Dribble Attempts 11
5 Successful Dribbles 4
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
4 Goal Kicks 16
22 Goal Attempts 3
2 Hit Woodwork 1
81 Ball Safe 77

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
123 Attacks 78

Possession

544 Passes 359
55 Long Passes 62
19 Successful Long Passes 14
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 23
448 Successful Passes 267
82 Successful Passes Percentage 74
22 Key Passes 4

Defensive

0 Saves 6
10 Interceptions 12
46 Duels Won 34
14 Tackles 10

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2
21 Total Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7.03
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
7.04
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.2
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6.89
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
6.88
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.17
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic
Attacker88'
8.08
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7.44
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson
Defender80'
6.99
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
7.89
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré
Attacker80'
6.52
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
7
14
Dennis Collander
Dennis Collander
Midfielder90+1'
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
7.19
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.34
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Midfielder88'
6.64
Referee : Fredrik Klitte

Starting XI ▼

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
6.56
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson Defender
6.7
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde Defender
6.84
18
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender
6.95
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne Midfielder
6.98
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
6.61
14
I. Lushaku
I. Lushaku Midfielder
6.96
20
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Defender87'
6.42
15
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson Midfielder
6.58
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson
Midfielder79'
6.65
7
Abdelrahman Boudah
Abdelrahman Boudah Attacker
6.78
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson
Midfielder79'
6.71
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
7.72
30
Mattias Hellisdal
Mattias Hellisdal
Midfielder87'
10
Jonathan Ring
Jonathan Ring Attacker
7.14
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Midfielder64'
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dennis Collander → Montader Madjed
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Frank Junior Adjei
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström → Paulos Abraham
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Nikola Vasic → Markus Karlsson
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist → I. Lushaku
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Mattias Hellisdal → Mikkel Ladefoged
6th Substitution
Event
Montader Madjed
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
86'
Event
Elohim Kaboré → Nahir Besara
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Noah Persson → Victor Lind
5th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Karl Gunnarsson → Abdelrahman Boudah
2nd Substitution
79'
Event
Victor Wernersson → Jonathan Karlsson
3rd Substitution
Event
Paulos Abraham
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
73'
Event
Victor Lind
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
67'
64'
Event
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa → Jonathan Ring
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Elis Jäger
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Update Update
Dennis Collander is on, and Montader Madjed is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Update Update
Wilson Uhrstrom is on, and Paulos Abraham is off.
88
Update Update
Nikola Vasic is on, and Markus Karlsson is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Update Update
Melvin Ljungqvist comes on for Ismet Lushaku.
87
Update Update
Mattias Hellisdal comes on for Mikkel Ladefoged.
86
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed scores with a left-footed shot.
86
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot and scores.
84
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Ladefoged takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
Moise Kabore is on, and Nahir Besara is off.
80
Update Update
Moise Kabore comes on for Nahir Besara.
79
Update Update
Victor Wernersson comes on for Jonathan Karlsson.
79
Update Update
Karl Gunnarsson replaces Abdelrahman Saidi.
77
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Hampus Skoglund takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
73
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham scores with a left-footed shot.
72
Attempt Attempt
Victor Eriksson attempts a header but misses the shot.
72
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
65
Update Update
Mikkel Ladefoged attempts a header but misses the target.
64
Update Update
Axel Taonsa is on, and Jonathan Ring is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther misses with a left-footed shot.
58
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Markus Karlsson has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Abdelrahman Saidi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Fofana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Abdelrahman Saidi takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
14
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahima Fofana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's 3-0 triumph over Västerås SK highlighted their superiority, converting 61% possession into a flawless performance capped by a clean sheet. The goalless halftime gave way to second-half mastery, aligning perfectly with their status as the stronger side. Minimal deviation and market consistency affirm the result's foreseeability, unmarred by cards or disruptions. This win bolsters Hammarby's standing, exposing Västerås SK's defensive frailties under pressure. Efficiency held steady, promising continued form ahead.

Hammarby vs Västerås SK preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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