Austria Wien vs Hartberg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 3 May - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien FAK
1 Winner 0
Hartberg HTB
Full Time Sun, 3 May 12:30 PM
Round 8 Championship Round
Kelvin Boateng - 69'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Austria Wien claimed a hard-fought 1-0 home win against Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga, extending their strong form. The match remained goalless at halftime with the score locked at 0-0, as both sides traded possession—Hartberg edging it at 53% to Austria Wien's 47%. The decisive moment arrived in the second half when the home team converted their chance, underlining their status as the stronger outfit. Without any red cards disrupting play, the contest stayed competitive and fair throughout. This outcome reflected minimal structural deviation from pre-match projections, with Austria Wien's performance aligning closely with anticipated levels. Their efficiency stayed in line, allowing them to overcome Hartberg's territorial advantage and secure all three points through clinical finishing and solid defending. The victory boosts Austria Wien's position in the standings, while Hartberg will rue missed opportunities.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Austria Wien's 1-0 win exhibited minimal structural deviation of 3.9% from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with expected goals could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmet due to lack of underlying chance data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events significantly altered the game's flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary incidents.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Gishamer

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Riedel

1st Assistant

S. Schreiner

2nd Assistant

I. Simsek

4th Official

Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
VS
Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: 68 D
Salzburg Rank: 69 L
Salzburg Rank: 67 L
SK Rapid Rank: 60 D
LASK Linz Rank: 67 L
Hartberg Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: 66 L
SK Rapid Rank: 60 W
SK Rapid Rank: 60 D
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 D
Salzburg Rank: 69 L
Austria Wien Rank: 64 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Austria Wien
96.07%
Draw
3.73%
Away Hartberg
0.19%

Movement

Changes since opening
Austria Wien
+0.84%
Draw
-0.85%
Hartberg
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.99
59.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien
Hartberg
Power Score
63.99
59.24
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
358
513

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien Hartberg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hartberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hartberg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.62
14.62
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.62
28.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austria Wien +1.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Hartberg -1.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
Hartberg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hartberg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austria Wien Hartberg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austria Wien Hartberg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
Hartberg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Austria Wien
vs
Hartberg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austria Wien Hartberg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austria Wien 0.22
Hartberg 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austria Wien Hartberg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austria Wien 0.00
Hartberg 0.02
Austria Wien
Hartberg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HTB had peak pressure around 92'.
  • FAK started the game with stronger pressure.
FAK Pressure HTB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HTB reached the top pressure at 92' (84.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austria Wien FAK Home
24 matches
Hartberg HTB Away
Match Record
14
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
14
Goals
45
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
45
+20
Goal Difference
-20
Expected Goals
1.37
xG
0.05
0.05
xGA
1.37

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:04:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
S. Sahin-Radlinger
Austria
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
P. Wiesinger
Austria
28 P. Wiesinger
A. Dragović
Austria
15 A. Dragović
T. Plavotic
Croatia
24 T. Plavotic
R. Ranftl
Austria
26 R. Ranftl
A. Bari
Substitution
Gambia
5 A. Bari
P. Maybach
Substitution
Austria
6 P. Maybach
T. Lee
South Korea
17 T. Lee
M. Fischer
Austria
30 M. Fischer
S. Saljic
Substitution
Austria
20 S. Saljic
J. Eggestein
Germany
19 J. Eggestein
Pitch
T. Hülsmann
Germany
40 T. Hülsmann
M. Hennig
Substitution
Germany
33 M. Hennig
F. Wilfinger
Austria
18 F. Wilfinger
L. Spendlhofer
Substitution
Austria
19 L. Spendlhofer
K. Schopp
Substitution
Austria
27 K. Schopp
L. Pazourek
Austria
2 L. Pazourek
T. Kainz
Substitution
Austria
23 T. Kainz
B. Markuš
Slovenia
4 B. Markuš
J. Heil
Austria
28 J. Heil
L. Fridrikas
Substitution
Austria
30 L. Fridrikas
C. Hoffmann
Germany
22 C. Hoffmann

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Generali Arena
Capacity :
10398
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Gishamer
Roland Riedel
Santino Schreiner
Isa Simsek

Statistics

Possession
FAK
48%
HTB
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 3
49 Dangerous attacks 35
47 Possession 53
6 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

14 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
9 Throwins 27
7 Goal Kicks 10
2 Successful Dribbles 4
14 Dribble Attempts 15
3 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0
4 Injuries 3
67 Ball Safe 84
10 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

92 Attacks 105

Possession

370 Passes 429
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
45 Long Passes 63
25 Successful Long Passes 36
304 Successful Passes 355
7 Key Passes 6
82 Successful Passes Percentage 83

Defensive

24 Tackles 16
1 Saves 3
52 Duels Won 40
9 Interceptions 8

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 12
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
6.63
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
Aleksandar Dragovic Defender
6.83
24
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic Defender
6.75
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Philipp Wiesinger Defender
6.83
5
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6.9
46
Johannes Handl
Johannes Handl
Defender80'
6.51
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach Midfielder
6.45
14
Kelvin Boateng
Kelvin Boateng
Attacker58'
6.61
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
6.92
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
6.86
19
Johannes Eggestein
Johannes Eggestein Attacker
7.04
20
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic Attacker
6.69
36
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic
Midfielder35'
6.56
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer Attacker
6.88
Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI ▼

40
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek Defender
6.79
18
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger Defender
7.02
19
Lukas Spendlhofer
Lukas Spendlhofer Defender
7.08
11
Maximilian Fillafer
Maximilian Fillafer
Attacker77'
6.48
27
Konstantin Schopp
Konstantin Schopp Defender
7.12
6
Habib Coulibaly
Habib Coulibaly
Defender89'
6.68
33
Maximilian Hennig
Maximilian Hennig Defender
6.58
95
Damjan Kovacevic
Damjan Kovacevic
Defender77'
6.32
4
Benjamin Markus
Benjamin Markus Midfielder
6.76
23
Tobias Kainz
Tobias Kainz Midfielder
6.92
7
Elias Havel
Elias Havel
Attacker46'
6.75
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Midfielder
6.86
22
Marco Hoffmann
Marco Hoffmann Attacker
6.58
30
Lukas Fridrikas
Lukas Fridrikas Attacker
6.66
77
David Korherr
David Korherr
Attacker77'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Habib Coulibaly → Konstantin Schopp
8th Substitution
Event
Johannes Handl → Abubakr Barry
7th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Maximilian Fillafer → Lukas Spendlhofer
4th Substitution
77'
Event
David Korherr → Lukas Fridrikas
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Damjan Kovacevic → Maximilian Hennig
6th Substitution
Event
Kelvin Boateng
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
69'
Event
Abubakr Barry
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
65'
Event
Kelvin Boateng → Philipp Maybach
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Elias Havel → Tobias Kainz
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Vasilije Markovic → Sanel Saljic
1st Substitution
35'

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
Habib Coulibaly replaces Konstantin Schopp.
86
Attempt Attempt
Marco Hoffmann takes a shot with his head but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
David Korherr attempted a header but missed the shot.
80
Update Update
Johannes Handl comes on for Abubakar Barry.
77
Update Update
David Korherr is on, and Lukas Fridrikas is off.
77
Update Update
Maximilian Fillafer is on, and Lukas Spendlhofer is off.
77
Update Update
Damjan Kovacevic comes on for Maximilian Hennig.
69
Attempt Attempt
Kelvin Boateng takes a right-footed shot and scores.
65
Attempt Attempt
Johannes Eggestein takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Kelvin Boateng takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Manfred Fischer's left-footed shot is blocked.
58
Update Update
Kelvin Boateng is on, and Philipp Maybach is off.
49
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Fridrikas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Reinhold Ranftl takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Elias Havel comes on for Tobias Kainz.
45
Attempt Attempt
Manfred Fischer's left-footed shot is blocked.
35
Update Update
Vasilije Markovic replaces Sanel Saljic.
35
Attempt Attempt
Marco Hoffmann's right-footed shot is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Sanel Saljic has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Tin Plavotic attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Sanel Saljic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Tin Plavotic's header is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Manfred Fischer takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Kainz takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Luca Pazourek's right-footed shot is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sebastian Gishamer.

CONCLUSION

Austria Wien's 1-0 triumph over Hartberg validates their superiority, converting limited possession into a vital win without relying on xG dominance, as data was unavailable. The clean sheet and second-half goal highlight defensive resilience and opportunistic attack, staying true to their stronger team billing. Hartberg's possession advantage failed to yield results, exposing finishing woes. This minimal-deviation result reinforces pre-match confidence in the hosts, with efficiencies holding steady. Looking ahead, Austria Wien gains momentum for upcoming fixtures, while Hartberg must sharpen their edge to climb the table. A professional display all around.

Austria Wien vs Hartberg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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