Akron vs Krasnodar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Akron Akron
0 Winner 1
Krasnodar KRA
Full Time Sun, 3 May 2:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
|
Goal
Jhon Córdoba - 72'

CONTEXT

Krasnodar secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Akron in a match defined by possession dominance and clinical finishing. The visitors controlled 65% of the ball, leaving Akron with just 35%, yet the home side held firm until the second half. At halftime, the score stood at 0-0, reflecting a balanced opening period despite Krasnodar's early pressure. The stronger team, Krasnodar, broke the deadlock post-interval, capitalizing on their territorial advantage without facing any red card disruptions. Akron defended resiliently but couldn't muster enough threats to equalize. This outcome underscores Krasnodar's structural edge, with significant deviation metrics highlighting their efficiency in converting limited chances. No major tactical adjustments marked the second half, allowing the game to flow naturally toward the away win. The result aligns with pre-match assessments of Krasnodar's superiority, though detailed expected goals data remains unavailable for deeper analysis.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Krasnodar recorded a significant structural deviation of 100%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment proven true by the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded metrics.
  • Event impact: No key events or adjustments impacted the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Bulanov

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Safjan

1st Assistant

D. Bereznov

2nd Assistant

S. Matveev

4th Official

Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
VS
Krasnodar M. Musaev
M. Musaev
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.15
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
Rubin Kazan Rank: 61 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 L
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 L
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Spartak Moskva Rank: 73 W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 D
Zenit Rank: 80 D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akron
0%
Draw
0%
Away Krasnodar
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.29
77.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akron
Krasnodar
Power Score
55.29
77.63
League Position
12
1
Global Rank
635
84

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Krasnodar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron Krasnodar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Krasnodar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Krasnodar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.29
28.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.15
31.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Akron +0.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Krasnodar -0.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Krasnodar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Krasnodar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Akron Krasnodar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Akron Krasnodar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
Krasnodar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Akron
vs
Krasnodar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Akron Krasnodar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Akron 0.23
Krasnodar 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Akron Krasnodar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Akron 0.02
Krasnodar 0.00
Akron
Krasnodar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KRA had peak pressure around 75'.
  • KRA started the game with stronger pressure.
Akron Pressure KRA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KRA reached the top pressure at 75' (70.36).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home
3 matches
Krasnodar KRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
3
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:04:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
V. Gudiev
Russia
88 V. Gudiev
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
J. Pereira Escoval
Portugal
26 J. Pereira Escoval
I. Nedelcearu
Substitution
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
R. Fernández Toro
Bolivia
21 R. Fernández Toro
I. Đakovac
Substitution
Serbia
35 I. Đakovac
K. Khosonov
Russia
80 K. Khosonov
K. Maradishvili
Substitution
Russia
8 K. Maradishvili
G. Benchimol Tavares
Cape Verde
11 G. Benchimol Tavares
A. Dzyuba
Substitution
Russia
22 A. Dzyuba
Pitch
S. Agkatsev
Russia
1 S. Agkatsev
L. Olaza Catrofe
Uruguay
15 L. Olaza Catrofe
J. Rocha Mendes Junior
Brazil
5 J. Rocha Mendes Junior
V. Tormena de Farias
Brazil
3 V. Tormena de Farias
G. González Apud
Uruguay
20 G. González Apud
K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
Cape Verde
6 K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
A. Chernikov
Russia
53 A. Chernikov
N. Krivtsov
Substitution
Russia
88 N. Krivtsov
E. Spertsyan
Substitution
Armenia
10 E. Spertsyan
J. Fortes Bachiessa
Substitution
Angola
11 J. Fortes Bachiessa
J. Córdoba Copete
Colombia
9 J. Córdoba Copete

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Samara Arena
Capacity :
44918
Attendance :
6099
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Evgeni Bulanov
Dmitri Safjan
Denis Bereznov
Stanislav Matveev

Statistics

Possession
Akron
39%
KRA
61%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 6
39 Dangerous attacks 66
35 Possession 65
2 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

20 Throwins 19
20 Successful Headers 21
11 Dribble Attempts 16
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
10 Goal Kicks 6
5 Successful Dribbles 7
0 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 3
5 Goal Attempts 10
84 Ball Safe 90

Attacking

84 Attacks 110
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

21 Successful Long Passes 41
168 Successful Passes 406
57 Long Passes 69
64 Successful Passes Percentage 81
262 Passes 500
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

Defensive

52 Duels Won 44
10 Interceptions 5
4 Saves 3
16 Tackles 11

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 2
14 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

8 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Evgeni Bulanov

Starting XI ▼

88
Vitaliy Gudiev
Vitaliy Gudiev Goalkeeper
7.11
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
6.94
21
Roberto Fernández
Roberto Fernández Defender
6.79
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
6.53
90
Aleksandr Morozov
Aleksandr Morozov
Attacker78'
6.54
26
Rodrigo Escoval
Rodrigo Escoval Defender
6.4
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
6.83
8
Konstantin Maradishvili
Konstantin Maradishvili Midfielder
6.52
6
Maksim Kuzmin
Maksim Kuzmin
Midfielder65'
6.63
11
Benchimol
Benchimol Midfielder
6.79
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
6.59
2
Yomar Rocha
Yomar Rocha
Defender78'
6.45
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov Midfielder
6.66
22
Artem Dzyuba
Artem Dzyuba Attacker
7.24
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar
Midfielder57'
6.74
Referee : Evgeni Bulanov

Starting XI ▼

1
Stanislav Agkatsev
Stanislav Agkatsev Goalkeeper
6.82
3
Vítor Tormena
Vítor Tormena Defender
6.98
5
Jubal
Jubal Defender
6.9
15
Lucas Olaza
Lucas Olaza Defender
7.16
20
Giovanni González
Giovanni González Defender
6.83
6
Kevin Lenini
Kevin Lenini Midfielder
6.76
10
Eduard Spertsyan
Eduard Spertsyan Midfielder
7.56
17
Valentin Paltsev
Valentin Paltsev
Defender90+5'
6.8
11
João Batxi
João Batxi Midfielder
6.78
23
Juan Manuel Boselli
Juan Manuel Boselli
Attacker71'
6.95
53
Aleksandr Chernikov
Aleksandr Chernikov Midfielder
6.78
88
Nikita Krivtsov
Nikita Krivtsov Midfielder
6.91
90
Moses David Cobnan
Moses David Cobnan
Attacker71'
6.67
9
Jhon Córdoba
Jhon Córdoba Attacker
7.25

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Valentin Paltsev → Eduard Spertsyan
7th Substitution
Event
Rodrigo Escoval
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Aleksandr Morozov → Ionuț Nedelcearu
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Yomar Rocha → Ifet Djakovac
6th Substitution
78'
72'
Event
Jhon Córdoba
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
71'
Event
Juan Manuel Boselli → João Batxi
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Moses David Cobnan → Nikita Krivtsov
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Giovanni González
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Maksim Kuzmin → Konstantin Maradishvili
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Ifet Djakovac
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
63'
Event
Stefan Loncar → Artem Dzyuba
1st Substitution
57'
55'
Event
Jhon Córdoba
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Aleksandrovich Kuzmin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Valentin Paltsev replaces Eduard Spertsyan.
90
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Aleksandrovich Kuzmin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Aleksandrovich Kuzmin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Juan Boselli takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
78
Update Update
Yomar Rocha comes on for Ifet Djakovac.
78
Update Update
Aleksandr Morozov comes on for Ionut Nedelcearu.
77
Attempt Attempt
Joao Escoval's header is saved.
75
Attempt Attempt
Marat Bokoev's header is saved.
72
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba scores with a right-footed shot.
71
Update Update
Moses David Cobnan comes on for Nikita Krivtsov.
71
Update Update
Juan Boselli is on, and Joao Pedro Fortes Bachiessa is off.
70
Attempt Attempt
Eduard Spertsyan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
Maksim Aleksandrovich Kuzmin comes on for Konstantin Maradishvili.
64
Attempt Attempt
Joao Pedro Fortes Bachiessa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Eduard Spertsyan's right-footed shot is saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Stefan Loncar comes on for Artem Dzyuba.
54
Update Update
The VAR decision has cancelled the goal.
53
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
52
Attempt Attempt
Nikita Krivtsov takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Joao Pedro Fortes Bachiessa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Khetag Khosonov takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Khetag Khosonov takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandr Chernikov's right-footed shot is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Pina takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Nikita Krivtsov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Pina takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Ifet Djakovac takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Fernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
2
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Pina takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Krasnodar's 1-0 triumph over Akron validates their status as the stronger side, leveraging 65% possession into a decisive second-half goal while Akron clung to a gritty 0-0 halftime score. The absence of red cards ensured pure tactical execution, with Krasnodar's control yielding the lone strike amid sparse chances. This significant structural deviation of 100% for the winners, coupled with market alignment, paints a picture of expected dominance realized efficiently. Though xG details are absent, the possession disparity and clean sheet highlight defensive solidity meeting attacking intent. Akron's resilience fell short, but Krasnodar's victory sets a strong tone moving forward.

Akron vs Krasnodar preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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