GAIS vs Örgryte Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Sun, 3 May - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
GAIS GAIS
4 Winner 0
Örgryte Örgryte
Full Time Sun, 3 May 2:30 PM
Round 6 Regular Season
Oscar Pettersson - 90'
Joackim Åberg - 52' (P)
S. Salter - 46'
M. Andersson - 33'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

GAIS delivered a dominant 4-0 home win against Örgryte, asserting their status as the stronger team in convincing fashion. They established a 1-0 lead by halftime, then unleashed three second-half goals to seal the rout, maintaining a clean sheet throughout. Possession was evenly split at 50% apiece, yet GAIS's clinical finishing and defensive solidity overwhelmed their opponents, who failed to muster serious threats. This performance underscored GAIS's pre-match favoritism, reflected in a significant 37.5% structural deviation in their favor. The result aligned seamlessly with market expectations, highlighting efficient execution without reliance on xG data for validation. No red cards or major events altered the flow, allowing GAIS's superiority to shine unhindered.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: GAIS recorded a significant 37.5% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be evaluated due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The 4-0 outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unassessable without provided metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable events influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Ladebäck

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Robertsson

2nd Assistant

G. Maqedonci

4th Official

D. Yng

1st Assistant

GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
VS
Örgryte A. Holmberg
A. Holmberg
0.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 D
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
Häcken Rank: 58 L
Malmö FF Rank: 62 L
Djurgården Rank: 64 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 L
Hammarby Rank: 67 L
Mjällby Rank: 70 W
Malmö FF Rank: 64 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home GAIS
62.52%
Draw
21.25%
Away Örgryte
16.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
GAIS
-35.08%
Draw
+19.34%
Örgryte
+15.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.65
38.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
GAIS
Örgryte
Power Score
58.65
38.91
League Position
11
13
Global Rank
530
979

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Örgryte — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) GAIS Örgryte

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Örgryte

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Örgryte
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.20
13.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.50
44.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
GAIS +3.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Örgryte -3.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Örgryte
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

GAIS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Örgryte
Created Set-piece attacking threat
GAIS Örgryte
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
GAIS Örgryte
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
GAIS
Örgryte
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
GAIS
vs
Örgryte
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
GAIS Örgryte
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
GAIS 0.31
Örgryte 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
GAIS Örgryte
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
GAIS 0.00
Örgryte 0.06
GAIS
Örgryte
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GAIS had peak pressure around 55'.
  • GAIS started the game with stronger pressure.
GAIS Pressure Örgryte Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GAIS reached the top pressure at 55' (78.88).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

GAIS GAIS Home
4 matches
Örgryte Örgryte Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
8
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
8
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:04:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
M. Krasniqi
Sweden
1 M. Krasniqi
A. Wängberg
Sweden
6 A. Wängberg
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
O. Ågren
Sweden
4 O. Ågren
M. de Brienne
Substitution
Canada
2 M. de Brienne
W. Milovanovic
Sweden
8 W. Milovanovic
J. Åberg
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
R. Þorkelsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
M. Andersson
Substitution
Sweden
16 M. Andersson
S. Salter
Substitution
Canada
20 S. Salter
R. Niklasson Johansson
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
Pitch
H. Gustafsson
Sweden
44 H. Gustafsson
M. Parker
England
2 M. Parker
M. Dyrestam
Substitution
Guinea
6 M. Dyrestam
C. Styffe
Sweden
5 C. Styffe
A. Andreasson
Substitution
Sweden
19 A. Andreasson
O. Parker-Price
Substitution
New Zealand
23 O. Parker-Price
B. Laturnus
Substitution
Canada
8 B. Laturnus
D. Paulson
Sweden
14 D. Paulson
T. Sana
Sweden
22 T. Sana
J. Tibbling Ugwo
Sweden
15 J. Tibbling Ugwo
W. Hofvander
Substitution
Sweden
17 W. Hofvander

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Adam Ladebäck
Sebastian Robertsson
Granit Maqedonci
Daniel Yng

Statistics

Possession
GAIS
52%
Örgryte
48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 2
62 Dangerous attacks 35
50 Possession 50
8 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

24 Successful Dribbles Percentage 23
18 Throwins 23
17 Dribble Attempts 13
3 Goal Kicks 12
68 Ball Safe 75
13 Goal Attempts 0
4 Successful Dribbles 3
3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

114 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

69 Long Passes 57
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
15 Key Passes 5
427 Passes 431
341 Successful Passes 346
24 Successful Long Passes 32
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80

Defensive

13 Interceptions 6
57 Duels Won 55
23 Tackles 22
1 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 4
22 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
7.04
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne Defender
6.66
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej
Defender74'
6.62
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren Defender
6.93
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg Defender
6.85
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
6.99
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
6.83
24
Filip Beckman
Filip Beckman
Defender82'
7.26
8
William Milovanovic
William Milovanovic Midfielder
7.02
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
6.92
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker74'
6.64
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.51
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson Attacker
6.72
27
Mohamed Bawa
Mohamed Bawa
Midfielder62'
6.64
20
S. Salter
S. Salter Attacker
6.91
21
S. Ekong
S. Ekong
Attacker83'
6.92
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

44
Hampus Gustafsson
Hampus Gustafsson Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Michael Parker
Michael Parker Defender
6.56
5
Christoffer Styffe
Christoffer Styffe Defender
6.99
6
Mikael Dyrestam
Mikael Dyrestam Defender
7.26
3
Jonathan Azulay
Jonathan Azulay
Defender46'
6.2
8
Benjamin Laturnus
Benjamin Laturnus Midfielder
6.78
25
Demirel Hodzic
Demirel Hodzic
Midfielder80'
6.55
14
Daniel Paulson
Daniel Paulson Midfielder
6.43
19
Anton Andreasson
Anton Andreasson Midfielder
6.79
16
Hampus Dahlqvist
Hampus Dahlqvist
Defender57'
6.38
23
Owen Parker-Price
Owen Parker-Price Midfielder
7.14
11
Noah Christoffersson
Noah Christoffersson
Attacker57'
6.43
15
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo Attacker
6.75
17
William Hofvander
William Hofvander Attacker
7.04
7
Charlie Vindehall
Charlie Vindehall
Midfielder74'
6.4
22
Tobias Sana
Tobias Sana Attacker
7.14

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Oscar Pettersson
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90'
Event
S. Ekong → S. Salter
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Filip Beckman → Joackim Åberg
9th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Demirel Hodzic → Benjamin Laturnus
8th Substitution
Event
Oscar Pettersson → Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Robin Frej → Matteo de Brienne
5th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Charlie Vindehall → William Hofvander
7th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Bawa → M. Andersson
4th Substitution
62'
57'
Event
Noah Christoffersson → Owen Parker-Price
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Hampus Dahlqvist → Anton Andreasson
3rd Substitution
Event
Joackim Åberg
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
52'
Event
S. Salter
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
46'
Event
Jonathan Azulay → Mikael Dyrestam
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
M. Andersson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
33'
31'
Event
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Goal! Oscar Pettersson scores, making it 4-0.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Pettersson scores with a left-footed shot.
85
Attempt Attempt
Shalom Ekong takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
Filip Beckman replaces Joackim Aberg.
82
Update Update
Shalom Ekong is on, and Samuel Salter is off.
80
Substitution Substitution
Demirel Hodzic is substituted for Benjamin Laturnus.
77
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter attempts a header but misses the shot.
74
Update Update
Robin Sixten Frej is on, and Matteo de Brienne is off.
74
Update Update
Oscar Pettersson replaces Robert Frosti Thorkelsson.
74
Update Update
Charlie Vindehall is replaced by William Hofvander.
73
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Matteo de Brienne takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson's header is saved.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohamed Bawa comes on for Max Andersson.
57
Update Update
Noah Christoffersson is on, and Owen Parker-Price is off.
57
Update Update
Hampus Dahlqvist comes on for Anton Andreasson.
56
Attempt Attempt
Matteo de Brienne's left-footed shot is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Joackim Aberg scores with a left-footed shot.
46
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Salter scores with a left-footed shot.
46
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson takes a shot with his head but misses.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jonathan Azulay is substituted for Mikael Dyrestam.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joackim Aberg takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
August Wangberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson's right-footed shot is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
William Hofvander takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson scores with a left-footed shot.
32
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Paulson attempted a header but missed the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Anton Andreasson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson attempted a header but missed the shot.
11
Attempt Attempt
Christoffer Styffe's header is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Michael Parker attempted a header but missed the shot.
7
Attempt Attempt
Max Andersson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
William Milovanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

GAIS's 4-0 triumph over Örgryte exemplified their structural dominance, with a significant deviation amplifying their pre-identified edge as the stronger team. Even possession belied their superior conversion, leading to a halftime 1-0 advantage that blossomed into a comprehensive victory. Market alignment confirmed the predictability of this result, while absent xG data and zero red cards preserved a pure test of form. Örgryte's inability to respond highlights areas for improvement, as GAIS's efficiency propelled them forward unopposed. This performance solidifies GAIS's momentum for upcoming challenges.

GAIS vs Örgryte preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Allsvenskan, Sweden View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ