Sandefjord vs Aalesund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Komplett Arena Sun, 3 May - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sandefjord Sandefjord
1 Winner 0
Aalesund Aalesund
Full Time Sun, 3 May 3:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
Sebastian Holm Mathisen - 88'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sandefjord claimed a hard-fought 1-0 home win against Aalesund in the Eliteserien, breaking the deadlock in the second half after a goalless first period with the score locked at 0-0. Dominating possession at 62% to Aalesund's 38%, the hosts pressed relentlessly, generating pressure but finding the net just once through sharp execution. Aalesund defended resiliently yet struggled to threaten meaningfully, unable to capitalize on counter chances. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted flow as the stronger side, Sandefjord, prevailed convincingly. This result highlighted a significant 49.3% structural deviation favoring Sandefjord, with efficiency holding in line and full market alignment. The clean tactical battle underscored Sandefjord's control without chaotic interruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sandefjord recorded a significant 49.3% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for Sandefjord's victory.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without supporting data.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the match's progression.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Røvig Sletner

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

K. Haglund

1st Assistant

P. Grov Heiberg

4th Official

K. Mamhassan

2nd Assistant

Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
VS
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Brann Rank: 68 W
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 58 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 56 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 81 L
KFUM Rank: 56 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Start Rank: 49 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sandefjord
50.66%
Draw
24.35%
Away Aalesund
25%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sandefjord
-44.06%
Draw
+19.26%
Aalesund
+24.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.86
44.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Power Score
61.86
44.79
League Position
8
16
Global Rank
425
981

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sandefjord Aalesund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aalesund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.77
39.87
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.87
46.77
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sandefjord +0.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Aalesund -0.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Aalesund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aalesund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sandefjord Aalesund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sandefjord Aalesund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Aalesund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sandefjord
vs
Aalesund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sandefjord Aalesund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sandefjord 0.43
Aalesund 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sandefjord Aalesund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sandefjord 0.00
Aalesund 0.02
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Sandefjord had peak pressure around 44'.
  • Sandefjord started the game with stronger pressure.
Sandefjord Pressure Aalesund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Sandefjord reached the top pressure at 44' (91.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sandefjord Sandefjord Home
16 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
6
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
6
Goals
23
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
23
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
S. Mørk
Norway
6 S. Mørk
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
F. Pedersen
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
M. Melchior
Substitution
Norway
20 M. Melchior
R. Kristensen Alte
Norway
10 R. Kristensen Alte
V. Walle Egeli
Substitution
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
E. Patoulidis
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller
B. Berntsen
Substitution
19 B. Berntsen
Pitch
K. Klaesson
Norway
1 K. Klaesson
J. Ørsal
Norway
16 J. Ørsal
O. Gudmundsson
Iceland
3 O. Gudmundsson
A. Hammer Kjelsen
Norway
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
E. Engqvist
Substitution
Sweden
22 E. Engqvist
U. Nwokoma
Substitution
Nigeria
14 U. Nwokoma
H. Molvær Melland
Substitution
Norway
8 H. Molvær Melland
E. Hagen
Norway
18 E. Hagen
M. Christensen
Denmark
21 M. Christensen
K. Lonnebu
Substitution
Norway
39 K. Lonnebu
I. Djantou Tchaboutang
Substitution
Cameroon
20 I. Djantou Tchaboutang

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Komplett Arena
Capacity :
6582
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stian Røvig Sletner
Kim Haglund
Per Oscar Grov Heiberg
Karwan Mamhassan

Statistics

Possession
Sandefjord
60%
Aalesund
40%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 5
60 Dangerous attacks 43
62 Possession 38
8 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
7 Successful Dribbles 4
16 Dribble Attempts 9
6 Goal Kicks 14
17 Throwins 19
96 Ball Safe 91
22 Goal Attempts 8
1 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

119 Attacks 89
2 Counter Attacks 1
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

433 Successful Passes 225
84 Successful Passes Percentage 71
31 Successful Long Passes 12
50 Long Passes 58
515 Passes 319
62 Successful Long Passes Percentage 21
17 Key Passes 8

Defensive

9 Tackles 17
43 Duels Won 44
5 Interceptions 11
3 Saves 6

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 14
12 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

9 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
7.04
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
7.29
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Defender
7.05
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
7.06
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Midfielder
6.79
47
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen
Defender90+2'
6.47
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Midfielder
6.65
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Midfielder
6.56
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Midfielder
6.68
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder71'
6.56
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Attacker
7.2
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
6.6
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker72'
6.55
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen Attacker
6.59
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Midfielder71'
6.69
Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
6.75
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson Defender
6.58
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Defender
6.81
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Defender
6.65
2
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen
Defender58'
6.82
16
J. Ørsahl
J. Ørsahl Defender
6.47
22
E. Engqvist
E. Engqvist Defender
6.73
25
Ulrik Syversen
Ulrik Syversen
Defender46'
6.36
8
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland Midfielder
6.92
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
Hakon Butli Hammer
Midfielder58'
6.78
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder
6.7
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Midfielder
6.79
20
I. Djantou
I. Djantou Attacker
6.94
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Midfielder46'
6.72
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
7.05
17
E. Myrlid
E. Myrlid
Attacker83'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Stian Kristiansen → Vetle Walle Egeli
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
88'
83'
Event
E. Myrlid → Kristian Lonebu
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Marius Andresen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Nikolaj Möller
7th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Ulrik Syversen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Robin Dzabic → Marcus Melchior
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen → Bendik Berntsen
6th Substitution
71'
58'
Event
Marius Andresen → Uba Charles
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Hakon Butli Hammer → Henrik Melland
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson → I. Djantou
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Ulrik Syversen → E. Engqvist
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Nikolaj Möller
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
29'
25'
Event
E. Engqvist
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Sandefjord's 1-0 triumph reinforces their home strength, leveraging superior possession into a vital win that boosts morale ahead of tougher fixtures. Aalesund's stubborn resistance kept the scoreline tight, but offensive frailties proved costly in a balanced yet low-scoring affair. Lacking xG metrics limits chance quality insights, yet clear dominance and market consistency signal reliable performance. With no red cards or adjustments disrupting play, structural integrity prevailed, and efficiency norms held firm. This outcome positions Sandefjord favorably in the standings, while Aalesund must sharpen their attack to climb.

Sandefjord vs Aalesund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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