Kristiansund vs HamKam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Kristiansund Stadion Sun, 3 May - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Kristiansund Kristiansund
1 – 1
HamKam HamKam
Full Time Sun, 3 May 3:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
L. Alvheim - 60'
Goal
|
Goal
Ethan Amundsen Day - 90+4'

CONTEXT

Kristiansund hosted HamKam in a Norwegian top-flight clash that ended in a 1-1 draw. The first half was goalless, with both teams cautious and level at 0-0, as Kristiansund controlled 59% possession but created few clear openings. The second half exploded into life with both sides scoring once, highlighting improved attacking intent post-interval. HamKam, deemed the stronger team pre-match, earned a valuable point on the road through defensive solidity and clinical finishing. Kristiansund pushed forward with superior ball control but lacked the edge to secure victory. No red cards disrupted play, and no major tactical shifts were evident. The result marked a significant structural deviation, especially for HamKam, diverging sharply from pre-match assessments where a draw was not the favored outcome. This balanced encounter underscored the fine margins in competitive football.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match resulted in a significant 72.7% structural deviation attributed to HamKam.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for outcome alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Pre-match market expectations not aligned with the draw result.
  • xG expectations: No xG data provided to evaluate expectations.
  • Event impact: No significant events or second-half adjustments impacted the game.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Moen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Grøtta

4th Official

J. Knutsen

1st Assistant

L. Nymoen

2nd Assistant

Kristiansund A. Robertsen Skiri
A. Robertsen Skiri
VS
HamKam T. Myhre
T. Myhre
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 41 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Brann Rank: 69 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 49 W
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Molde Rank: 63 L
Brann Rank: 69 L
Viking Rank: 79 W
Brann Rank: 69 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kristiansund
36.73%
Draw
27.25%
Away HamKam
36.01%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kristiansund
-56.62%
Draw
+20.84%
HamKam
+35.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.37
59.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kristiansund
HamKam
Power Score
56.37
59.45
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
611
503

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kristiansund — Opponent-weighted form score
HamKam — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kristiansund HamKam

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kristiansund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

HamKam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy HamKam
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.51
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
20.51
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kristiansund +0.05 Efficiency Index
vs
HamKam -0.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
HamKam
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kristiansund ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy HamKam
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kristiansund HamKam
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kristiansund HamKam
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kristiansund
HamKam
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kristiansund
vs
HamKam
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kristiansund HamKam
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kristiansund 0.15
HamKam 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kristiansund HamKam
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kristiansund 0.04
HamKam 0.02
Kristiansund
HamKam
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kristiansund had peak pressure around 43'.
  • Kristiansund started the game with stronger pressure.
Kristiansund Pressure HamKam Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kristiansund reached the top pressure at 43' (73.27).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kristiansund Kristiansund Home
6 matches
HamKam HamKam Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
6
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Sæther
Norway
12 A. Sæther
A. Munksgaard
Denmark
13 A. Munksgaard
J. Júlíusson
Iceland
4 J. Júlíusson
D. Ulvestad
Norway
5 D. Ulvestad
F. Flex
Denmark
3 F. Flex
A. Kurd Rønning
Substitution
Norway
27 A. Kurd Rønning
W. Igor
Nigeria
20 W. Igor
H. Gikling Bruseth
Substitution
Norway
10 H. Gikling Bruseth
M. Isah Ubandoma
Substitution
Nigeria
7 M. Isah Ubandoma
L. Alvheim
Substitution
Norway
19 L. Alvheim
S. Hestetun Kilen
Substitution
Norway
9 S. Hestetun Kilen
Pitch
M. Sandberg
Sweden
12 M. Sandberg
A. Ekeroth
Sweden
5 A. Ekeroth
E. Amundsen-Day
Norway
3 E. Amundsen-Day
F. Sjølstad
Norway
23 F. Sjølstad
M. Gjone
Norway
2 M. Gjone
V. Jonsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 V. Jonsson
A. Baran Potur
Substitution
Norway
17 A. Baran Potur
P. Metcalfe
Substitution
Canada
26 P. Metcalfe
L. Mettler
Substitution
Switzerland
10 L. Mettler
H. Udahl
Substitution
Norway
19 H. Udahl
M. Alassane Niang
29 M. Alassane Niang

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Kristiansund Stadion
Capacity :
4126
Attendance :
2708
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Christian Moen
Marius Hansen Grøtta
Jon-Michael Knutsen
Line Cathrine Nymoen

Statistics

Possession
Kristiansund
57%
HamKam
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 7
62 Dangerous attacks 24
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 10
0 Injuries 1
0 Assists 1
6 Goal Kicks 6
18 Throwins 21
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
80 Ball Safe 79
5 Substitutions 5
5 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

136 Attacks 68
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

30 Successful Long Passes 23
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
6 Key Passes 4
87 Successful Passes Percentage 78
493 Successful Passes 310
63 Long Passes 57
569 Passes 396

Defensive

8 Tackles 16
5 Interceptions 10
38 Duels Won 47
0 Saves 4

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 17
5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

6 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI ▼

12
A. Sæther
A. Sæther Goalkeeper
7.33
3
F. Flex
F. Flex Defender
6.7
4
J. Júlíusson
J. Júlíusson Defender
6.96
5
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad Defender
6.91
13
Alexander Munksgaard
Alexander Munksgaard Defender
6.95
10
Heine Gikling Bruseth
Heine Gikling Bruseth Midfielder
6.84
15
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth
Defender90+2'
20
W. Igor
W. Igor Midfielder
6.78
27
A. Rønning
A. Rønning Midfielder
6.65
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
Midfielder74'
6.47
7
M. Ubandoma
M. Ubandoma Attacker
6.37
6
Jesper Isaksen
Jesper Isaksen
Midfielder84'
6.44
9
S. Kilen
S. Kilen Attacker
6.81
18
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker90+2'
7.29
19
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim Attacker
7.01
8
N. Ødegård
N. Ødegård
Midfielder84'
6.43
Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI ▼

12
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg Goalkeeper
6.54
2
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone Defender
6.9
3
Ethan Amundsen Day
Ethan Amundsen Day Defender
6.67
5
A. Ekeroth
A. Ekeroth Defender
6.76
7
V. Jónsson
V. Jónsson Defender
6.84
22
S. Strand Nilsen
S. Strand Nilsen
Defender86'
6.34
23
F. Sjølstad
F. Sjølstad Defender
6.47
10
Loris Mettler
Loris Mettler Midfielder
7.19
6
William Osnes-Ringen
William Osnes-Ringen
Midfielder64'
6.57
17
A. Potur
A. Potur Midfielder
6.67
15
Ilir Kukleci
Ilir Kukleci
Defender86'
6.56
26
Patrick Metcalfe
Patrick Metcalfe Midfielder
6.69
16
Anders Trondsen
Anders Trondsen
Midfielder64'
6.73
19
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl Attacker
7.17
8
M. Johnsgård
M. Johnsgård
Midfielder74'
6.85
29
M. Alassane Niang
M. Alassane Niang Attacker
7.52

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Ethan Amundsen Day
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Promise Ikojo Meliga → S. Kilen
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Nikolai Skuseth → Heine Gikling Bruseth
10th Substitution
90+2'
Event
W. Igor
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90'
86'
Event
Ilir Kukleci → A. Potur
7th Substitution
86'
Event
S. Strand Nilsen → V. Jónsson
8th Substitution
Event
Jesper Isaksen → M. Ubandoma
5th Substitution
84'
Event
N. Ødegård → L. Alvheim
6th Substitution
84'
Event
F. Flex
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
78'
Event
Anders Trondsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tobias Hammer Svendsen → A. Rønning
4th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
M. Johnsgård → Henrik Udahl
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
William Osnes-Ringen → Loris Mettler
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Anders Trondsen → Patrick Metcalfe
2nd Substitution
Event
L. Alvheim
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
60'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
V. Jónsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Var
42'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: HamKam exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Kristiansund vs HamKam preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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