Real Sociedad II vs Burgos Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Sun, 3 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
0 – 0
Burgos BUR
Full Time Sun, 3 May 4:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Primera RFEF clash at Anoeta, Real Sociedad II and Burgos settled for a 0-0 draw, with the halftime score also locked at 0-0. Possession was evenly split, as the home side held 49% to Burgos' 51%, reflecting a balanced battle across 90 minutes. Burgos entered as the stronger team but failed to capitalize, with both defenses standing firm amid limited scoring opportunities. No red cards were issued, maintaining discipline throughout. The stalemate underscores the resilience of Real Sociedad II's backline while highlighting Burgos' inability to convert their slight edge into goals. This result sees both teams claim a point, keeping their promotion aspirations alive in a tightly contested league. The match exemplified tactical caution, with neither side willing to risk much in pursuit of victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 8.4% aligned with Burgos' stronger status.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true throughout the match.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion in play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Orellana Cid

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Sarmiento Millet

2nd Assistant

A. Ramo Andrés

4th Official

?. Ramos Cinos

1st Assistant

Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 L
Racing Santander Rank: 69 L
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 D
Castellón Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Ceuta Rank: 62 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad II
4.4%
Draw
91.57%
Away Burgos
4.02%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Sociedad II
-0.03%
Draw
+0.42%
Burgos
-0.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.48
67.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
Power Score
55.48
67.37
League Position
17
7
Global Rank
499
265

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad II Burgos

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Sociedad II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Burgos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.45
17.94
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.94
37.45
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Sociedad II +1.95 Efficiency Index
vs
Burgos -1.95 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Sociedad II ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad II Burgos
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Burgos
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Sociedad II
vs
Burgos
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Sociedad II Burgos
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Sociedad II 0.22
Burgos 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Sociedad II Burgos
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Sociedad II 0.00
Burgos 0.00
Real Sociedad II
Burgos
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Real Sociedad II had peak pressure around 79'.
  • Real Sociedad II started the game with stronger pressure.
Real Sociedad II Pressure BUR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Real Sociedad II reached the top pressure at 79' (68.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Home
3 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Fraga Torres
Spain
1 A. Fraga Torres
A. Dadie Izagirre
Spain
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
Spain
4 L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
K. Kita
Japan
15 K. Kita
J. Balda Zubiri
Substitution
Spain
3 J. Balda Zubiri
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
I. Aguirre Basurko
Substitution
Spain
31 I. Aguirre Basurko
L. Astiazarán Escabias
Substitution
Spain
17 L. Astiazarán Escabias
M. Rodriguez Carrasco
Spain
8 M. Rodriguez Carrasco
J. Ochieng
Substitution
11 J. Ochieng
G. Carrera Zarranz
Substitution
Spain
18 G. Carrera Zarranz
Pitch
A. Cantero Armendáriz
Spain
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
France
12 F. Miguel
G. Sierra Pérez
Spain
8 G. Sierra Pérez
S. González Martínez
Spain
6 S. González Martínez
A. Buñuel Redrado
Spain
15 A. Buñuel Redrado
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
Spain
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
Spain
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
23 I. Ruiz
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Substitution
Spain
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez
F. Niño Rodriguez
Spain
9 F. Niño Rodriguez

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity :
40000
Attendance :
4763
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
José Manuel Sarmiento Millet
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
A. Ramo Andrés
Ángel Ramos Cinos

Statistics

Possession
Real Sociedad II
51%
BUR
49%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 1
67 Dangerous attacks 43
49 Possession 51
2 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 23
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

36 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Goal Kicks 11
27 Throwins 12
70 Ball Safe 83
39 Successful Dribbles Percentage 23
14 Successful Dribbles 3
5 Substitutions 3
0 Injuries 1
10 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

124 Attacks 81
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

40 Successful Long Passes 38
11 Key Passes 5
76 Long Passes 73
328 Successful Passes 349
79 Successful Passes Percentage 81
413 Passes 432
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

44 Duels Won 70
13 Tackles 29
15 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 4

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 12
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
23 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

1
Aitor Fraga
Aitor Fraga Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Jon Balda
Jon Balda Defender
6.8
23
Unax Agote
Unax Agote
Defender90+1'
6.76
4
Luken Beitia
Luken Beitia Defender
6.85
15
Kazunari Kita
Kazunari Kita Defender
6.82
22
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
6.58
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder
6.81
11
Job Ochieng
Job Ochieng Midfielder
6.94
19
Alex Marchal
Alex Marchal
Attacker69'
6.61
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Midfielder
6.67
17
Lander Astiazaran
Lander Astiazaran Midfielder
6.83
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz
Attacker83'
6.76
31
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Ibai Aguirre Basurco Midfielder
6.6
16
Gorka Gorosabel
Gorka Gorosabel
Midfielder69'
6.61
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
6.9
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Attacker83'
6.61
Referee : Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
6.98
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Defender
6.71
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Defender
6.88
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Defender
6.97
15
Aitor Buñuel
Aitor Buñuel Defender
6.64
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Midfielder
6.94
14
David González
David González Midfielder
6.91
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo
Attacker46'
6.56
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.8
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Midfielder
6.98
4
Pablo Galdames
Pablo Galdames
Midfielder72'
6.63
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.87
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
7.16
10
Kévin Appin
Kévin Appin
Midfielder73'
6.62

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Unax Agote → Jon Balda
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Gorka Gorosabel
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
88'
85'
Event
Pablo Galdames
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Dani Díaz → Lander Astiazaran
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena → Gorka Carrera
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Tomy Carbonell
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
80'
73'
Event
Kévin Appin → Curro Sánchez
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Pablo Galdames → Iván Morante
4th Substitution
Event
Gorka Gorosabel → Ibai Aguirre Basurco
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
Alex Marchal → Job Ochieng
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Mikel Rodriguez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
68'
56'
Event
Luis Miguel Ramis
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Iñigo Córdoba
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Víctor Mollejo → David González
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ibai Aguirre Basurco
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
21'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Unax Agote is substituted for Jon Balda.
90
Attempt Attempt
Alex Marchal takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
85
Attempt Attempt
Jon Balda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
Substitution Substitution
Dani Diaz is substituted for Lander Astiazaran.
83
Update Update
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena is on, and Gorka Carrera is off.
83
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Manuel Galdames takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
Update Update
Grego Sierra's header is blocked.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tomy Carbonell receives a yellow card.
77
Attempt Attempt
M. Fernando Nino takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
77
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Pablo Manuel Galdames is on, and Ivan Morante Ruiz is off.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Kevin Appin comes on for Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez. Curro also enters the match.
69
Update Update
Gorka Gorosabel replaces Ibai Aguirre.
69
Update Update
Alex Marchal is on, and Job Ochieng is off.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mikel Rodriguez receives a yellow card.
66
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Nino attempts a header but misses the shot.
61
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez, but Curro's header misses the target.
56
Attempt Attempt
M. Fernando Nino takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Iago Cordoba Kerejeta.
54
Attempt Attempt
Job Ochieng's left-footed shot is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Gorka Carrera's header is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Fernando Nino takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Victor Mollejo Carpintero is on, and David Gonzalez Ballesteros is off.
44
Attempt Attempt
Jon Balda takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Iago Cordoba Kerejeta takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Mikel Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Ibai Aguirre.
20
Attempt Attempt
Jon Balda takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Lander Astiazaran's left-footed shot is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Tomy Carbonell takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Manuel Orellana.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Real Sociedad II and Burgos epitomizes a match of few chances and stout defending, denying the visitors a win despite their stronger billing. Even possession and a clean halftime scoreline set the tone for a cagey affair, where neither goalkeeper was truly tested. For Real Sociedad II, the point bolsters their home record, while Burgos rue missed opportunities to secure three points. This outcome maintains the league's competitiveness, with both sides now focusing on upcoming fixtures to build momentum. Tactical discipline prevailed over flair, resulting in a fair reflection of the evenly matched encounter.

Real Sociedad II vs Burgos preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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