Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Sun, 3 May - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Rio Ave RAFC
0 – 0
Gil Vicente GVFC
Full Time Sun, 3 May 7:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a gritty Primeira Liga encounter at Estádio do Rio Ave, the hosts Rio Ave held firm against a possession-dominant Gil Vicente, grinding out a 0-0 draw. Gil Vicente, deemed the stronger side, bossed 56% of the ball but struggled to convert pressure into goals, mirroring the goalless first half. Rio Ave's compact defense frustrated their visitors, who probed without penetration. The second period brought no shift in momentum, with both teams' efficiencies aligning with limited chances created. This stalemate marked a notable upset, as expectations leaned heavily toward Gil Vicente prevailing. Defenses shone brightest, nullifying attacks and preserving parity. No red cards disrupted play, allowing a tactical chess match to unfold. The result underscores Rio Ave's resilience at home, denying the away side a deserved edge on control alone.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match ended with a significant 73.8% structural deviation attributed to Gil Vicente.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Draw outcome misaligned with pre-match favoritism toward Gil Vicente.
  • xG expectations: No goals scored despite null xG data indicating balanced chance creation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no disciplinary distortion in the 0-0 draw.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Fabio Verssimo

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. de Sá Martins

1st Assistant

H. Marques

2nd Assistant

D. da Silva Pinto

4th Official

Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
VS
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
AVS Rank: 55 D
Santa Clara Rank: 66 W
Alverca Rank: 66 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: 62 W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 70 L
Tondela Rank: 59 D
AVS Rank: 58 W
Santa Clara Rank: 66 L
Alverca Rank: 66 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 8 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rio Ave
23.57%
Draw
26.2%
Away Gil Vicente
50.23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rio Ave
+19.95%
Draw
-65.22%
Gil Vicente
+45.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.94
70.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
Power Score
63.94
70.03
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
363
203

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rio Ave Gil Vicente

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rio Ave

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gil Vicente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rio Ave ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gil Vicente
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.36
29.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.29
46.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rio Ave +1.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Gil Vicente -1.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rio Ave ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gil Vicente
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rio Ave Gil Vicente
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rio Ave Gil Vicente
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rio Ave
vs
Gil Vicente
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rio Ave Gil Vicente
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rio Ave 0.38
Gil Vicente 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rio Ave Gil Vicente
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rio Ave 0.00
Gil Vicente 0.00
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GVFC had peak pressure around 90'.
  • RAFC started the game with stronger pressure.
RAFC Pressure GVFC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GVFC reached the top pressure at 90' (65.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rio Ave RAFC Home
21 matches
Gil Vicente GVFC Away
Match Record
8
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
8
Goals
21
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
21
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:07:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Miszta
Poland
1 C. Miszta
M. Vrousai
Substitution
Greece
17 M. Vrousai
F. Petrasso
Argentina
23 F. Petrasso
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
39 G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
N. Abby
Substitution
England
6 N. Abby
T. Nikitscher
Hungary
44 T. Nikitscher
R. da Silva Pae
Substitution
Brazil
8 R. da Silva Pae
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
Brazil
7 D. Bezerra de Oliveira
J. Miller Blesa
Spain
11 J. Miller Blesa
D. Špikić
Substitution
Croatia
18 D. Špikić
T. Folgado Monteiro
Substitution
Portugal
9 T. Folgado Monteiro
Pitch
D. Leite Figueira
Portugal
99 D. Leite Figueira
G. Konan
Ivory Coast
3 G. Konan
J. Buatu Mananga
Angola
39 J. Buatu Mananga
M. Elimbi Gilbert
France
4 M. Elimbi Gilbert
J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
Portugal
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
L. Leite Esteves
Portugal
10 L. Leite Esteves
J. Natário Ferreira
Substitution
Portugal
6 J. Natário Ferreira
M. Fernández Benítez
Substitution
Uruguay
32 M. Fernández Benítez
S. Garcia Gonzalez
Spain
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez
M. De Souza Costa
Substitution
Brazil
77 M. De Souza Costa
H. Hernández Marrero
Substitution
Spain
23 H. Hernández Marrero

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Capacity :
12815
Attendance :
2801
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fabio Verssimo
Pedro Nuno de Sá Martins
Hugo Marques
Daniel Bruno da Silva Pinto

Statistics

Possession
RAFC
48%
GVFC
52%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 3
48 Dangerous attacks 68
44 Possession 56
9 Corners 7
12 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
26 Throwins 17
18 Successful Headers 11
12 Goal Kicks 7
17 Dribble Attempts 21
10 Successful Dribbles 9
81 Ball Safe 69
8 Goal Attempts 14
5 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

91 Attacks 85
3 Big Chances Missed 0
3 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

336 Passes 429
261 Successful Passes 356
78 Successful Passes Percentage 83
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
55 Long Passes 37
25 Successful Long Passes 18
16 Key Passes 8

Defensive

7 Interceptions 10
20 Tackles 12
59 Duels Won 42
2 Saves 2

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 33
8 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

1
Cezary Miszta
Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper
6.97
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Defender
6.6
77
Omar Richards
Omar Richards
Defender82'
6.6
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Defender
7.06
20
João Tomé
João Tomé
Defender83'
6.5
23
Francisco Petrasso
Francisco Petrasso Defender
6.58
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Defender
6.71
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Midfielder
6.74
8
Ryan
Ryan Midfielder
6.62
54
Georgios Liavas
Georgios Liavas
Midfielder87'
6.53
11
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa Midfielder
7.13
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Midfielder
6.66
80
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann
Midfielder63'
6.66
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Midfielder
6.63
9
Tamble Monteiro
Tamble Monteiro Attacker
6.63
19
Antonis Papakanellos
Antonis Papakanellos
Midfielder87'
6.44
Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
6.89
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves Defender
6.78
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
6.71
4
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert Defender
6.74
39
Buatu
Buatu Defender
6.79
6
Zé Carlos
Zé Carlos Midfielder
6.63
17
Sergio Bermejo
Sergio Bermejo
Attacker79'
6.55
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
7.22
32
Martín Fernández Benítez
Martín Fernández Benítez Midfielder
6.47
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Attacker46'
6.76
77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Murilo de Souza Costa Midfielder
7
29
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Attacker87'
6.63
95
Santiago García González
Santiago García González Midfielder
7.13
23
Héctor Hernández
Héctor Hernández Attacker
7.04
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Attacker58'
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Georgios Liavas → Ryan
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Antonis Papakanellos → Tamble Monteiro
9th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente → Murilo de Souza Costa
7th Substitution
Event
João Tomé → Marios Vrousai
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Omar Richards → Nelson Abbey
5th Substitution
82'
79'
Event
Sergio Bermejo → Zé Carlos
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Zé Carlos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ryan
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
63'
Event
Ole Pohlmann → Dario Spikic
3rd Substitution
63'
58'
Event
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela → Héctor Hernández
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales → Martín Fernández Benítez
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Tamas Nikitscher takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tamas Nikitscher takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Bermejo Lillo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Antonis Papakanellos is on, and Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro is off.
87
Update Update
Georgios Liavas replaces Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae.
87
Update Update
Carlos Eduardo is on, and Murilo de Souza Costa is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Moreira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ghislain Konan has a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
82
Update Update
Omar Richards is on, and Nelson Abbey is off.
82
Substitution Substitution
Joao Tome is substituted for Marios Vrousai.
81
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Bezerra takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
79
Update Update
Sergio Bermejo Lillo comes on for Ze Ferreira.
78
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Moreira has a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ze Ferreira.
63
Substitution Substitution
Ole Pohlmann is substituted for Dario Spikic.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae receives a yellow card.
61
Attempt Attempt
Jalen Blesa takes a shot with his head but misses.
58
Update Update
Gustavo Varela comes on for Hector Hernandez Marrero.
55
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Petrasso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jalen Blesa's right-footed shot is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Bezerra takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Update Update
Murilo de Souza Costa's header is blocked.
46
Update Update
Agustin Moreira replaces Martin Fernandez Benitez.
39
Attempt Attempt
Martin Fernandez Benitez attempts a header but misses the shot.
37
Attempt Attempt
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Dario Spikic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Bezerra takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Dario Spikic's right-footed shot is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Ze Ferreira attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Luis Esteves takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Mancha takes a left-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Bezerra's right-footed shot is blocked.
20
Update Update
Santiago Garcia's header is blocked.
18
Update Update
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro attempts a header but misses the target.
16
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Jalen Blesa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Diogo Bezerra takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza Costa takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Dario Spikic's left-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Rio Ave's dogged display earned a vital point, thwarting Gil Vicente's superiority in a tactical stalemate. The away team's possession edge failed to yield breakthroughs, highlighting Rio Ave's defensive solidity. This draw disrupts Gil Vicente's momentum, while boosting the hosts' survival hopes in a competitive league. With efficiencies steady and no disruptive incidents, the clean sheet stands as the standout achievement. Looking ahead, Gil Vicente must sharpen finishing, as control alone proved insufficient. Rio Ave, meanwhile, gains confidence from defying the stronger opponent, setting up intriguing future fixtures in the Primeira Liga grind.

Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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