Cultural Leonesa vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Reino de León Sat, 2 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
2 – 2
Cádiz CAD
Full Time Sat, 2 May 2:15 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Sergi Maestre - 90+3'
Víctor Moreno - 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Antoñito Cordero - 80', 45+1'

CONTEXT

Cultural Leonesa and Cádiz delivered a 2-2 draw in a competitive match, level at 1-1 at halftime. The home side held 58% possession, generating pressure but unable to secure victory. Cádiz, deemed the stronger team, responded effectively with 42% possession, scoring twice to claim a point. The game featured no red cards and flowed without major disruptions, showcasing end-to-end action. Leonesa started strongly but Cádiz's equalizer before the break shifted momentum. In the second half, both teams traded blows, with defenses holding firm under pressure. This result highlights Cádiz's resilience away from home, preventing a loss despite lower ball control. Structural expectations saw a significant deviation benefiting Cádiz, while efficiency remained in line. The draw maintains balance for both in the standings, reflecting a hard-fought contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation of 72.7% benefited Cádiz in the draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing xG data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment not achieved with the 2-2 result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No key events notably influenced the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Lax Franco

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Fernández Correas

2nd Assistant

C. del Cerro Grande

1st Assistant

P. Oreiro Hermida

4th Official

Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
VS
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
0.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: 58 L
Córdoba Rank: 61 L
Granada Rank: 65 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Huesca Rank: 59 D
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
FC Andorra Rank: 63 L
Córdoba Rank: 64 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cultural Leonesa
49.4%
Draw
27.26%
Away Cádiz
23.34%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cultural Leonesa
+44.51%
Draw
-63.81%
Cádiz
+19.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.33
56.45
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cultural Leonesa
Cádiz
Power Score
53.33
56.45
League Position
22
18
Global Rank
600
601

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cultural Leonesa Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.36
26.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.55
28.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cultural Leonesa +0.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Cádiz -0.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Cádiz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cultural Leonesa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cultural Leonesa Cádiz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa Cádiz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cultural Leonesa
Cádiz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cultural Leonesa
vs
Cádiz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cultural Leonesa Cádiz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cultural Leonesa 0.29
Cádiz 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cultural Leonesa Cádiz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cultural Leonesa 0.05
Cádiz 0.04
Cultural Leonesa
Cádiz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Cultural Leonesa had peak pressure around 45'.
  • Cultural Leonesa started the game with stronger pressure.
Cultural Leonesa Pressure CAD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Cultural Leonesa reached the top pressure at 45' (78.31).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Home
3 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:04:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
V. García Hernández
Substitution
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 R. Suárez Marcos
T. Machado Ribeiro
Portugal
16 T. Machado Ribeiro
H. Ahmed
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
J. Fernández Abruñedo
Spain
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
N. Radoja
Substitution
Serbia
22 N. Radoja
V. Moreno Alcalá
Substitution
Spain
11 V. Moreno Alcalá
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
R. Tresaco Blasco
Substitution
Spain
20 R. Tresaco Blasco
R. Sobrino Pozuelo
Substitution
Spain
19 R. Sobrino Pozuelo
Pitch
V. Aznar
Brazil
13 V. Aznar
M. Climent Plá
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Climent Plá
I. Ortega
Spain
6 I. Ortega
J. Moreno San Vidal
Spain
2 J. Moreno San Vidal
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
M. Diakité
Mali
5 M. Diakité
J. González
Spain
24 J. González
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
L. Pérez Martínez
Substitution
Spain
7 L. Pérez Martínez
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
?. García Pascual
Substitution
23 ?. García Pascual

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Capacity :
13346
Attendance :
8501
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Salvador Lax Franco
Diego Fernández Correas
Carlos del Cerro Grande
Pedro Oreiro Hermida

Statistics

Possession
Cultural Leonesa
56%
CAD
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 3
49 Dangerous attacks 43
58 Possession 42
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1
14 Throwins 12
7 Goal Kicks 7
66 Ball Safe 74
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
8 Successful Dribbles 6
13 Dribble Attempts 14
11 Goal Attempts 9
2 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

80 Attacks 58
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 79
399 Successful Passes 261
41 Long Passes 54
460 Passes 330
12 Key Passes 6
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
23 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

6 Interceptions 8
1 Saves 3
14 Tackles 10
47 Duels Won 40

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 3
17 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Salvador Lax Franco

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.84
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez Defender
6.83
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Defender
6.55
16
Tomás Ribeiro
Tomás Ribeiro Defender
6.7
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
6.55
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado
Attacker85'
6.6
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
7.15
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno Midfielder
6.54
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo
Defender84'
6.66
14
Bicho
Bicho Midfielder
6.89
20
Rafa Tresaco
Rafa Tresaco Midfielder
6.57
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero
Defender59'
6.71
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja Midfielder
6.55
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre
Midfielder68'
6.53
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino Attacker
6.62
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro
Attacker68'
6.91
Referee : Salvador Lax Franco

Starting XI ▼

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
6.8
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno Defender
6.84
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Defender
6.73
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Defender
6.7
38
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas
Defender83'
6.45
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Defender
6.74
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Midfielder
6.8
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez Midfielder
6.73
10
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker78'
6.76
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
6.77
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño
Midfielder89'
6.93
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
2
6.67
24
Joaquín González
Joaquín González Midfielder
6.65
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.84
17
Dawda Camara
Dawda Camara
Attacker78'
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Sergi Maestre
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
90+3'
89'
Event
Sergio Ortuño → Suso
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Suso
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Diego Collado → Víctor García
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Roger Hinojo → Víctor Moreno
7th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Sergio Arribas → Mario Climent
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Antoñito Cordero
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
Event
Dawda Camara → García Pascual
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Brian Ocampo → Lucas Pérez
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Moussa Diakité
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sergi Maestre → Nemanja Radoja
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Lucas Ribeiro → Rubén Sobrino
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Iván Calero → Rafa Tresaco
1st Substitution
59'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Antoñito Cordero
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Víctor Moreno
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
43'
Event
Víctor García
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
4'
3'
Event
Iker Recio
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Maestre scores with a left-footed shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Update Update
Sergio Ortuno comes on for Jesus Fernandez Saez Suso.
86
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Ribeiro Costa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Update Update
Diego Collado comes on for Victor Garcia.
84
Attempt Attempt
Bicho takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Substitution Substitution
Roger Hinojo is substituted for Victor Moreno.
83
Attempt Attempt
Dawda Camara Sankhare takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
83
Update Update
Sergio Arribas comes on for Mario Climent.
82
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Calero takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero scores with a right-footed shot.
78
Update Update
Brian Alexis Ocampo Ferreira comes on for Lucas Perez Martinez.
78
Update Update
Dawda Camara Sankhare comes on for Alvaro Pascual.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Moussa Diakite receives a yellow card.
71
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno's right-footed shot is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual takes a header but misses the shot.
67
Update Update
Sergi Maestre comes on for Nemanja Radoja.
67
Update Update
Lucas Ribeiro Costa is on, and Ruben Sobrino Pozuelo is off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Calero takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Sobrino Pozuelo attempts a header but misses the shot.
60
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Gonzalez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
Ivan Calero replaces Rafael Tresaco.
58
Attempt Attempt
Homam Ahmed's left-footed shot is saved.
50
Update Update
The VAR decision results in a disallowed goal due to a foul.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Gonzalez takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
43
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno scores with a left-footed shot.
40
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Tresaco's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual's right-footed shot is saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Bicho's left-footed shot is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Juan Diaz Peregrina takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Luis Chacon takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Garcia receives a yellow card.
3
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Sobrino Pozuelo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Iker Recio Ortega receives a yellow card.
3
Attempt Attempt
Victor Moreno takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Salvador Lax Franco.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw epitomizes a balanced battle where Cultural Leonesa's possession edge failed to yield a win, underscoring Cádiz's clinical finishing despite less control. As the stronger team, Cádiz capitalized on a significant structural deviation, securing a point that aligns with their quality. Efficiency held steady, but absent xG data curbs precise chance evaluation. Level at halftime, the second half mirrored intensity without decisive breaks. This outcome disrupts pre-match structural views favoring Cádiz, offering both teams momentum while Leonesa rues missed dominance. Expect tactical refinements ahead, with Cádiz's road resilience proving pivotal.

Cultural Leonesa vs Cádiz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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