Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Emirates Stadium Sat, 2 May - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Arsenal ARS
3 Winner 0
Fulham FUL
Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Viktor Gyökeres - 45+4', 9'
Bukayo Saka - 40'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Arsenal delivered a dominant 3-0 home win against Fulham, exploding for three first-half goals to lead 3-0 at halftime and never looking back. The Gunners held 54% possession compared to Fulham's 46%, reflecting their status as the stronger team throughout the match. No red cards were issued, allowing uninterrupted flow, and Arsenal's defense stood firm to secure a clean sheet. Fulham mounted little threat, unable to convert their possession into meaningful chances. This performance underscored Arsenal's clinical edge early on, with the second half serving as mere consolidation. The result demonstrated structural stability with minimal deviation, aligning closely with expectations for the home side. Arsenal's efficiency remained consistent, capping a professional display.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Arsenal exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
  • Event impact: No key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Gillett

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Jones

4th Official

S. Long

1st Assistant

S. Meredith

2nd Assistant

Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 88 L
Everton Rank: 87 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 87 D
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 8 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arsenal
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Fulham
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
97.95
70.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arsenal
Fulham
Power Score
97.95
70.75
League Position
1
10
Global Rank
3
28

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Fulham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Arsenal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.96
25.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.33
37.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Arsenal +1.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Fulham -1.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Arsenal
Fulham
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Arsenal Fulham
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Arsenal Fulham
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Arsenal
Fulham
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Arsenal
vs
Fulham
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Arsenal Fulham
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Arsenal 0.36
Fulham 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Arsenal Fulham
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Arsenal 0.00
Fulham 0.06
Arsenal
Fulham
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ARS had peak pressure around 28'.
  • ARS started the game with stronger pressure.
ARS Pressure FUL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ARS reached the top pressure at 28' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arsenal ARS Home
37 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
25
Wins
4
8
Draws
8
4
Losses
25
Goals
78
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
78
+49
Goal Difference
-49

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Raya Martin
Spain
1 D. Raya Martin
B. White
Substitution
England
4 B. White
W. Saliba
France
2 W. Saliba
G. dos Santos Magalhães
Brazil
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
R. Calafiori
Italy
33 R. Calafiori
D. Rice
Substitution
England
41 D. Rice
M. Lewis-Skelly
England
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
B. Saka
Substitution
England
7 B. Saka
E. Eze
Substitution
England
10 E. Eze
L. Trossard
Belgium
19 L. Trossard
V. Gyökeres
Substitution
Sweden
14 V. Gyökeres
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
H. Reed
Substitution
England
6 H. Reed
S. Chukwueze
Substitution
Nigeria
19 S. Chukwueze
E. Smith Rowe
Substitution
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
H. Wilson
Substitution
Wales
8 H. Wilson
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Substitution
Mexico
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Emirates Stadium
Capacity :
60704
Attendance :
60196
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jarred Gillett
Robert Jones
Simon Long
Steve Meredith

Statistics

Possession
ARS
55%
FUL
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
13 Shots 5
50 Dangerous attacks 33
54 Possession 46
3 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Goal Kicks 7
13 Successful Headers 14
3 Assists 0
59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75
17 Dribble Attempts 4
14 Goal Attempts 4
10 Successful Dribbles 3
15 Throwins 12
70 Ball Safe 73
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

104 Attacks 73
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

14 Key Passes 6
447 Successful Passes 345
47 Long Passes 38
89 Successful Passes Percentage 83
24 Successful Long Passes 12
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
504 Passes 418

Defensive

10 Interceptions 5
7 Tackles 22
42 Duels Won 45
1 Saves 6

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 12
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
David Raya
David Raya Goalkeeper
6.78
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.9
4
Ben White
Ben White Defender
6.89
3
Cristhian Mosquera
Cristhian Mosquera
Defender83'
6.83
6
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães Defender
7.21
33
Riccardo Calafiori
Riccardo Calafiori Defender
6.88
7
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka Midfielder
7.19
20
Noni Madueke
Noni Madueke
Attacker46'
6.78
10
Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze Midfielder
7.43
56
Max Dowman
Max Dowman
Midfielder78'
7.05
19
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Midfielder
6.91
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Midfielder
7.34
36
Martín Zubimendi
Martín Zubimendi
Midfielder64'
7.02
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Myles Lewis-Skelly Midfielder
6.51
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
2
6.76
9
Gabriel Jesus
Gabriel Jesus
Attacker64'
6.59
Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.78
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.73
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.92
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.81
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.8
6
Harrison Reed
Harrison Reed Midfielder
6.71
10
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney
Midfielder63'
6.71
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Midfielder
7.16
14
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb
Midfielder64'
6.62
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder
6.91
24
Josh King
Josh King
Midfielder64'
6.61
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.88
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
18
Jonah Kusi-Asare
Jonah Kusi-Asare
Attacker78'
6.49
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Attacker
6.93
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz
Attacker73'
6.68

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cristhian Mosquera → Ben White
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Max Dowman → Eberechi Eze
9th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Jonah Kusi-Asare → Emile Smith Rowe
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Rodrigo Muniz → Raúl Jiménez
7th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Jesus → Viktor Gyökeres
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Martín Zubimendi → Declan Rice
6th Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Josh King → Samuel Chukwueze
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Oscar Bobb  → Harry Wilson
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Tom Cairney → Harrison Reed
2nd Substitution
Event
Noni Madueke → Bukayo Saka
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Viktor Gyökeres
Header / 3rd Goal
45+4'
Event
Bukayo Saka
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
40'
Event
Riccardo Calafiori
Goal disallowed
30'
23'
Event
Saša Lukić
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Viktor Gyökeres
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
9'

Match Commentary

85
Attempt Attempt
Max Dowman takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Update Update
Cristhian Mosquera comes on for Benjamin William White.
81
Attempt Attempt
Riccardo Calafiori's header is saved.
78
Update Update
Jonah Daniel Kusi-Asare replaces Emile Smith Rowe.
78
Update Update
Max Dowman is on, and Eberechi Eze is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Emile Smith Rowe takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho comes on for Raul Alonso Jimenez Rodriguez.
72
Attempt Attempt
Timothy Castagne takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Tom Cairney takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Tom Cairney's left-footed shot is blocked.
64
Update Update
Tom Cairney replaces Harrison Reed.
64
Update Update
Oscar Bobb is on, and Harry Wilson is off.
64
Update Update
Joshua King is on, and Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze is off.
64
Update Update
Gabriel Jesus is on, and Viktor Gyokeres is off.
64
Update Update
Martin Zubimendi Ibanez replaces Declan Rice.
63
Attempt Attempt
Emile Smith Rowe takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Trossard takes a left-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyokeres takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Raul Alonso Jimenez Rodriguez attempts a header but misses the shot.
49
Update Update
Timothy Castagne's header is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Raul Alonso Jimenez Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Noni Madueke replaces Bukayo Saka.
45
Attempt Attempt
Eberechi Eze takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Update Update
Goal! Viktor Gyokeres scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Leandro Trossard.
45
Update Update
Viktor Gyokeres scores with a header.
44
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Dos Santos Magalhaes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
Update Update
Goal! Bukayo Saka scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Viktor Gyokeres.
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Bukayo Saka with his left foot finds the back of the net.
33
Attempt Attempt
Antonee Robinson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Antonee Robinson takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Eberechi Eze takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Bukayo Saka takes a left-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyokeres takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Dos Santos Magalhaes takes a header, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Dos Santos Magalhaes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sasa Lukic receives a yellow card.
21
Attempt Attempt
Eberechi Eze takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Trossard takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyokeres scores with a left-footed shot.
3
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Trossard takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jarred Gillett.

CONCLUSION

Arsenal's 3-0 triumph over Fulham highlighted their first-half dominance, netting all goals before halftime for a 3-0 lead that proved unassailable. With 54% possession and no disruptions from red cards, the Gunners efficiently controlled proceedings against a resilient but outmatched Fulham. This minimal-deviation result reinforced Arsenal's superiority, aligning perfectly with pre-match structures. The clean sheet and second-half composure signal strong defensive organization, positioning Arsenal favorably in their campaign. Fulham's inability to respond underscores the gap, as Arsenal's early efficiency sealed a straightforward victory.

Arsenal vs Fulham preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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