Deportivo La Coruña vs Leganés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Abanca-Riazor Fri, 1 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Deportivo La Coruña COR
2 Winner 1
Leganés LEG
Full Time Fri, 1 May 4:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season
Noé Carrillo - 77'
Zakaria Eddahchouri - 64'
Goal
|
Goal
Juan Cruz - 74'

CONTEXT

Deportivo La Coruña clinched a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Leganés, breaking a goalless deadlock at halftime to secure the points. Controlling 58% possession throughout, the home side dictated the tempo but faced stubborn resistance in the opening 45 minutes, where defenses held firm with a 0-0 scoreline. Post-interval, Deportivo's attacking intent bore fruit as they struck twice, though Leganés responded with a consolation goal. Identified as the stronger team beforehand, Deportivo capitalized on their dominance, showcasing structural superiority in a match devoid of red cards or major disruptions. Possession translated into meaningful pressure, with efficient second-half execution proving decisive. Leganés battled valiantly on 42% possession but couldn't overturn the tide. This result highlights Deportivo's ability to convert control into wins, marking a notable shift from even pre-match perceptions. The clean contest allowed pure football to shine through.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deportivo La Coruña registered a significant 78.5% structural deviation in their performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with overall expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remains undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not observed in the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Ojaos Valera

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. García Andreu

1st Assistant

J. Ruiz Álvarez

4th Official

B. Jiménez Contreras

2nd Assistant

Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
VS
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
1.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
Málaga Rank: 68 D
Córdoba Rank: 63 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 65 L
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Almería Rank: 70 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 D
Málaga Rank: 68 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo La Coruña
21.54%
Draw
77.72%
Away Leganés
0.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.94
58.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo La Coruña
Leganés
Power Score
68.94
58.16
League Position
2
16
Global Rank
223
374

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo La Coruña Leganés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Leganés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leganés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.02
35.95
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.95
33.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Deportivo La Coruña -0.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Leganés +0.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Leganés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leganés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo La Coruña Leganés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña Leganés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Leganés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Deportivo La Coruña
vs
Leganés
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Deportivo La Coruña Leganés
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Deportivo La Coruña 0.25
Leganés 0.64
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña Leganés
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Deportivo La Coruña 0.05
Leganés 0.03
Deportivo La Coruña
Leganés
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COR had peak pressure around 91'.
  • COR started the game with stronger pressure.
COR Pressure LEG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COR reached the top pressure at 91' (94.08).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo La Coruña COR Home
5 matches
Leganés LEG Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
4
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:03:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
Á. Fernández Llorente
Spain
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
J. Navarro Jiménez
Substitution
Spain
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
L. Noubi Ngnokam
Belgium
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
Spain
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
G. Quagliata
Italy
12 G. Quagliata
A. Altimira Reynaldos
Spain
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
Substitution
Spain
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
M. Soriano Carreño
Spain
21 M. Soriano Carreño
Y. Hernández Cubas
Substitution
Spain
10 Y. Hernández Cubas
L. Cruz Hernández
Substitution
Spain
19 L. Cruz Hernández
B. Nsongo Tonfack
Substitution
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack
Pitch
J. Soriano Oropesa
Spain
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
G. Aguilar López
Spain
6 G. Aguilar López
I. Miquel i Pons
Substitution
Spain
5 I. Miquel i Pons
S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
Substitution
Uruguay
22 S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
N. García García
Spain
17 N. García García
A. Diawara
Guinea
24 A. Diawara
R. López Alcaide
Substitution
Spain
14 R. López Alcaide
L. Lopes
Cape Verde
11 L. Lopes
J. Díaz Espósito
Spain
10 J. Díaz Espósito
D. Rodríguez Vázquez
Substitution
Spain
9 D. Rodríguez Vázquez
D. García Campos
Substitution
Spain
19 D. García Campos

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Capacity :
32490
Attendance :
28845
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Christian García Andreu
Jaime Ruiz Álvarez
Borja Jiménez Contreras

Statistics

Possession
COR
57%
LEG
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 1
63 Dangerous attacks 22
58 Possession 42
9 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 9
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
0 Injuries 1
10 Successful Dribbles 5
9 Throwins 15
18 Dribble Attempts 16
43 Ball Safe 52
9 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

98 Attacks 75
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

457 Successful Passes 307
50 Long Passes 56
34 Successful Long Passes 23
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
91 Successful Passes Percentage 84
503 Passes 366
13 Key Passes 9

Defensive

44 Duels Won 40
18 Tackles 16
1 Interceptions 7
4 Saves 4

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 11
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

12 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
6.78
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Defender
6.79
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Defender
6.78
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Defender
6.9
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Defender
6.94
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Attacker58'
6.91
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
7.13
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández Midfielder
7.23
18
Sergio Escudero
Sergio Escudero
Defender85'
6.71
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Midfielder
6.81
8
Diego Villares
Diego Villares
Midfielder46'
6.78
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Midfielder
7.11
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Attacker
6.98
37
Noé Carrillo
Noé Carrillo
Midfielder76'
7.27
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
6.73
7
Samuele Mulattieri
Samuele Mulattieri
Attacker76'
6.65
Referee : Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
6.98
5
Ignasi Miquel
Ignasi Miquel Defender
6.77
4
Rubén Pulido
Rubén Pulido
Defender70'
6.48
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Defender
6.84
22
Sebastián Figueredo
Sebastián Figueredo Defender
6.38
20
Óscar Plano
Óscar Plano
Attacker85'
6.83
11
Duk
Duk Midfielder
6.82
14
Roberto López
Roberto López Midfielder
6.74
12
Luis Asué
Luis Asué
Attacker85'
6.59
17
Naim García
Naim García Midfielder
6.78
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Midfielder
6.87
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Attacker
7.1
21
Andrés Campos
Andrés Campos
Attacker76'
6.64
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Attacker
7.02
19
Diego García
Diego García Attacker
6.61
23
Álex Millán
Álex Millán
Attacker76'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+18'
90+16'
Event
Naim García
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+14'
90+14'
Event
Amadou Diawara
GoalkeeperSave
Event
Álvaro Fernández
3rd Yellowcard
90+13'
90+10'
Event
Luis Asué
Penalty awarded
Event
Sergio Escudero → Yeremay Hernández
9th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Óscar Plano → Sebastián Figueredo
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Luis Asué → Roberto López
8th Substitution
Event
Noé Carrillo
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
77'
Event
Noé Carrillo → Luismi Cruz
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Samuele Mulattieri → Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
7th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Álex Millán → Diego García
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Andrés Campos → Dani Rodríguez
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Juan Cruz
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
70'
Event
Rubén Pulido → Ignasi Miquel
3rd Substitution
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
64'
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri → Ximo Navarro
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Luismi Cruz
Penalty disallowed
50'
Event
Diego Villares → Riki Rodríguez
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Dani Rodríguez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Riki Rodríguez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Diawara has his penalty saved.
90
Update Update
Ruben Pulido's header is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Diego Villares takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
VAR decision confirms a penalty.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alvaro Fernandez receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Diawara's right-footed shot is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Eddahchouri takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Samuele Mulattieri takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
85
Update Update
Luis Miguel Nlavo Asue is on, and Roberto Lopes Alcaide is off.
85
Update Update
Sergio Escudero Palomo is on, and Yeremay Hernandez is off.
85
Update Update
Oscar Plano Pedreno is on, and Sebastian Figueredo is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Andres Campos takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal! Noé scores with a right-footed shot.
76
Update Update
Alejandro Millan Iranzo comes on for Diego Garcia Campos.
76
Update Update
Andres Campos comes on for Daniel Jose Rodriguez Vazquez.
76
Substitution Substitution
Noe Carillo is substituted off for Luismi Cruz.
76
Update Update
Samuele Mulattieri is on, and Bil Nsongo is off.
74
Attempt Attempt
Juan Cruz Diaz Esposito takes a left-footed shot and scores.
72
Attempt Attempt
Mario Soriano takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Update Update
Ruben Pulido comes on for Ignasi Miquel.
69
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Jose Rodriguez Vazquez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ignasi Miquel with a header, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Lopes Alcaide takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Update Update
Goal! Zakaria Eddahchouri scores to make it 1-0.
64
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Eddahchouri scores with a right-footed shot.
62
Attempt Attempt
Bil Nsongo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ignasi Miquel takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Update Update
Zakaria Eddahchouri is on, and Joaquin Navarro Jimenez is off.
54
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Quagliata takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
50
Update Update
The VAR decision has cancelled the penalty.
47
Attempt Attempt
Luismi Cruz takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
Diego Villares replaces Riki Rodriguez.
44
Attempt Attempt
Naim Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Juan Cruz Diaz Esposito takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Roberto Lopes Alcaide takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Mario Soriano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Noubi Ngnokam takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Juan Cruz Diaz Esposito's left-footed shot is saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Loureiro attempts a header but misses the shot.
31
Attempt Attempt
Diego Garcia Campos takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Noubi Ngnokam attempts a header but misses the shot.
3
Attempt Attempt
Bil Nsongo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Deportivo La Coruña's 2-1 win over Leganés validates their status as the stronger outfit, leveraging 58% possession into second-half goals after a cautious 0-0 halftime. The significant structural deviation underscores their dominance beyond initial expectations, with efficiency holding steady amid a fair, undisrupted contest. Leganés' resilience kept it close, but Deportivo's persistence sealed victory. This outcome reflects precise execution without reliance on xG metrics, emphasizing tactical discipline. For Deportivo, it boosts momentum; for Leganés, it signals areas for refinement in converting limited possession. Overall, the match delivered tension and quality, rewarding the proactive side.

Deportivo La Coruña vs Leganés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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