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Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Lodz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Today - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
0 0
2ND HALF 88
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
Live : 2nd Half Today 6:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Lodz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

Events

2ND-HALF
82'
Event
Ángel Baena Lindon Selahi
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Marcel Krajewski Carlos Isaac
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Osman Bukari Mariusz Fornalczyk
6th Substitution
Event
Rafal Adamski Jean-Pierre Nsame
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Kacper Chodyna Patryk Kun
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Wojciech Urbanski Damian Szymanski
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Juergen Elitim
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Rúben Vinagre Arkadiusz Reca
2nd Substitution
59'
1ST-HALF
Event
Arkadiusz Reca Pawel Wszolek
1st Substitution
42'
Event
Pawel Wszolek
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'

Match Commentary

Statistics

Possession
Legia Warszawa
58%
Widzew Lodz
42%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 4
59 Dangerous attacks 23
61 Possession 39
5 Corners 1
12 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 3
6 Goal Kicks 8
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
22 Throwins 14
10 Dribble Attempts 13
2 Successful Dribbles 5
49 Ball Safe 44
4 Goal Attempts 1

Attacking

89 Attacks 52
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 76
41 Long Passes 50
451 Passes 287
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
379 Successful Passes 219
9 Key Passes 5
15 Successful Long Passes 25

Defensive

44 Duels Won 47
1 Saves 1
10 Interceptions 8
14 Tackles 9

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 10
9 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

14 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.68
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Defender
6.66
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Defender
6.91
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Defender
6.84
7
Pawel Wszolek
Pawel Wszolek Midfielder
6.81
13
Arkadiusz Reca
Arkadiusz Reca
Defender42'
6.77
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
Jean-Pierre Nsame Midfielder
6.92
9
Rafal Adamski
Rafal Adamski
Attacker77'
6.87
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Midfielder
7.12
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.68
11
Kacper Chodyna
Kacper Chodyna
Midfielder77'
6.6
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.82
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Attacker
6.85
53
Wojciech Urbanski
Wojciech Urbanski
Midfielder77'
6.55
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Attacker
6.98
Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Defender
6.69
4
Mateusz Zyro
Mateusz Zyro Defender
6.78
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
7.06
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.68
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Midfielder
6.8
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski
Defender82'
6.68
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Midfielder
6.71
22
Osman Bukari
Osman Bukari
Attacker78'
6.74
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Midfielder
6.96
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Midfielder
7.08
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi Midfielder
6.83
77
Ángel Baena
Ángel Baena
Midfielder82'
6.62
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
6.95

CONTEXT

Legia Warszawa and Widzew Lodz remain deadlocked at 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45, with the home side firmly in control. Legia, recognized as the pregame stronger team, boasts 73% possession, relentlessly probing Widzew's defense but struggling to convert chances into goals. The visitors, holding just 27% of the ball, have been compact and resilient, frustrating Legia's attacks so far. No red cards have been shown, keeping the contest balanced in terms of discipline. Live developments align closely with pre-match structural expectations and projections, showing neutral deviation and efficiency in line with forecasts. Legia's dominance mirrors their pregame favoritism, yet the scoreline stays level as both teams navigate the early second-half exchanges.

TL;DR

  • Live state: The match sits at 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45 with Legia Warszawa leading possession at 73% against Widzew Lodz.
  • Structural vs live: Live draw status aligns with pregame structural balance where Legia Warszawa held moderate favoritism over Widzew Lodz.
  • Projection vs live: Current 0-0 scoreline shows neutral alignment with pre-match projections favoring Legia Warszawa as leader.
  • xG trend: xG data unavailable, but scoreless state reflects steady progression without notable expected goal shifts from pre-match signals.
  • Possession profile: Legia Warszawa's 73% possession exceeds pregame expectations of control against Widzew Lodz's defensive setup.
  • Event impact: No goals or red cards have occurred, maintaining in-line efficiency with pre-match event projections.
  • Second-half outlook: Legia Warszawa's possession edge suggests mounting pressure on Widzew Lodz early in the second half, in line with pregame favoritism.
  • Market: Legia Warszawa 11.8% (Δ-1.7%) | Draw 82.7% (Δ+2.5%) | Widzew Lodz 5.5% (Δ-0.8%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. Myć
W. Myć
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.58
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.34
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
A. Kupsik
A. Kupsik
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.58
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.34
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
M. Kostrzewa
M. Kostrzewa
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.58
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.34
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
A. Borowiak
A. Borowiak
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.58
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.34
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 58 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 D
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 4 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Legia Warszawa
11.78%
Draw
82.67%
Away Widzew Lodz
5.54%

Movement

Changes since opening
Legia Warszawa
-1.74%
Draw
+2.49%
Widzew Lodz
-0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.23
59.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
64.23
59.84
League Position
15
16
Global Rank
343
477

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Legia Warszawa Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Widzew Lodz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Legia Warszawa
vs
Widzew Lodz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Legia Warszawa had peak pressure around 42'.
  • Legia Warszawa started the game with stronger pressure.
Legia Warszawa Pressure Widzew Lodz Pressure
Pressure Index: Legia Warszawa reached the top pressure at 42' (95.11).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
19 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
14
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
14
Goals
32
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
32
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T18:00:29+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-3-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
O. Hindrich
Romania
89 O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski
Poland
91 K. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak
Poland
8 R. Augustyniak
R. Pankov
Serbia
12 R. Pankov
R. Nascimento Vinagre
Portugal
19 R. Nascimento Vinagre
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
Colombia
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
K. Chodyna
Poland
11 K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
Poland
67 B. Kapustka
R. Adamski
Poland
9 R. Adamski
W. Urbański
Poland
53 W. Urbański
M. Rajovic
Denmark
29 M. Rajovic
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
S. Kozlovský
Slovakia
3 S. Kozlovský
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
M. Żyro
Poland
4 M. Żyro
Á. Baena Pérez
Spain
77 Á. Baena Pérez
O. Bukari
Ghana
22 O. Bukari
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
M. Krajewski
Poland
91 M. Krajewski
S. Bergier
Poland
99 S. Bergier

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wojciech Myć
Adam Kupsik
Mikołaj Kostrzewa
Aleksander Borowiak

CONCLUSION

With the score at 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45, Legia Warszawa's 73% possession underscores their pregame superiority, yet Widzew Lodz's stubborn defense keeps the draw intact. The absence of red cards and alignment with projections indicate a tactical battle poised for Legia breakthroughs as they sustain pressure. No major deviations signal a match unfolding as anticipated, where home dominance could yet yield goals without structural surprises.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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