Girona vs Mallorca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi Fri, 1 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Girona GIR
0 Winner 1
Mallorca MLL
Full Time Fri, 1 May 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
|
Goal
Samú Costa - 43'

CONTEXT

Girona hosted Mallorca in a closely contested La Liga match, ending in a 0-1 defeat for the home side. Mallorca took the lead in the first half with a solitary goal, entering halftime ahead 0-1. Despite Girona's dominance in possession at 59% to Mallorca's 41%, they struggled to create clear scoring chances against a resilient Mallorca defense. The visitors, identified as the stronger team, maintained their advantage through disciplined defending and efficient play in the second half. No red cards were issued, and the game featured no major structural disruptions or tactical overhauls. Mallorca's victory highlighted their ability to outperform expectations on the road, securing all three points with minimal deviation from pre-match projections. This result underscores Mallorca's defensive solidity and clinical finishing.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result exhibited minimal structural deviation of 5.3% in favor of Mallorca.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing xG data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available data.
  • Event impact: No impactful events or second-half adjustments altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in the final score.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Hernández Maeso

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Masso Granado

1st Assistant

A. Pérez Dapía

2nd Assistant

D. López Jiménez

4th Official

Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
VS
Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
1.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valencia Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 80 L
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Villarreal Rank: 83 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 L
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 78 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 W
Elche Rank: 75 L
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Girona
0.19%
Draw
5.09%
Away Mallorca
94.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Girona
-0.28%
Draw
-4.45%
Mallorca
+4.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.8
76.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Girona
Mallorca
Power Score
74.8
76.11
League Position
16
15
Global Rank
113
94

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Girona Mallorca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Girona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mallorca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Girona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mallorca
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.98
24.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.15
28.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Girona +0.44 Efficiency Index
vs
Mallorca -0.44 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Girona
Mallorca
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Girona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mallorca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Girona Mallorca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Girona Mallorca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Girona
Mallorca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Girona
vs
Mallorca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Girona Mallorca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Girona 0.23
Mallorca 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Girona Mallorca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Girona 0.03
Mallorca 0.00
Girona
Mallorca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GIR had peak pressure around 64'.
  • GIR started the game with stronger pressure.
GIR Pressure MLL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GIR reached the top pressure at 64' (91.71).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Girona GIR Home
18 matches
Mallorca MLL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
7
Goals
19
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
19
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T00:04:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
P. Gazzaniga
Argentina
13 P. Gazzaniga
A. Martinez
Spain
4 A. Martinez
A. Torrijo
Spain
16 A. Torrijo
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
Brazil
12 V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
D. Blind
Substitution
Netherlands
17 D. Blind
F. Beltrán Peinado
Substitution
Spain
8 F. Beltrán Peinado
A. Witsel
Belgium
20 A. Witsel
V. Tsygankov
Ukraine
15 V. Tsygankov
A. Ounahi
Morocco
18 A. Ounahi
J. Roca Casals
Substitution
Spain
3 J. Roca Casals
C. Echeverri
Substitution
Argentina
14 C. Echeverri
Pitch
L. Román Riquelme
Spain
1 L. Román Riquelme
J. Mojica Palacio
Colombia
22 J. Mojica Palacio
O. Mascarell González
Spain
5 O. Mascarell González
M. Valjent
Slovakia
24 M. Valjent
P. Maffeo Becerra
Argentina
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
M. Morlanes
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Morlanes
S. Darder Moll
Substitution
Spain
10 S. Darder Moll
S. Costa
Portugal
12 S. Costa
P. Torre Carral
Substitution
Spain
20 P. Torre Carral
J. Kalumba
Substitution
France
30 J. Kalumba
V. Muriqi
Kosovo
7 V. Muriqi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 01, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Capacity :
14624
Attendance :
13386
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Iván Masso Granado
Abraham Pérez Dapía
David López Jiménez

Statistics

Possession
GIR
56%
MLL
44%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 3
62 Dangerous attacks 38
59 Possession 41
5 Corners 2
25 Free kicks 8
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

13 Successful Headers 15
25 Throwins 16
17 Dribble Attempts 16
6 Successful Dribbles 9
7 Goal Kicks 13
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
85 Ball Safe 80
12 Goal Attempts 7
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 3
4 Substitutions 5
2 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

109 Attacks 99
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

52 Long Passes 59
28 Successful Long Passes 24
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
436 Successful Passes 297
513 Passes 362
85 Successful Passes Percentage 82
10 Key Passes 6

Defensive

12 Tackles 21
7 Interceptions 6
57 Duels Won 54
2 Saves 4

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 19
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

8 Fouls 25
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Defender
6.87
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Defender
6.88
16
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés Defender
6.68
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
6.85
2
Hugo Rincón
Hugo Rincón
Defender74'
6.64
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Midfielder
6.58
21
Bryan Gil
Bryan Gil
Attacker70'
6.63
8
Fran Beltrán
Fran Beltrán Midfielder
6.68
11
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar
Midfielder74'
6.79
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Midfielder
7.14
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
7.23
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
6.81
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Attacker
6.78
7
Cristhian Stuani
Cristhian Stuani
Attacker70'
6.67
Referee : Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
6.85
5
Omar Mascarell
Omar Mascarell Defender
6.76
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
6.67
23
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo Defender
6.87
24
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent Defender
6.68
8
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes Midfielder
6.73
19
Javi Llabrés
Javi Llabrés
Attacker78'
6.52
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Midfielder
7.01
27
David López
David López
Defender79'
6.8
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Midfielder
6.87
20
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre Midfielder
6.76
15
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo
Attacker66'
6.73
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
7.19
30
Justin Kalumba
Justin Kalumba Attacker
6.21
17
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
Attacker46'
6.68

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bryan Gil
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Thomas Lemar
5th Yellowcard
90+4'
82'
Event
Johan Mojica
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
79'
Event
David López → Sergi Darder
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Javi Llabrés → Manu Morlanes
8th Substitution
Event
Thomas Lemar → Fran Beltrán
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Hugo Rincón → Daley Blind
7th Substitution
74'
72'
Event
Antonio Sánchez → Jan Virgili
5th Substitution
Event
Bryan Gil → Joel Roca
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Cristhian Stuani → Claudio Echeverri
4th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Zito Luvumbo → Pablo Torre
2nd Substitution
Event
Vitor Reis
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
58'
Event
Pablo Maffeo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Jan Virgili → Justin Kalumba
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Viktor Tsygankov
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
45+1'
43'
Event
Samú Costa
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Frances Torrijo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Lemar receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Zito Luvumbo takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ricardo Stuani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Tsygankov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bryan Gil Salvatierra receives a yellow card.
84
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Gil Salvatierra takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ricardo Stuani's left-footed shot is saved.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Valjent receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Javi Llabres comes on for Sergi Darder.
78
Update Update
David Lopez is on, and Manuel Morlanes is off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejandro Frances Torrijo with his right foot, but he misses.
74
Update Update
Hugo Rincon replaces Daley Blind.
74
Substitution Substitution
Thomas Lemar is substituted for Francisco Beltran.
73
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Tsygankov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Substitution Substitution
Antonio Sanchez Navarro is substituted for Jan Virgili.
70
Update Update
Bryan Gil Salvatierra is on, and Joel Roca Casals is off.
70
Update Update
Christian Ricardo Stuani is on, and Claudio Echeverri is off.
66
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo replaces Pablo Torre.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vitor Reis receives a yellow card.
59
Attempt Attempt
Vitor Reis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pablo Maffeo receives a yellow card.
56
Attempt Attempt
Azzedine Ounahi takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
53
Attempt Attempt
Joel Roca Casals takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Martin Valjent takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Substitution Substitution
Jan Virgili is substituted off for Justin Noel Kalumba.
45
Attempt Attempt
Arnau Martinez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Viktor Tsygankov receives a yellow card.
43
Update Update
Samuel Almeida Costa scores with a header.
36
Attempt Attempt
Joel Roca Casals takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
31
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Torre takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Justin Noel Kalumba takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Darder has a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Claudio Echeverri takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
5
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Tsygankov takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Mallorca's 0-1 triumph over Girona exemplifies road resilience, as they converted limited possession into a decisive goal while withstanding Girona's pressure. The first-half strike proved pivotal, with the halftime score of 0-1 holding firm despite Girona's 59% ball control. Lacking red cards or key disruptions, the match reflected Mallorca's superior efficiency and defensive organization. This minimal-deviation result reinforces their status as the stronger outfit, delivering a performance consistent with structural expectations. Girona's inability to capitalize on dominance leaves them reflecting on missed opportunities, while Mallorca gains momentum from a hard-fought away win.

Girona vs Mallorca preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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