Sporting Braga vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Estádio Municipal de Braga Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Europa League
Sporting Braga SCB
Versus
SC Freiburg SCF
KICKOFF : Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Sporting Braga hosts SC Freiburg in the first leg of the Europa League semi-finals at Estádio Municipal de Braga during the 2025/2026 season. Braga arrives with a slight edge, holding a power score of 34.09 to Freiburg's 32.65 and a 1.4-point advantage, marking them as the stronger team overall. Form favors the hosts too, with a 37.5 rating eclipsing Freiburg's 29.94. League standings place Braga at 6th and visitors at 7th. This international cup knockout begins level at 0-0 aggregate, heightening stakes for both legs. Set piece insights remain sparse, as xG data is unavailable and proxies applied with low confidence. Home support could prove decisive in a contest blending caution and ambition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Braga claims a 1.4-point power advantage, positioning them as the stronger team against SC Freiburg.
  • Form: Braga's form score of 37.5 outpaces Freiburg's 29.94 in recent performances.
  • Squad: Braga ranks 6th in league position, one spot ahead of 7th-placed Freiburg.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition data lacks specification for either squad.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats carry low confidence due to proxy usage and absent xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, restricting advanced performance analysis.
  • Market: Sporting Braga 42.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | SC Freiburg 28.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.11
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: W
Real Betis Rank: D
Ferencvárosi Rank: W
Ferencvárosi Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: D
Nottingham Forest Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Genk Rank: W
Genk Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
42.67%
Draw
28.45%
Away SC Freiburg
28.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.09
32.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
SC Freiburg
Power Score
34.09
32.65
League Position
6
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga SC Freiburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Braga SCB Home
0 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T01:15:46+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Tiago Magalhães Sá
Tiago Magalhães Sá Goalkeeper
1
Lukáš Horníček
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper
36
Alaa Bellaarouch
Alaa Bellaarouch Goalkeeper
4
Sikou Niakate
Sikou Niakate Defender
15
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira Defender
2
Víctor Gómez Perea
Víctor Gómez Perea Defender
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender
5
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo Defender
37
Leon Adrian Barišić
Leon Adrian Barišić Defender
26
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi Defender
53
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro Defender
27
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder
8
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho Midfielder
6
Vitor Carvalho Vieira
Vitor Carvalho Vieira Midfielder
10
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez Midfielder
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
29
Gorby Jean Baptiste
Gorby Jean Baptiste Midfielder
50
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues Midfielder
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
41
Yanis da Rocha
Yanis da Rocha Midfielder
17
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles Midfielder
21
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta Attacker
39
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga Attacker
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Attacker
18
Pau Victor Delgado
Pau Victor Delgado Attacker
77
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera Attacker
72
João Soares Aragão
João Soares Aragão Attacker
95
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal Attacker

Squad ▼

24
Jannik Huth
Jannik Huth Goalkeeper
21
Florian Müller
Florian Müller Goalkeeper
1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
28
Matthias Lukas Ginter
Matthias Lukas Ginter Defender
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
5
Anthony Jung
Anthony Jung Defender
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
37
Max Rosenfelder
Max Rosenfelder Defender
43
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus Defender
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
11
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Midfielder
6
Patrick Osterhage
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
26
Maximilian Philipp
Maximilian Philipp Attacker
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacker
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
Jan-Niklas Beste Attacker
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Attacker
7
Derry Lionel Scherhant
Derry Lionel Scherhant Attacker
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting Braga holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting Braga a 1.4-point edge. External projection is Sporting Braga 42.7%, draw 28.5%, and SC Freiburg 28.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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