Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey

Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu Mon, 27 Apr - 2:00 PM

Super Lig

Alanyaspor ANY

Versus

Samsunspor Samsunspor

KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 2:00 PM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Super Lig regular season at Bahçeşehir Okullar Stadyumu, Alanyaspor welcome Samsunspor for a mid-table showdown in the 2025/2026 campaign. Samsunspor enter as the clearer favorites, boasting a superior power score of 30.12 against Alanyaspor's 20.67, which equates to a decisive 9.5-point advantage. The visitors also occupy a stronger league position at 7th, while the hosts languish in 12th. Recent form tilts further towards Samsunspor with a 21.44 rating compared to Alanyaspor's 17.33, suggesting momentum on their side. However, detailed metrics like efficiency and transitions remain unavailable, and set-piece analysis relies on low-confidence proxies without xG data for either team. Alanyaspor must leverage home advantage to disrupt Samsunspor's structural superiority in this encounter.

TL;DR

Structural: Samsunspor possess a 9.5-point power advantage and sit 7th in the table ahead of Alanyaspor's 12th place.
Form: Samsunspor show better recent form at 21.44 versus Alanyaspor's 17.33.
Squad: Samsunspor's squad power rates at 30.12, higher than Alanyaspor's 20.67.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition data not available in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
xVariable: Advanced xG variables unavailable due to data limitations.
Market: Projection split: Alanyaspor 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Samsunspor 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

J. da Silva Pereira

VS

T. Fink

1

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

2

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 3 - 0

0

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Alanyaspor

0%

Draw

0%

Samsunspor

0%

Team Power Ranking

20.67

30.12

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Alanyaspor

Samsunspor

Power Score

20.67

30.12

League Position

12

7

Global Rank

-

-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alanyaspor Samsunspor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alanyaspor ANY Home

5 matches

Samsunspor Samsunspor Away

Match Record

2

Wins

0

3

Draws

3

0

Losses

2

Goals

7

Goals Scored

4

4

Goals Conceded

7

+3

Goal Difference

-3

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:04:09+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 27, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu

Capacity

10128

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

J. da Silva Pereira Coach

Squad ▼

1

Mahmut Ertuğrul Taşkıran Goalkeeper

48

Paulo Victor de Mileo Vidotti Goalkeeper

5

Fidan Aliti Defender

30

Bruno Viana Willemen Da Silva Defender

20

Fatih Aksoy Defender

3

Nuno Miguel Reis Lima Defender

50

Ümit Akdağ Defender

2

Batuhan Yavuz Defender

94

Florent Hadërgjonaj Midfielder

17

Nicolas Janvier Midfielder

42

Gaïus Makouta Midfielder

14

Ianis Hagi Midfielder

7

Efecan Karaca Midfielder

16

Ui-jo Hwang Midfielder

12

Meschak Elia Midfielder

88

Yusuf Özdemir Midfielder

8

Enes Keskin Midfielder

58

Antonio Simão Muanza Midfielder

25

Buluthan Bulut Midfielder

6

Izzet Celik Midfielder

18

Baran Mogultay Midfielder

11

Ruan Pereira Duarte Midfielder

38

Yusuf Karademir Midfielder

9

Steve Mounié Attacker

10

Güven Yalçın Attacker

27

İbrahim Kaya Attacker

Manager ▼

T. Fink Coach

Squad ▼

1

Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper

71

İrfan Can Eğribayat Goalkeeper

48

Efe Berat Töruz Goalkeeper

33

Efe Üstün Goalkeeper

37

Ľubomír Šatka Defender

4

Rick van Drongelen Defender

24

Toni Borevković Defender

17

Logi Tómasson Defender

18

Zeki Yavru Defender

28

Soner Gönül Defender

96

Bedirhan Çetin Defender

23

Enes Albak Defender

2

Josafat Wooding Mendes Defender

15

Ali Badra Diabaté Defender

10

Jules Olivier Ntcham Midfielder

21

Carlo Holse Midfielder

77

Afonso Gamelas De Pinho Sousa Midfielder

5

Celil Yüksel Midfielder

29

Antoine Makoumbou Midfielder

20

Yalçın Kayan Midfielder

55

Yunus Cift Midfielder

—

Muhammet Ali Özbaskıcı Midfielder

—

Alper Efe Pazar Midfielder

73

Eyup Degirmenci Midfielder

25

Franck Leroy Atoen Midfielder

19

Pape Cherif Ndiaye Attacker

11

Emre Kılınç Attacker

7

Elayis Tavsan Attacker

9

Marius Mouandilmadji Attacker

70

Tanguy Coulibaly Attacker

47

Kouadou Jaures Assoumou Attacker

16

Tahsin Bülbül Attacker

99

Ebrima Ceesay Attacker

30

Saikuba Jarju Attacker

CONCLUSION

Samsunspor hold the upper hand structurally and in form, making them the team to beat despite Alanyaspor's home turf. The 9.5-point power gap and higher table position underline the visitors' edge, with superior recent performances adding to their case. Absent advanced metrics leave some uncertainty, but proxies suggest no standout set-piece threats. Alanyaspor need a tactical masterclass to upset the balance in this Super Lig fixture.